`
`No. 23-60167
`
`
`
`In The United States Court of Appeals
`for the Fifth Circuit
`
`
`ILLUMINA, INC. AND GRAIL, INC.,
`Petitioners,
`v.
`FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION,
`Respondent.
`
`
`
`Petition for Review from an Order of
`the Federal Trade Commission
`Agency No. 9401
`
`
`
`BRIEF FOR AMERICAN ECONOMIC LIBERTIES PROJECT
`AS AMICUS CURIAE IN SUPPORT OF RESPONDENTS
`
`
`Katherine Van Dyck
`Lee A. Hepner
`AMERICAN ECONOMIC LIBERTIES PROJECT
`2001 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Suite 540
`Washington, DC 20006
`(202) 904-8101
`kvandyck@economicliberties.us
`
`Counsel for Amicus Curiae
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 2 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`CERTIFICATE OF INTERESTED PERSONS
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`The undersigned counsel of record certifies that the following listed
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`persons and entities as described in the fourth sentence of Rule 28.2.1—
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`in addition to the persons listed on the certificates of interested persons
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`submitted by Petitioners Illumina, Inc. and Grail, Inc.; Respondent
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`Federal Trade Commission; and the various amici curiae— have an
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`interest in the outcome of this case. These representations are made in
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`order that the judges of this court may evaluate possible disqualification
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`or recusal.
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`
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`1. American Economic Liberties Project, Amicus Curiae
`
`
`Dated: August 2, 2023
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`s/ Katherine Van Dyck ___________
`Katherine Van Dyck
`Lee A. Hepner
`American Economic Liberties Project
`2001 Pennsylvania Avenue NW
`Suite 540
`Washington, DC 20006
`(202) 904-8101
`kvandyck@economicliberties.us
`
`Counsel for Amicus Curiae
`
`i
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 3 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`TABLE OF CONTENTS
`
`CERTIFICATE OF INTERESTED PERSONS ......................................... i
`
`TABLE OF AUTHORITIES .................................................................... iii
`
`CITATION ABBREVIATIONS ................................................................ vi
`
`INTEREST OF AMICUS .......................................................................... 1
`
`SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT ................................................................... 2
`
`ARGUMENT ............................................................................................. 5
`
`I.
`
`THE CLAYTON ACT IS CONCERNED WITH FUTURE
`MARKET CONDITIONS ................................................................. 5
`
`II. THE R&D MARKET IS A PROPER LINE OF COMMERCE ........ 8
`
`A.
`
`B.
`
`C.
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`The R&D Market for MCED Tests Already Exists ................ 9
`
`The Impact of Innovation on Competition is Widely
`Recognized ............................................................................. 11
`
`Future Market Entrants Play An Important Role in
`Competition ........................................................................... 16
`
`III. CONCLUSION ............................................................................... 21
`
`CERTIFICATE OF COMPLIANCE ........................................................ 23
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`CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE ................................................................. 23
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`
`ii
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 4 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`TABLE OF AUTHORITIES
`
`Cases
`
`Atari Games Corp. v. Nintendo of Am., Inc., 897 F.2d 1572 (Fed.
`Cir. 1990) ........................................................................................ 13
`
`Bostock v. Clayton Cty., 140 S. Ct. 1731 (2020) ................................... 6
`
`Brown Shoe v. United States, 370 U.S. 294 (1962) .................. 3, 5, 6, 9
`
`Cal. v. Am. Stores Co., 495 U.S. 271 (1990) ......................................... 5
`
`Catch Curve, Inc. v. Venali, Inc., 519 F. Supp. 2d 1028 (C.D. Cal.
`2007) ............................................................................................... 13
`
`DAT Sols., LLC v. Convoy, Inc., No. 22-cv-00088, 2023 WL
`3058057 (D. Or. Apr. 24, 2023) ...................................................... 13
`
`Ford Motor Co. v. United States, 405 U.S. 562 (1972) ....................... 20
`
`Fraser v. Major League Soccer, L.L.C., 97 F. Supp. 2d 130 (D.
