`(19) World Intellectual Property
`Organization
`International Bureau
`
`(10) International Publication Number
`
`(43) International Publication Date
`WO 2012/1 59023 A2
`22 November 201 2 (22.11 .2012) WIPOI PCT
`
`
`é\ll»
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`(51)
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`(21)
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`International Patent Classification: Not classified
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`International Application N umber:
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`PCT/US2012/0385 55
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`(74) Agents: WHITHAM, Michael E. et al.; Whitham Curtis
`Christoflerson & Cook, PC,
`1 1491
`Sunset Hills Road,
`Suite 340, Reston, VA 20190 (US).
`
`(22)
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`International Filing Date:
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`18 May 2012 (18.05.2012)
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`(81)
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`(25)
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`(26)
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`(30)
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`(71)
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`(72)
`(75)
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`Filing Language:
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`Publication Language:
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`English
`
`English
`
`Priority Data:
`61/488,019
`61/621,767
`
`l9 lVIay 2011 (19.05.2011)
`9 April 2012 (09.04.2012)
`
`US
`US
`
`Applicants 0hr all designated States except US): VIR-
`GINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY [US/US];
`800 East Leigh Street, Suite 113, Richmond, VA 23219
`(US). THE U.S DEPARTMENT OF VETRANS AF-
`FAIRS [US/US]; 810 Vermont Avenue, Northwest, Wash—
`ington, DC 20420 (US). GEORGE NIASON UNIVER-
`SITY [US/US]; 4400 University Drive, MS 5G5 Research
`Building 1, Room 405, Fairfax, VA 22030 (US).
`
`Inventors; and
`Inventors/Applicants (fiar US only): BAJAJ, Jasmohan
`[IN/US]; 3121 W Franklin Street, Richmond, VA 23221
`(US). SANYAL, Arun [US/US]; 6998 Oil Millstone
`Drive, Mechanicsville, VA 23111 (US). GILLEVET,
`Patrick M. [CA/US]; 11627 Ayreshire Road, Oakton, VA
`22124 (US).
`
`Designated States (unless otherwise indicated, for every
`kind of national protection available): AE, AG, AL, AM,
`A0, AT, AU, AZ, BA, BB, BG, BH, BR, BW, BY, BZ,
`CA, CH, CL, CN, CO, CR, CU, CZ, DE, DK, DM, DO,
`DZ, EC, EE, EG, ES, FI, GB, GD, GE, GH, GM, GT, HN,
`IIR, IIU, ID, IL, IN, IS, JP, KE, KG, KM, KN, KP, KR,
`KZ, LA, LC, LK, LR, LS, LT, LU, LY, MA, MD, ME,
`MG, MK, MN, MW, MX, MY, MZ, NA, NG, NI, NO, NZ,
`OM, PE, PG, PH, PL, PT, QA, RO, RS, RU, RW, SC, SD,
`SE, SG, SK, SL, SM, ST, SV, SY, TH, TJ, TM, TN, TR,
`TT, TZ, UA, UG, US, UZ, vc, VN, ZA, ZM, ZW.
`
`(34)
`
`Designated States (unless otherwise indicated, for every
`kind of regional protection available): ARIPO (BW, GH,
`GM, KE, LR, LS, MW, MZ, NA, RW', SD, SL, SZ, TZ,
`UG, ZM, ZW), Eurasian (AM, AZ, BY, KG, KZ, RU, TJ,
`TM), European (AL, AT, BE, BG, CH, CY, CZ, DE, DK,
`EE, ES, FI, FR, GB, GR, HR, HU, IE, IS, IT, LT, LU, LV,
`MC, MK, MT, NL, NO, PL, PT, RO, RS, SE, SI, SK, SM,
`TR), OAPI (BF, BJ, CF, CG, CI, CM, GA, GN, GQ, GW,
`ML, MR, NE, SN, TD, TG).
`Published:
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`without international search report and to be republished
`upon receipt ofthat report (Rule 48.2(g))
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`(54) Title: GUT MICROFLORA AS BIOMARKERS FOR THE PROGNOSIS OF CIRRHOSIS AND BRAIN DYSFUNCTION
`
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`(57) Abstract: A systems biology approach is used to characterize and relate the intestinal (gut) microbiome of a host organism (e.g.
