throbber
DIRECT
`Operational Field Test Evaluation
`Human Factors
`
`Submitted to:
`Michigan Department of Transportation
`Traffic & Safety Division
`Transportation Systems Section
`425 West Ottawa Street
`P.O. Box 30050
`Lansing, MI 48909
`
`August 1998
`Contract No. 94-1519 DAB
`
`Prepared by:
`University of Michigan
`EECS Department
`ITS Research Laboratory
`
`Jill Fleming
`Paul Green
`Stewart Katz
`
`200 Engineering Programs Building
`2609 Draper Drive
`Ann Arbor, MI 48109-2 101
`Phone: (734) 764-4333
`FAX: (734) 763-1674
`
`EECS-ITS LAB-DT98-003
`
`
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`Technical Report UMTRI-98-22
`(also listed as EECS-ITS LAB-DT98-003)
`
`June, 1998
`
`Driver Performance and
`Memory for Traffic Messages:
`Effects of the Number of Messages,
`Audio Quality, and Relevance
`
`Jill Fleming
`Paul Green
`Stewart Katz
`
`
`
`
`/
`
`
`I
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`2 Government Accession No
`
`3 Recipient s Catalog No
`
`Technical Report Documentation Page
`
`5 Repor Date
`June, 1998
`6 PerformIng Organization Code
`none
`8 Performing Organlzation Report No
`UMTRI-98-22
`10 Work Unit no (TRAIS)
`
`1 Report No
`UMTRI-98-22
`4 Title and SubtItle
`Driver Performance and Memory for
`Traffic Messanes: Effects of the Number of
`Messages, Audio Quality, and Relevance
`7 Auth or(s)
`Jill Fleming Paul Green, Stewart Katz
`9 PerformIng Organization Name and Address
`The University of Michigan
`Transportation Research Institute (UMTRI)
`2901 Baxter Rd, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109-2150
`12. Sponsonng Agency Name and Address
`Michigan Department of Transportation
`Traffic and Safety Division
`Transportation Systems Section
`425 W. Ottawa (P.O. Box 30050), Lansing, MI 48909
`Attention: Dr. Kunwar Rajendra
`15 Supplementary Notes
`also identified as report # EECS-ITS LAB-DT98-003
`Abstract
`In this experiment, 32 licensed drivers (16 young, 16 old) drove on an expressway.
`On each trial (96 per subject), 1 to 3 traffic messages containing 6 to 14 items were
`presented. (“l-94 eastbound at Southfield freeway, continuing construction, right lane
`blocked, 3 mile backup.“).Imagining they were driving from Ann Arbor to Detroit on
`l-94, subjects identified messages relevant to that route and recalled them. Messages
`were either of good or poor audio quality (to simulate poor reception).
`Drivers familiar with the route correctly recognized about 85 % of the relevant
`messages. Typically 4 items were recalled regardless of message length, with the
`road and crossroad being most common. Drivers recalled the direction to which the
`message pertained (e.g., l-94 east) only 39 percent of the time. Drivers believed the
`traffic information system was safe and useful to listen to while driving (approximately
`9 on a lo-point scale) and would pay $177 on average for one, though most subjects
`were not willing to pay anything.
`
`11 Contract of Granl No
`
`13 Type of Report and Period Covered
`final
`
`14 Sponsoring Agency Code
`
`Of the message characteristics, message audio quality had the largest adverse
`impact on performance (increasing speed variance). Differences were also found
`between (1) driving, (2) driving while listening to messages (slight increases in speed
`variance), and (3) driving while speaking with the experimenter (further increases in
`speed variance). This is in contrast to claims that dealing with auditory information
`while driving has no impact on driving workload and is not a safety concern.
`17 Key Words
` 18. Dlstnbutlon Statement
`ITS, ‘human factors, ergonomics,
`No restrictions, This document is
`driving, usability, safety,
`available to the public through the
`traffic information, auditory interfaces
`National Technical Information Service,
`Springfield, Virginia 22161
` 20. Secunty Classlf. (of this page)
`1 21. No of pages
`none
` 87
`Reproduction of completed page authorized
`
`19. Security Classlf. (of thts report)
`none
`Form DOT F 1700 7 (8-72)
`
` 22. Price
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`=—
`
`Driver Performance and Memory of Traffic
`Messages: Effects of the Number of Messages,
`Audio Quality, and Relevance
`Boe
`UMTRI Technical Report 98-22
`University of Michigan,
`Jill Fleming, Paul Green, and Stew Katz
`Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
`ER issues
`1. How doesrecall vary with message content (number of messages, terms, and
`relevant messages), message quality, and driver differences (age and sex)?
`
`2. How do driver performance (speed, headway,lateral postition) and control inputs
`(throttle, steering) vary with the message and driver characteristics?
`
`3. How easy and safe to use do drivers rate auditory traffic information systemsrelative
`to other in-vehicle tasks?
`
`4. Whatis the rated usefulnessoftraffic information systems and of each information
`element? Would drivers use such systems? How much would they pay for them?
`SET
`wartee mle
`we
`~
`wee ee eee RLa
`
`Described
`Route
`
`Ford Rd.
`
`wcngat >
`
`How many
`messages?
`
`Expernmenter:
`“Wasthat relevant to
`your route?"
`
`Expenmenter:
`"Were any of those
`relevant to your route?"
`
`|Male|
`
`|4|
`
`in worksheet
`
`Iterations
`
`Message Relevance
`Relevant
`Irrelevant
`
`Experimenter:
`Expenmenter:
`"Repeat as much
`Which
`information as you can
`Good
`Good
`wonessage(s)
`rememberfom the
`messages
`ptdt8h8
`Record information
`pepe
`
`FORDEX. 1022
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`Sew tbe esos +
`
`c
`art 38
`& £
`n& 3
`OBe 6
`® ©
`2%
`A's 3.4
`BO
`@
`=
`
`32
`
`= 110
`—
`~o
`g 2
`3S
`o D
`ra
`c;D
`B og 102
`= = 100
`x
`Q 98
`
`Young
`
`Numberof
`Messages
`~O- |
`2
`a 3
`
`Baseline Message Response
`Segmentwithin Trial
`
`Baseline Message Response
`Segment within Trial
`
`Relevant
`
`El RESULTS Pp
`
`2 Shape expected from||¢ =
`
`
`
`25 serial position curves||= § Irrelevant
`) =
`a2
`os
`— 2
`a
`os
`2 ®
`<2