`Mass. 2000) ..................................................................................... 10
`
`FTC v. Elders Grain, Inc., 868 F.2d 901 (7th Cir. 1989) ................. 3, 7
`
`FTC v. PPG Indus., Inc., 798 F.2d 1500 (D.C. Cir. 1986) .......... passim
`
`FTC v. Procter & Gamble Co., 386 U.S. 568 (1967) ............................. 6
`
`Loctite Corp. v. Ultraseal Ltd., 781 F.2d 861 (Fed. Cir. 1985) ........... 13
`
`Mercantile Texas Corp. v. Bd. of Governors of Fed. Rsrv. Sys., 638
`F.2d 1255 (5th Cir. 1981) ....................................................... passim
`
`New York ex rel. Schneiderman v. Actavis PLC, 787 F.3d 638 (2d
`Cir. 2015 ......................................................................................... 13
`
`PLS.Com, LLC v. Nat’l Ass’n of Realtors, 32 F.4th 824 (9th Cir.
`2022), cert. denied sub nom., 143 S. Ct. 567 (2023) ....................... 12
`
`iii
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`
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 5 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`Sanger Ins. Agency v. HUB Int’l, Ltd., 802 F.3d 732 (5th Cir.
`2015) ............................................................................................... 19
`
`SCM Corp. v. Xerox Corp., 645 F.2d 1195 (2d Cir. 1981) .................. 10
`
`United States v. AlliedSignal Inc., No. 99-cv-2959, 2000 WL
`33115901 (D.D.C. Mar. 22, 2000) ................................................... 14
`
`United States v. Aluminum Co. of Am., 148 F.2d 416 (2d Cir.
`1945) ............................................................................................... 12
`
`United States v. Bos. Sci. Corp., 253 F. Supp. 2d 85 (D. Mass.
`2003) ............................................................................................... 13
`
`United States v. E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co., 353 U.S. 586
`(1957) ............................................................................................ 6, 7
`
`United States v. El Paso Nat. Gas Co., 376 U.S. 651 (1964) .............. 17
`
`United States v. Falstaff Brewing Corp., 410 U.S. 526 (1973)........... 17
`
`United States v. Grinnell Corp., 384 U.S. 563 (1966) ........................ 18
`
`United States v. Marine Bancorporation, Inc., 418 U.S. 602
`(1974) .............................................................................................. 17
`
`United States v. Microsoft, 253 F.3d 34 (D.C. Cir. 2001) ................... 19
`
`United States v. Penn-Olin Chem. Co., 378 U.S. 158 (1964) ............. 18
`
`United States v. Philadelphia Nat’l Bank, 374 U.S. 321 (1963) ...... 7, 8
`
`United States v. Sungard Data Sys., Inc., 172 F. Supp. 2d 172
`(D.D.C. 2001) .................................................................................. 19
`
`Woods Expl. & Producing Co. v. Aluminum Co. of Am., 438 F.2d
`1286 (5th Cir. 1971) ....................................................................... 12
`
`Administrative Decisions
`
`In the Matter of Adobe Sys. Inc., et al., 118 F.T.C. 940 (1994) .......... 14
`
`iv
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 6 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`In the Matter of Am. Home Prod. Corp., 119 F.T.C. 217 (1995) ........ 14
`
`In the Matter of Amgen Inc., et al., 134 F.T.C. 333 (2002) ................. 14
`
`In the Matter of Ciba-Geigy Ltd., et al., No. 961-0055, 1996 WL
`743359 (F.T.C. Dec. 5, 1996) .......................................................... 14
`
`In the Matter of Roche Holding Ltd., et al., 113 F.T.C. 1086 (1990)
` ........................................................................................................ 14
`
`Statutes
`
`15 U.S.C. § 18 .................................................................................... 2, 5
`
`Legislative Materials
`
`H.R. Rep. No. 1191, 81st Cong., 1st Sess. 8 (1949) ................................ 5
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`S. Rep. No. 1775, 81st Cong., 2d Sess. (1950) ....................................... 7
`
`Other Sources
`
`Prepared Remarks of Federal Trade Commissioner Christine A.