`a human) to physiological proccsscs Within the host. Information regarding thc types and rclativc amounts of gut microflora is cor-
`related with physiological processes indicative of, e. g, a patient's risk of developing a disease or condition, likelihood of responding
`to a particular treatment, for adjusting treatment protocols, etc. The information is also used to identify novel suitable therapeutic tar—
`gets and/or to develop and monitor the outcome of therapeutic treatments. An exemplary disease/condition is the development of
`hepatic encephalopathy (HE), particularly in patients With liver cirrhosis.
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`GUT MICROFLORA AS BIOMARKERS FOR THE PROGNOSIS OF
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`CERRHOSIS AND BRAIN DYSFUNCTION
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`DESCRIPTION
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`BACKGROUND OF THE ENVENTEON
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`Field ofrhe Invention
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`The invention generally relates to methods for predicting, for patients, a level of risk
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`fOr developing a disease or condition associated with particular patterns of gut microflora
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`(microbiome) colonization. in particular, the inventiori provides methods of correlating the
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`presence or absence and/or relative abundances of gut microflora with a patient’s risk of
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`developing an associated disease or condition, and deveIOping suitable treatments based on
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`the correlation.
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`Background 01’th Invention
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`The human body, consisting of about 100 trillion cells, carries about ten times as
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`many microorganisms in the intestines. It is estimated that these gut flora have around 100
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`times as many genes in aggregate as there are in the human genome. Research suggests that
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`the relationship between gut flora and humans is not merely commensal (a non—harmful
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`coexistence), but rather a symbiotic relationship. These microorganisms perform a host of
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`useful functions, such as fermenting unused energy substrates, training the immune system,
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`forming a protective mucosal biofilm, preventing growth of harmful, pathogenic bacteria,
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`regulating the development of the gut, producing vitamins for the host (cg. biotin and
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`vitamin K), producing hormones to direct the host to store fats, producing signaling
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`molecules that promote homeostasis, metabolizing drugs and xenobiotics, etc. However, in
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`certain conditions, some species are thought to be capable of causing or promoting disease.
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`For example, cirrhosis is often complicated by hepatic encephalopathy (HE), a
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`condition characterized by cognitive impairment and poor survival, and there is evidence
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`that pathogenic abnormalities in HE are related to the gut flora and their by—products, such
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`as ammonia and endotoxin in the setting of intestinal barrier dysfunction and systemic
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`inflammation. However, no clear correspondence between cognitive impairment and gut
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`microfiora has been established.
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`The current treatments for HE rely on manipulation of the gut flora. However, this
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`treatment is not successful in all cases. Success is hampered by a poor understanding of the
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`identity and mechanism of action of gut flora.
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`Moreover, prior techniques for the characterization of gut flora has been severely
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`limited by the use of culture—based techniques that do not support the growth of the majority
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`of the intestinal bacteria.
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`The prior art has thus far failed to provide methods of readily and accurately
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`assessing the complement of microfiora present in an individual, and/or of correlating the
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`presence of particular microbes with particular diseases and conditions, and/or the risk of
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`developing the same. This is particularly true with respect to patients with HE.
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`SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION
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`The invention provides methods for assessing the gut microflora of individuals, for
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`identifying appropriate therapeutic targets and developing appropriate treatment protocols
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`based on the assessment, and for monitoring the progress or outcome of treatment strategies.
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`The methods involve the use of a systems biology approach using correlation network
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`analysis (or similar approaches including without limitation non—parametric multivariate
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`analysis, a Support Vector Machine, correlation difference network analysis, Dirichlet
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`models, Bayesian models, and Linear models) to characterize the intestinal microflora of an
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`individual, and to relate the patterns or distributions of microflora (“signatures”) to
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`physiological processes, metabolic processes (metabolome), and clinical measures of health.
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`The complex interactions of the microbiome and the human host are defined herein as the
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`metabiome. For example, the signatures are correlated with various hallmarks or symptoms
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`of disease and the activation and/or deactivation of physiological proc esses related to disease,
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`based on known, previously established prototype signatures. Information gained by the
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`methods of the invention may be advantageously used, for example, to diagnose conditions,
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`to confirm diagnoses, to predict a patient’s risk of developing a disease or condition (e. g.