`Varney, Competition Policy
`in Vertical Mergers and
`Innovation Markets (Apr. 1995) ................................................... 3, 4
`
`Richard J. Gilbert & Steven C. Sunshine, Incorporating Dynamic
`Efficiency Concerns in Merger Analysis: The Use of Innovation
`Markets, 63 ANTITRUST L.J. 569 (1995) ......................................... 14
`
`U.S. Dep’t of Justice & Fed. Trade Comm’n, Draft Merger
`Guidelines 15 (2023) ....................................................................... 14
`
`U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Vertical Merger Guidelines (2020) ................... 14
`
`
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`
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`v
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 7 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`CITATION ABBREVIATIONS
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`
`
`This Brief uses the same abbreviations used in Petitioners’ Brief
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`and Respondent’s Brief, including the following:
`
`Conc. Op.
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`Concurring Opinion of Commissioner Wilson
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`IDF
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`Op.
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`Initial Decision Findings of Fact
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`Opinion of the Commission
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`Pet. Br.
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`Petitioners’ Brief
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`vi
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 8 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`INTEREST OF AMICUS
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`
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`American Economic Liberties Project (“AELP”) is an independent
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`nonprofit
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`research and advocacy
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`organization dedicated
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`to
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`understanding and addressing the problem of concentrated economic
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`power in the United States.1 AELP organizes and employs a diverse set
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`of leading policy experts in a wide range of areas impacted by
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`concentrated power that include the healthcare industry, private equity,
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`airlines, and the digital marketplace. It advocates for policies that
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`address today’s crisis of concentration through legislative efforts and
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`public policy debates. AELP submits this brief because Petitioners are
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`attempting to rewrite the Clayton Act, so it will become blind to the
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`effects of mergers and acquisitions on innovation, research, and
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`development. Our antitrust laws cannot protect competition if merger
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`challenges supported by clear evidence of foreclosure are rejected based
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`on convoluted, burdensome, and unrealistic requirements for market
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`definition that ignore the effects of acquisitions on future market
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`conditions.
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`1 https://www.economicliberties.us/.
`
`1
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 9 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`Pursuant to Federal Rule of Appellate Procedure 29(a)(4)(E), no
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`party’s counsel authored this brief in whole or part. In addition, no party
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`or party’s counsel, and no person other than the amicus curiae, its
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`supporters, or its counsel, contributed money that was intended to fund
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`preparing or submitting the brief. All parties have consented to the filing
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`of this amicus brief.
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`SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT
`
`
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`Petitioners Illumina, Inc. and Grail, Inc.’s (“Petitioners”) criticism
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`of the product market definition adopted by both the full Commission and
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`the administrative law judge (“ALJ”)—that it is “unprecedentedly broad
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`and speculative” (Pet. Br. 29)—is wholly inconsistent with the purpose of
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`Section 7 of the Clayton Act, 15 U.S.C. § 18, and ignores how courts and
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`enforcers have interpreted the law from its inception. The Supreme Court
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`told us in its seminal decision in Brown Shoe v. United States that Section
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`7 is forward looking:
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`[T]he very wording of [Section] 7 requires a prognosis of the
`probable future effect of the merger.
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`….
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`It is the probable effect of the merger upon the future as well
`as the present which the Clayton Act commands the courts
`and the Commission to examine.
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`2
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 10 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`370 U.S. 294, 332 (1962) (emphasis added).
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`
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`Petitioners’ claim that the Federal Trade Commission “invent[ed] a
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`legally erroneous R&D market”, (Pet. Br. 38) (emphasis added), is belied
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`not only by the long history of enforcement focused on protecting
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`innovation and future market conditions. See infra Section II.B-C. It is
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`explicitly contradicted by the enforcement prerogatives articulated by
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`counsel for Illumina when she sat as a commissioner at the FTC. As then-
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`Commissioner Varney explained in an uncontroversial set of remarks
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`about vertical merger policy, “it is the Commission’s statutory
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`responsibility to consider the possibility, or likelihood, of future
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`anticompetitive effects.” Prepared Remarks of Federal Trade
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`Commissioner Christine A. Varney, Competition Policy in Vertical
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`Mergers and Innovation Markets, at 6 (Apr. 1995) (citing FTC v. Elders
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`Grain, Inc., 868 F.2d 901, 906 (7th Cir. 1989)). Thus, “innovation market
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`analysis does not require any radical departure from the traditional tools
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`used in antitrust analysis.” Id. at 13 (emphasis added). True, there is
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`little to no pricing data to consider. But the parameters are still clear. “In
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`the innovation context, the product market consists of R&D [research and
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`3
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 11 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`development] directed to particular new or improved goods or processes,
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`and the close substitutes for that R&D.” Id. at 15.
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`
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`Petitioners’ argument today—that “speculation about future
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`substitutability cannot prove a relevant market” (Pet. Br. 30)—simply
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`cannot be squared with counsel for Illumina’s own prior interpretation of
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`the Commission’s statutory responsibilities. As Amicus AELP
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`demonstrates below, and courts have nearly always accepted, Section 7
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`is necessarily and almost exclusively concerned with future market
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`conditions and will always involve some degree of speculation. Thus, the
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`relevant product market adopted by the Commission—the “research,
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`development, and commercialization of MCED tests” (the “R&D
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`Market”)2—is wholly appropriate under both a plain reading of the
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`statute and courts’ interpretation of the phrase “any line of commerce.”
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`(Op. 24, 34; Conc. Op. 1.)
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`2 “MCED tests” are multicancer early detection tests that use a single
`blood sample to screen for multiple types of cancer. (IDF ¶21.)
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`4
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 12 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`ARGUMENT
`
`I.
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`THE CLAYTON ACT IS CONCERNED WITH FUTURE
`MARKET CONDITIONS
`
`Section 7 was designed to stop the “rising tide of economic
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`concentration.” Brown Shoe, 370 U.S. at 317. It “[wa]s intended to permit
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`intervention … when the effect of an acquisition may be a significant
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`reduction in the vigor of competition.” H.R. Rep. No. 1191, 81st Cong., 1st
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`Sess. 8 (1949) (emphasis added). The final language adopted by Congress
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`is therefore quite broad:
`
`No person engaged in commerce or in any activity affecting
`commerce … shall acquire the whole or any part of the assets
`of another person engaged also in commerce or in any activity
`affecting commerce, where in any line of commerce or in any
`activity affecting commerce in any section of the country, the
`effect of such acquisition may be substantially to lessen
`competition, or to tend to create a monopoly.
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`15 U.S.C. § 18 (emphasis added). This “creates a relatively expansive
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`definition of antitrust liability.” Cal. v. Am. Stores Co., 495 U.S. 271, 284
`
`(1990). It provides “authority for arresting mergers at a time when the
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`trend to a lessening of competition in a line of commerce was still in its
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`incipiency.” Brown Shoe, 370 U.S. at 317 (emphasis added).
`
`
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`The Supreme Court understood that “Congress used the words ‘may
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`be substantially to lessen competition’ … to indicate that its concern was
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`5
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`with probabilities, not certainties.” Id. at 323. “The section is violated
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`whether or not actual restraints or monopolies, or the substantial
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`lessening of competition, have occurred or are intended.” United States v.
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`E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co. (“E.I. du Pont”), 353 U.S. 586, 589 (1957).
`
`“If the enforcement of § 7 turned on the existence of actual
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`anticompetitive practices, the congressional policy of thwarting such
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`practices in their incipiency would be frustrated.” FTC v. Procter &
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`Gamble Co., 386 U.S. 568, 577 (1967). It would, as Justice Gorsuch wrote
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`in his textualist interpretation of Title VII of the Civil Rights Act,
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`effectively rewrite the law and “deny the people the right to continue
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`relying on [its] original meaning ….” Bostock v. Clayton Cty., 140 S. Ct.