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`prior to the onset of symptoms), to identify suitable therapeutic targets, and to monitor or
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`track the outcome of therapeutic intervention. In particular, methods related to individuals
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`who suffer from liver diseases, as well as those who have HE or who are at risk for
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`developing HE are provided.
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`The present invention provides methods of assessing the presence or the risk of
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`development of encephalopathy in a patient with liver disease. The methods comprise the
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`steps of l) analyzing gut microflora of said patient in order to determine a gut microbiome
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`signature for said patient; 2) comparing said gut microbiome signature of said patient to one
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`or more gut microbiome reference signatures, wherein said one or more gut microbiome
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`reference signatures include at least one of a positive gut microbiome reference signature
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`based on results from control subjects with encephalopathy and a negative gut microbiome
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`reference signature based on results from control subjects without encephalopathy; and if
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`said gut microbiome signature for said patient statistically significantly matches said
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`positive gut microbiome reference signature, (e.g. includes the same types and/or the same
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`relative abundances, ratios, etc. of microflora in statistically significant amounts), then
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`concluding that said patient has or is at risk of developing encephalopathy; andx'or if said gut
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`microbiome signature for said patient statistically significantly matches said negative gut
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`microbiome reference signature, then concluding that said patient does not have or is not at
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`risk of developing encephalopathy. In some embodiments, a statistically significant match
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`has a P value of 0.05 or less. In some embodiments, the gut microflora is analyzed in a
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`biological sample preferably selected from a stool sample, a sample of the lumen content, a
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`mucosal biopsy sample, an oral sample, a blood sample and a urine sample. In other
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`embodiments, the gut microbiome signature may include one or more of: bacterial taxa
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`identified in said biological sample; bacterial metabolic products in said biological sample;
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`and proteins in said biological sample. In yet other embodiments, the gut microbiome
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`signature is based on an analysis of amplification products of DNA and/or RNA of said gut
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`microflora, e.g. is based on an analysis of amplification products of genes coding for one or
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`more of: Small Subunit rRNA, Intervening Transcribed Spacer, and Large Subunit rRNA. In
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`some embodiments, the gut microbiome signature includes results obtained by assaying the
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`mRNA composition of said biological samples. In some embodiments, the liver disease is
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`cirrhosis and the encephalopathy is hepatic encephalopathy (HE). In some embodiments of
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`the invention, the gut microbiome signature of said patient includes an indication of the
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`presence and/or relevant abundance of at least one of Alcaligeneceae, Blautia, Bm‘kholderia,
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`Enterobacteriaceae, Fecalibactcrium. Fitsobacteriaccae, Incertae Sedis' XIV,
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`Lachnospimceae, Porphyromonadaceae, Roseburia, Ruminococcaceae and Veillonellaceae.
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`In other embodiments, when the gut niicroflora signature of said patient
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`indicates the
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`presence of Alcaligencceae and Porphyromonadaceae in said gut microflora,
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`then said
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`concluding step results in a conclusion that said patient has or is at risk of developing
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`encephalopathy. In other embodiments, the method further comprises the step of assessing,
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`based on said gut microbiome signature,
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`the presence or the risk of development of
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`inflammation, endotoxemia, and/or endothelial dysfunction in said patient.
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`In yet other
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`embodiments,
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`the one or more symptoms of a disease or condition is differentiated from
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`normal conditions using at least one methodology selected from the group consisting of
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`nonparametric multivariate analysis, a Support Vector Machine, correlation network
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`analysis, correlation difference network analysis, Dirichlet models, Bayesian models, and
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`Linear models.
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`The invention also provides a treatment method for a patient with a liver disease The
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`method comprises the steps of l) analyzing gut microflora of said patient in order to
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`determine a gut microbiome signature for said patient; 2) comparing said gut microbiome
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`signature of said patient to one or more gut microbiome reference signatures; and, based on
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`said step of comparing, 3) concluding whether or not said patient has or is at risk for
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`developing at least one of
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`one or more conditions of interest; and if said patient has or is at
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`risk for developing at least one of said one or more conditions of interest, then selecting
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`from one or more treatment protocols appropriate for said one or more conditions of interest.
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`In some embodiments, the one or more conditions of interest include encephalopathy,
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`inflammation, endotoxemia, endothelial dysfunction and coma. In other embodiments, the
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`treatment protocols include one or more of: antiwviral therapy for hepatitis B, C and/or D;
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`weight loss therapy; surgery for non—alcoholic liver disease and obesity~assoeiated liver
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`disease, alcohol abstinence for alcoholic liver disease, therapy for Wilson’s disease, alpha-l
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`anti~trypsin repletion, and therapies specific for hepatic encephalopathy and liver transplant.
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`The invention provides a method of monitoring the efficacy of a treatment protocol
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`in a patient with liver disease or a condition associated with liver disease, comprising the
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`steps of l) analyzing gut micreflora of said patient in order to determine a gut microbiome
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`signature for said patient; and 2) comparing said gut microbiome signature of said patient to
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`one or more gut microbiome reference signatures, wherein said one or more gut microbiome
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`reference signatures include at least one of a positive gut microbiome reference signature
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`based on results from control subjects with encephalopathy and a negative gut microbiome
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`reference signature based on results from centrol subjects without encephalopathy; wherein
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`if said gut microbiome signature for said patient Statistically significantly matches said
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`positive gut microbiome reference signature, then concluding that said treatment protocol is
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`not efficacious. Alternatively, the process could conclude that said treatment protocol is
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`efficacious if said gut microbiome signature for said patient statistically significantly
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`matches said negative gut microbiome reference signature. However, a treatment protocol
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`may be deemed efficacious even if the treated patient’s signature does not match that of a
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`healthy (or asymptomatic) control, so long as the signature indicates a change away from the
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`signature of a control group with encephalopathy, eg. lowered amounts of non—beneficial
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`bacteria (e.g. at least about 10% lower, or 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90 or even 100%
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`decrease in the presence of at least one unwanted bacterium, and/or a corresponding increase
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`in at least one beneficial or desirable bacterium). ln some embodiments, the method further
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`comprises the step of repeating said steps of said method at multiple spaced—apart time
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`intervals, e.g. said method is carried out prior to commencement of said treatment protocol,
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`during said treatment protocol and/or after cessation of said treatment protocol.
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`BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
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`Figure 1. Principal Coordinate Analysis of the Fecal Microbiome of Controls and Cirrhotic
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`Patients. This graph shows the variation in fecal microbiome plotted on a principal
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`coordinate analysis plot. Points that are closer to each other are similar with respect to their
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`stool microbiota. The healthy controls represented by the black dots are clustered together
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`while the cirrhotic patients represented by the gray dots are distant from the controls. This
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`indicates a difference in the stool microbiome of healthy controls compared to eiirhotie
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`patients.
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`Figure 2A—B. Correlation Network Analysis of Cirrhotic Patients with and without Hepatic
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`Encephalopathy. Only correlations with a coefficient 220.90 are displayed. Grey nodes
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`indicate microbiome families; white nodes indicate cognitive tests and black nodes are
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`serum inflammatory markers. A dashed line connecting nodes indicate positive correlation
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`and a solid line indicates negative correlation >090. The p values for the correlations are
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`displayed on or near the lines connecting the nodes. MELD: model for end—stage liver
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`disease score, DST: digit symbol test, LDTe: line drawing test errors.
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`A, Patients with HE (n=l7) have a high number of significant correlations. There are
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`significant positive correlations between lL—23 and several bacterial families. Prevorellaceae
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`and Fusobaczeriaceae are positively correlated with inflammation. Since a low score on
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`DST and high one on LDTe
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`indicate poor performance, Alcaligerraceae
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`and
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`Porphyromonadaceae were correlated with poor cognition. The p—values for all
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`these
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`correlations are less than the 4‘h decimal place indicating a very high significance.
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`B, Patients without HE have very few significant correlations (n38). There was a significant
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`negative correlation between MELD score and Ruminococcaceae and a positive correlation
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`between Veilloneliaccae and Porphyromonadaceac.