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`1731, 1738 (2020).
`
`
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`“No doubt, Congress could have taken a more parsimonious
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`approach.” Id. at 1739. Section 7 could have used the phrase “will [or
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`shall] lessen competition or create monopolies.” Cf. id. (regarding Title
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`VII, Congress “could have added ‘solely’ to indicate that actions taken
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`‘because of’ the confluence of multiple factors do not violate the law. Or it
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`could have written ‘primarily because of’ to indicate that the prohibited
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`factor had to be the main cause of the defendant's challenged employment
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`6
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 14 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`decision”) (citations omitted). But Congress specifically aimed “to make it
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`clear that [Section 7] is not intended to revert to the Sherman Act test.”
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`S. Rep. No. 1775, 81st Cong., 2d Sess. (1950). Instead, it “was intended to
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`supplement the Sherman Act. Its aim was primarily to arrest
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`apprehended consequences of inter corporate relationships before those
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`relationships could work their evil.” E. I. du Pont, 353 U.S. at 597
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`(emphasis added) (internal citation omitted), quoted by Mercantile Texas
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`Corp. v. Bd. of Governors of Fed. Rsrv. Sys., 638 F.2d 1255, 1265 (5th Cir.
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`1981).
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`
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`Courts have consistently held that Section 7’s standards are
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`forward-looking. “[T]he statute requires a prediction, and doubts are to
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`be resolved against the transaction.” Elders Grain, 868 F.2d at 906
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`(emphasis added). And contrary to Petitioners’ position, it “does not
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`command us to determine whether only present competition has been
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`substantially lessened. In evaluating a merger under Section 7, the
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`courts have looked at its effect on future competition.” Mercantile Texas,
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`638 F.2d at 1265 (emphasis added); see also United States v. Philadelphia
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`Nat’l Bank, 374 U.S. 321, 362 (1963) (Section 7 “requires not merely an
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`appraisal of the immediate impact of the merger upon competition, but a
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`7
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 15 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`prediction of its impact upon competitive conditions in the future”); FTC
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`v. PPG Indus., Inc., 798 F.2d 1500, 1504 (D.C. Cir. 1986) (“an antitrust
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`court must, of necessity, attempt to predict the future market and the
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`merging firm's share of that market”). This applies not just in evaluating
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`how the merger might affect competition, but in determining what lines
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`of commerce are affected in the first place.
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`II. THE R&D MARKET IS A PROPER LINE OF COMMERCE
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`
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`Petitioners argue that the R&D Market adopted by the Commission
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`and the ALJ is too broad and ask this Court to decide whether a relevant
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`product market can “include speculative products that do not exist [or]
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`may never exist and are not interchangeable.” (Pet. Br. 2.) Their
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`argument ignores a vast body of work by the courts and enforcers
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`applying our antitrust laws to research and development markets, and it
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`erroneously claims that products not approved by the Food and Drug
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`Administration are too far removed from the marketplace to be
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`considered.
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`Centrally, the phrase “any line of commerce” refers to the relevant
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`market affected by the merger. Philadelphia Nat’l Bank, 374 U.S. at 356.
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`It is facially broad, and the Supreme Court has instructed that “the
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`8
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`boundaries of the relevant market must be drawn with sufficient breadth
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`to include the competing products of each of the merging companies and
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`to recognize competition where, in fact, competition exists.” Brown Shoe,
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`370 U.S. at 326. Such competition can exist even among competitors, like
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`those identified by the Commission in its opinion and internally by Grail,
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`who employ different methodologies to meet the same market demand,
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`where “the trend in their respective technological evolutions is clearly in
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`the direction of an eventual coalescence.” PPG Indus., 798 F.2d at 1502.