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`Figure SAuF. Correlation Network and Sub-networks of the mucosal inicrobiome of HE
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`patients. A, correlation Network of the mucosal microbiorne of HE patients As can be seen,
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`autoehthonous genera belonging to the Rrrmr'nococcaceae, Lacimospiraceae and Incertae
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`Sedis families are associated with good cognition,
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`lower MELD,
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`lower ammonia, and
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`decreased inflammation. Sub—networks from this complex network are displayed in the
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`figures 8—1:; B, sub-network of the HE mucosa microbiome showing the negative correlation
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`of the autochthonous bacteria to MELD score and inflammation; C, sub—network of the HE
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`mucosa microbiorne showing the negative correlation of the inflammatory cytokines,
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`particularly IL~17 with autochthonous bacteria and positive correlation with Lures
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`(indicating worse cognition with increased inflammation), endothelial activation (leAM—l),
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`MELD
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`score
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`and
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`non—autochthonous
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`bacterial
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`genera
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`(Burkholdcriaceae,
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`Erysrpelorhricaceae; D, a high lure number indicates poor cognition. This sub—network of
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`the HE mucosa microbiome shows that lures are negatively correlated with autochthonous
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`bacterial genera (Rosebzzrt’a and Dar—ea) while they are correlated positively with
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`Burkholderiaceae and Incertae scdr’s X? and as expected with ammonia and inflammatory
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`cytokines; E, a high number on NCT—B indicates poor performance. This sub—network of the
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`HE mucosal microbiome shows a negative correlation i.e. good NCT—B performance with
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`the abundances of Ruminococcaceae_Fecalibactermm. This autochthonous genus has been
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`associated with lower MELD score, lower inflammation (EL-1’7 and IL—10) and is positively
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`correlated with other beneficial autochthonous bacteria; F, M2gasphaera was significantly
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`more abundant
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`in HE;
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`in this
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`sub—network Megasphaem abundance is significantly
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`correlated with sVCAMwl
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`(marker of endothelial activation) and with poor cognitive
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`performance (a high score on SDT and LDTt indicates poor while a high score on DST
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`indicates good cognitive performance). Connecting dashed lines indicate a significant
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`negative while solid lines mean a significantly positive correlation. Nodes in gray are
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`bacterial genera, double cross hatch are inflammatory eytokines, white are cognitive tests,
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`black are clinical variables, heavy cross hatch are markers of endothelial activation and fine
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`cross hatch are neuro-glial markers. A high score on DST (digit symbol) and Targets
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`indicates good cognition while a high score on the rest of the cognitive tests indicates poor
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`performance. SDT: serial dotting, LDTt: Line tracing test
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`time and NCT—A/B: number
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`connection test ALB.
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`Figure 4A-D. Correlation network and sub-networks of the mucosal microbiome of patients
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`without HE. Indicators and abbreviations are the same as in Figure 3. A, Correlation
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`network of the mucosal microbiome of patients without HE. Autochthonous genera
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`belonging to the Ruminococcaceae, Lac/mospiraceae and Incertae Sedis families are
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`associated with good cognition,
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`lower MELD, ammonia, and inflammation; B,
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`this
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`subwnetwork of patients without HE shows that bacteria genera belonging to autochthonous
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`families (Ruminococcaccac and Lachnospiraceae) are positively correiated with each other
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`while
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`negatively
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`correlated with potentially
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`pathogenic Enterobacteriaceae
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`and
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`Propionibacierimn; C, this sttbmnetwork of the nowHE mucosal microbiome again shows the
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`positive correlation of the autochthonous bacteria with each other and a negative correlation
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`with time required to complete NCTnA, which indicates good cognitive performance; D, a
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`high score on targets and low score on lures indicates good cognitive performance. We again
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`found a correlation between poor performance on lures and targets with genera belonging to
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`Porphyromonadaccae and Alcaligenaceae.
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`Figure 5A-B is a schematic diagram and flow chart of a system and method for performing
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`the various embodiments of the invention.
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`DETAILED DESCRIPTION
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`The pathogenesis of HE spans several metabolic processes, and a systems biology
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`approach was used as described herein to identify novel functional correlations between HE
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`and gut microflora. As such, HE provides an exemplary system for the application of the
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`methods and systems of the invention. For example, the studies disclosed herein successfully
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`demonstrated a link between the composition of the gut microbiome and cognition,
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`inflammation, and endothelial dysfunction in cirrhotic patients with and without HE. The a
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`priori hypothesis was that the gut microbiome composition (“signature”) would be correlated
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`with cognition and inflammation in cirrhotic patients with HE and that this association or
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`signature would be different from those who have never developed HE. This hypothesis was
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`confirmed, and has led to the development of methods of assessing the propensity (risk,
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`likelihood, etc.) of a patient to develop a disease knovvn to be associated with a particular
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`pattern of gut microflora, methods of identifying suitable therapeutic targets (and hence
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`targeted treatment protocols), methods of developing treatment protocols, and methods of
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`monitoring the progress of treatment. In addition, the gut microflora signature may be used as
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`the basis for developing targeted motecules to counter the inflammation, bacterial
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`end—products and microflora and/or to produce prebiotics/probioticsfmodified bacteria {e.g.
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`genetically modified bacteria) to replenish, in individuals in need thereof, abnonnaliy low
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`quantities of autochthonous bacteria. associated with the gut of healthy or asymptomatic
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`individuals, and to reduce the harmful bacteria associated with untoward or undesirable
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`conditions such as inflammation and brain dysfunction.
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`The foliowing definitions are used throughout:
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`Gut. The gut of an individual generally comprises, for example, the stomach (or stomachs, in
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`ruminants), the colon, the small intestine, the large intestine, cecum, and the rectum.
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`However, in some embodiments, other organs andi’or cavities may be included in this
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`category. In addition, regions of the gut may be subdivided, e. g. the right vs the left side of
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`the colon may have different microflora populations due to the time required for digesting
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`materiai to move through the colon, and changes in its composition with time. Synonyms
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`include the gastrointestinal tract, or possibly the digestive system, although the latter is
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`generally also understood to comprise the mouth, esophagus, etc.
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`Microfiora refers to the coliective bacteria and other microorganisms in an ecosystem of a
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`host (e.g. an animal such as a human) or in a single part of the host’s body, e.g. the gut. An
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`equivalent term is “microbiota”.
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`Microbiome: the totality of microbes (bacteria, fungae, protists), their genetic elements
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`(genomes) in a defined environment, e. g. within the gut of a host.
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`Metabolome: all the metaboiic compounds in a defined environment, e. g. within the gut of a
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`host.
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`Immunome: all the immune interactions within the host and between the host and
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`microbiome in a defined environment, e.g. within the gut of a host.
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`Metabiome: all the interactions between the microbiome, the human host and environment in
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`a defined environment, e.g. the microbiome, metabolome, and immunome.
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`Transcriptome: the mRNA composition of a sample.
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`Prebiotics are non-digestibie food ingredients that stimulate the growth and/or activity of
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`bacteria in the digestive system. Typically, prebiotics are carbohydrates (such as
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`oligosaecharides), but the term may include non-carbohydrates. The most prevalent forms of
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`prebiotics are nutritionaily classed as soluble fiber. Exemplary prebiotics include but are not
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`limited to various short—chain, long—chain, and “full—spectrum” polysaccharides such as
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`oligofructose, inulin, polysaccharides with molecular link—lengths from 2—64 links per
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`molecule [c.g. Oligofructose—Bnriched Inulin (0131)], galactooligosaccharides, and others.
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`The term prebiotics may refer to commercial preparations of purified forms of these
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`substances, and/or to natural sources, e. g. soybeans, inulin sources (such as Jerusalem
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`artichoke, jicama, and chicory root), raw oats, unrefined Wheat, unrefined barley, yacon,
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`oligosaccharides from milk, etc.
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`Probiotics are live microorganisms thought to be beneficial to the host organism, examples of
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`which include lactic acid bacteria (LAB), bifidobacteria, certain yeasts and bacilli, etc.
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`Treatment with probiotics as described herein may be implemented by their consumption as
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`part of fermented foods with specially added active live cultures (e.g. yogurt, soy yogurt,
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`kefir, various cheeses, etc. ) or as dietary suppiements (eg. tablets, powders, liquids, etc.
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`which contain probiotie organisms), or in any other form.
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`Unless defined otherwise, all technical and scientific terms used herein have the same
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`meaning as commonly understood by one of ordinary skill in the art to which this invention
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`belongs. Although any methods and materials similar or equivalent to those described herein
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`can also be used in the practice or testing of the present invention, representative illustrative
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`methods and materials are now described.