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`
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`In the present case, the Commission (and the ALJ) properly
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`identified a product market for the research and development of
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`potentially lifesaving cancer screening products and a small group of
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`firms already actively participating in that market. Petitioners’
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`argument that it is too speculative, and that the research and
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`development of MCEDs by Grail’s competitors is not reasonably
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`interchangeable with Grail’s research, should be rejected.
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`A. The R&D Market for MCED Tests Already Exists
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`
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`The concept of existing markets that Petitioners advocate for is
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`vastly different from the one adopted by the courts. When courts refer to
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`“existing lines of commerce,” they are describing “the acquisition or
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`9
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`merger of existing business enterprises” as opposed to “the formation of
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`an entirely new entity which itself represented the creation of an entirely
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`new market.” Fraser v. Major League Soccer, L.L.C., 97 F. Supp. 2d 130,
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`140 (D. Mass. 2000). In the latter scenario, where there are no existing
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`competitors, the creation of an entirely new entity and an entirely new
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`product cannot reduce competition. Id. But this Court is faced with the
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`former scenario, the acquisition of an existing enterprise within an
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`established product market with a small number of known, existing
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`competitors.
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`
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`Grail was formed in 2015 with the purpose of researching and
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`developing MCED tests. (IDF ¶¶20–21.) “At the time of Grail’s formation,
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`no other oncology testing company was developing liquid biopsy cancer
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`screening tests.” (Id. ¶30.) The formation of Grail and its initial endeavor
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`to create MCED tests did create an entirely new line of business, just as
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`the creation of Major League Soccer introduced a professional Division I
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`soccer league to the United States and just as Xerox’s acquisition of
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`certain patents led to an entirely new market for plain paper copiers.
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`Fraser, 97 F. Supp. 2d at 140; SCM Corp. v. Xerox Corp., 645 F.2d 1195,
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`1211 (2d Cir. 1981).
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`10
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 18 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`
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`However, the market today has changed considerably. Grail may
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`have been the first entrant into the R&D Market, but it is no longer the
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`only one. The FTC identified seven, all at different stages of research and
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`development. (Op. 14–19.) Grail itself identified six firms actively
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`engaged in MCED test development that Grail viewed as its “top tier”
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`competition. (IDF ¶¶324, 380, 422, 447, 509); see also PPG Indus., 798
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`F.2d at 1505 (describing evidence that competitors were identified by
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`merging parties in their own internal documents as “overwhelming”).
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`And all of the cited MCED test developers, including Grail, perceive the
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`technology that Illumina owns and licenses to MCED test developers as
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`critical to their work and “the only technology available.” (Op. 21; IDF
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`¶¶588, 591, 593, 598, 601–634.) The line of commerce very much exists,
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`such that a vertical merger between Petitioners would unquestionably
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`give Illumina the ability and incentive to use its control of next-
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`generation sequencing technology to foreclose new entrants in the R&D
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`Market. (Op. 43–45, 47–53; IDF ¶¶746–805.)
`
`B. The Impact of Innovation on Competition is
`Widely Recognized
`
`
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`Having established that the R&D Market is an existing one, the
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`question becomes who falls within it. Petitioners argue that the
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`11
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`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 19 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
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`Commission “invent[ed] a legally erroneous R&D market” and that there
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`is no “basis to define a relevant antitrust market based on the fact that
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`firms are working toward a general objective (e.g., developing a cancer
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`screening test).” (Pet. Br. 37–38.) This is entirely out of line with how
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`Section 7 has been applied and interpreted to acquisitions implicating
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`research and development efforts.
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`
`
`Our antitrust laws have always been concerned with the impact of
`
`anticompetitive behavior on innovation. Judge Learned Hand famously
`
`wrote:
`
`Many people believe that possession of unchallenged
`economic power deadens initiative, discourages thrift and
`depresses energy; that immunity from competition is a
`narcotic, and rivalry is a stimulant, to industrial progress;
`that the spur of constant stress is necessary to counteract an
`inevitable disposition to let well enough alone.