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`In one embodiment, the present invention provides methods for diagnosing patients at
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`risk for developing a disease or condition correlated with the presence or absence of (and/or
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`the relative distribution of) particular taxa of microbes in the gut, or in a particular component
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`of or location within the gut. Such patients may have a higher than average or higher than
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`nonnal chance of developing overt symptoms of the disease or condition, compared to
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`individuals who have different gut microbes, or different amounts of microbes, or different
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`relative amounts of microbes. Early identification of such a propensity allows early
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`intervention, 6. g. by altering the identity and/or the relative abundance of gut mierofiora
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`associated with, and possibly causing, the disease/condition, so that development of the
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`disease/condition may be avoided, or delayed, or the associated symptoms may be lessened.
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`In some embodiments, the patient may already exhibit overtly one or more symptoms
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`of a disease of interest. But, by using the methods of the invention, it is possible to ascertain
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`Whether or not a likely cause of the disease sympt0m(s) is gut microfiora identity
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`(composition of the microbiomc) and/or distribution, and hence whether or not gut microflora
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`are a likely target for successful treatment. In other embodiments, a subject may be
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`asymptomatic with respect to a disease or condition of interest, but for some reason, may be
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`deemed susceptible to developing the disease or condition, and the methods of the invention
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`provide a way to predict whether or not this is likely to occur. in some embodiments, the
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`identification of particular microflora (e.g. of particular phyla, genera or species of microbe)
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`may allow targeted therapies directed against the microbe or microbes which are undesirable,
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`and/0r therapies which increase the amount of desirable gut microflora, e.g. those which
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`compete with the undesirable microbes, and/or which supply activities or produce substances
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`which are beneficial, especially with respect to the disease or condition of interest.
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`The methods of die invention may involve steps of identifying a patient, the health or
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`medical condition of whom might benefit from the knowiedge provided by the method. The
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`patient may be completely asymptomatic at the time of the analysis (but for some reason, a
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`medical professional determines that the patient may benefit from the practice of the
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`invention, e.g. the patient may be known to have a liver condition or disease), or the patient
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`may be in the eariy, or even Eater, stages of the disease, and can benefit from the knowledge
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`of the status of the gut microflora. In order to practice the methods of the invention, generally
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`a sample of gut microfiora is obtained from the patient by any method known to those of skili
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`in the art, and the sample is tested for the presence or absence of, and/or for the relative
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`abundance of, at least one taxon of microbes. Generally, the taxa which are targeted for
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`assessment are one or more la‘xa, the presence of which is known to be correlated with a
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`particular disease or condition, or with particular symptoms associated or correlated with a
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`disease/condition. In some embodiments, identification of a singie or a few (e.g. about 10 or
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`fewer, or about 100 or fewer) key microbes may be sufficient to iink the presence of the
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`microbes to the likely deveiopment of a disease. However, in other embodiments, a broad
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`taxonomy determination is made, e. g. dozens, hundreds, or thousands [or more) taxa may be
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`targeted for assessment of their presence and/or absence and/or relative abundance.
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`Suitable biological samples for interrogation using the methods of the invention
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`inciude but are not limited to: samples of gut contents and/or mucosal biopsies obtained
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`directiy by an invasive technique e.g. by surgery, by rectal or intestinal sampling via
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`colonoscopy-type procedures, or by other means. Preferably, samples are obtained by iess
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`invasive methods, e.g. stool samples, inciuding stool cards, gas pacs, home collection, etc.
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`In one embodiment, oral samples, such as oral rinses, oral swabs etc. are collected e.g. to
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`correlate the oral microbiome with the gut microbiome, or for other purposes.
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`After a sample is obtained, the types andfor the quantity (e. g. occurrence) in the
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`sample of at least one microbe of interest is determined. In addition, a total amount of
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`microbes may be determined, and then for each constituent microbe, a fractional percentage
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`(e.g. relative amount, ratio, distribution, frequency, percentage, etc.) of the total is calculated.
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`The result is typically correlated with at least one suitable control result, e.g. control results of
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`the same parameter(s) obtained from healthy individuals (negative control), and/or
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`individuals known to have a disease or condition of interest (positive control), or from
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`subjects who have had the disease and condition of int