`
`United States v. Aluminum Co. of Am., 148 F.2d 416, 427 (2d Cir. 1945).3
`
`In sum, a “threat to innovation is anticompetitive in its own right.”
`
`United States v. Anthem, Inc., 855 F.3d 345, 361 (D.C. Cir. 2017).
`
`
`3 See also Woods Expl. & Producing Co. v. Aluminum Co. of Am., 438
`F.2d 1286, 1303 (5th Cir. 1971) (antitrust laws exist “to establish an
`atmosphere which will stimulate innovations for better service at a
`lower cost”); PLS.Com, LLC v. Nat’l Ass’n of Realtors, 32 F.4th 824, 839
`(9th Cir. 2022), cert. denied sub nom., 143 S. Ct. 567 (2023) (plaintiff
`
`
`12
`
`
`
`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 20 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
`
`
`
`Again, this concept is not new. As written in 1995:
`
`Innovation resulting from vigorous research and development
`is often the precursor to entry in markets characterized by
`sophisticated and rapidly evolving technology. A merger or
`acquisition that adversely affects innovation, therefore, may
`reduce the probability of entry into and the intensity of
`competition in markets where the merging firms do not
`compete prior to the merger.
`
`Richard J. Gilbert & Steven C. Sunshine, Incorporating Dynamic
`
`Efficiency Concerns in Merger Analysis: The Use of Innovation Markets,
`
`
`properly alleged that conduct “prevent[ing] innovative competitors from
`entering the market and growing large enough to meaningfully
`compete” was an anticompetitive effect); New York ex rel. Schneiderman
`v. Actavis PLC, 787 F.3d 638, 652 (2d Cir. 2015 (“[p]roduct innovation
`generally benefits consumers and inflicts harm on competitors”); PPG
`Indus., 798 F.2d at 1504 (“Competition between them exists not only in
`bidding but … at the stage of research and development as
`transparency manufacturers try to influence airframe customers about
`types of transparencies for future generations of aircraft.”); Atari Games
`Corp. v. Nintendo of Am., Inc., 897 F.2d 1572, 1576 (Fed. Cir. 1990)
`(citing Loctite Corp. v. Ultraseal Ltd., 781 F.2d 861, 876–77 (Fed. Cir.
`1985)) (antitrust laws are “aimed at encouraging innovation, industry
`and competition”); DAT Sols., LLC v. Convoy, Inc., No. 22-cv-00088,
`2023 WL 3058057, at *11 (D. Or. Apr. 24, 2023) (accepting allegation
`that “restraint harms competition by effectively eliminating ‘would-be
`competitors’ … by stifling innovation in the trucking industry”); Catch
`Curve, Inc. v. Venali, Inc., 519 F. Supp. 2d 1028, 1036 (C.D. Cal. 2007)
`(allegation that conduct “ha[d] a dangerous probability of ‘stifl[ing]
`innovation’ in the market” sufficient for antitrust injury); United States
`v. Bos. Sci. Corp., 253 F. Supp. 2d 85, 89 (D. Mass. 2003) (pre-merger
`“[c]ompetition between the two was intense, and the competition was a
`major catalyst for catheter innovation”) (emphasis added).
`
`13
`
`
`
`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 21 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
`
`63 ANTITRUST L.J. 569, 570 (1995). Recognizing these potential
`
`anticompetitive effects, federal agencies have routinely enforced the
`
`Clayton Act against mergers threatening harm to innovation.4 The FTC
`
`
`4 See, e.g., U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Vertical Merger Guidelines at 4 (2020)
`(a merged firm can use its control of access to a related to deter rivals
`from “innovation, entry, or expansion”); U.S. Dep’t of Justice & Fed.
`Trade Comm’n, Draft Merger Guidelines, App’x 3 at 15 (2023) (“the
`Agencies may define relevant antitrust markets around the products
`that would result from that innovation, even if they do not yet exist”);
`In the Matter of Amgen Inc., et al., 134 F.T.C. 333, 340 (2002) (consent
`decree resolving challenge to merger that would reduce “innovation
`competition” in the research and development of various treatments
`related to cancer and arthritis); United States v. AlliedSignal Inc., No.
`99-cv-2959, 2000 WL 33115901, at *17 (D.D.C. Mar. 22, 2000) (consent
`decree following merger challenge based in part on harm to innovation
`in the relevant markets); In the Matter of Ciba-Geigy Ltd., et al., No.
`961-0055, 1996 WL 743359, at *33 (F.T.C. Dec. 5, 1996) (consent degree
`recognizing that merger would affect competition in market for research
`and development of gene therapies despite no therapies having FDA
`approval); In the Matter of Am. Home Prod. Corp., 119 F.T.C. 217, 220
`(1995) (consent decree based in part on merger’s effects on market for
`research and development of rotovirus vaccine, in which only three
`vaccine producers had “research projects either in clinical development
`or near clinical development”); In the Matter of Adobe Sys. Inc., et al.,
`118 F.T.C. 940, 943 (1994) (consent decree recognizing that merger
`would “allow the merged firm to reduce innovation by delaying or
`reducing product development”); In the Matter of Roche Holding Ltd., et
`al., 113 F.T.C. 1086, 1087 (1990) (consent decree defining the product
`market as “the research, development, production and marketing of: (1)
`vitamin C, (2) therapeutics for treatment of human growth hormone
`deficiency or other short stature deficiency …, and (3) CD4–based
`therapeutics for the treatment of AIDS and HIV infection”).
`
`14
`
`
`
`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 22 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
`
`in particular has kept close tabs on the pharmaceutical and biomedical
`
`industry, where innovation is a particularly important component of
`
`firms’ successes. The instant case—in which a handful of firms are
`
`competing but all require Illumina’s technology—is no different.
`
`
`
`Competition is a critical driver of innovation among existing
`
`entities in the R&D Market. Grail and its MCED developer rivals are
`
`variously engaged in the development of MCED tests using next-
`
`generation sequencing (NGS) technology, which share the goal of
`
`screening asymptomatic adults for cancer. (IDF ¶¶130–131.) But the
`
`various MCED developers also take different technical approaches, such
`
`as Exact/Thrive’s analysis of “biomarkers”, Freenome’s “multiomic”
`
`approach, and Singlera’s “methylation” analysis. (Id. ¶¶136, 275, 351,
`
`491.) Yet each of these approaches to developing competing MCED tests
`
`rely on Illumina’s NGS platform. Different methods will have different
`
`rates of success and are likely to face different challenges in the FDA
`
`approval process, heightening the need for a multitude of approaches
`
`that could bring tests to market more quickly. (Id. ¶186.) The different
`
`firms and different methods exist in what Judge Bork once dubbed a
`
`“high technology market.” PPG Indus., 798 F.2d at 1504.
`
`15
`
`
`
`Case: 23-60167 Document: 242-1 Page: 23 Date Filed: 08/02/2023
`
`
`
`As Judge Bork explained, the propriety of such a market is not
`
`called into question by the varying features of the different products. Id.
`
`Instead, it is “buttressed” by the fact that none of them “alone will be able
`
`to meet the [] demands of the near future.” Id. And competition between
`
`Grail and the other firms does not begin when they receive FDA approval.
`
`It exists in the current research and development stage when these firms
`
`are trying to influence what type of MCEDs will ultimately be accepted
`
`and adopted by the medical community. Id. Thus, they are clearly in
`
`“direct competition” in an active, existing R&D Market. Id.
`
`C. Future Market Entrants Play An Important Role
`in Competition
`
`
`
`Innovation markets are not the only place where the impact of
`
`future market entrants on competition is considered. Take, for example,
`
`the “actual potential competition” and “perceived potential competition”
`
`doctrines applied to Section 7 and long ago adopted by the Fifth Circuit.
`
`Mercantile Texas, 638 F.2d at 1264–65. The fir

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