`o5
`=P
`2 oO
`c
`D 6
`oo
`af
`2 c
`8 B[~B”
`53 ES 38 8 8
`oO
`5 § 8 3
`££
`&§
`BS ES
`5
`$§ £5 8
`8
`&
`8 = 8
`5
`$e &
`eB
`5
`|
`2

`*
`8
`=!
`3
`=

`
`Good
`Poo
`Message Quality
`Amount Willing Numberof
`toPay(U.S.$)
`Subjects
`0-50
`12
`70 - 100
`6
`200 - 500
`6
`
`SASSetoFgDeraSt7TEREEESSeISSSESSELESERERSASETSacSEaePRBeaSORESCNAeReMCTIRE2Fy,PBISESEyREETSTee8
`
`.
`.
`Serial Location
`of Term
`
`S
`z
`
`CONCLUSIONS
`
`1. Poor audio quality combined with lack of relevance, more than one message, and
`age led to reduced recognition of the messages. Drivers recalled less than half of the
`information presented. Approximately 4 terms from eachtraffic message were
`recalled, regardless of the amount presented.
`
`2. Poor audio quality, lack of relevance, more than one message, and response tasks
`led to poorer driving performance.
`
`3. Drivers generally felt that the system was safe for them to use, but did not believe
`that it was safe for inexperienced drivers.
`
`4. Subjects felt that the information would be useful when driving in a familiar area, but
`not in an unfamiliar area. On average,drivers were willing to pay $117 (U.S.) forthis
`type of system. However, the most commonresponse was $0.
`
`iv
`
`FORDEX. 1022
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`€
`

`

`PREFACE
`
`This report describes an on-the-road experiment conducted as part of the DIRECT
`(Driver Information Radio using Experimental Communication Technologies) Project,
`an operational field test of various low-cost traffic information systems sponsored by
`the Michigan Department of Transportation (MDOT) using funds provided by the U.S.
`Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration (FHWA). In this project
`4 mechanisms for presenting traffic information to drivers were evaluated: (1) Low
`Power Highway Advisory Radio (LPHAR), (2) Automatic Highway Advisory Radio
`(AHAR), (3) cellular call in, and (4) Radio Broadcast Data System (RBDS).
`
`LPHAR is a descendant of Highway Advisory Radio (HAR), a system that utilizes
`roadside signs with lights. A flashing light indicates when drivers should tune to a
`local station for traffic information. Unlike variable message signs, the message is not
`limited by the size of the sign or the vehicle speed which determines the time available
`to read the message. The visual distraction of reading the sign is also eliminated.
`LPHAR, a radio signal, has a range of 1.0 to 1.8 miles, localizing the message and,
`therefore, allowing for multiple messages in a region.
`
`AHAR is similar to HAR (from the driver’s perspective) except that the information is
`presented to the driver automatically, interrupting (if the driver so chooses) any
`broadcast the driver is listening to at the moment. However, the equipment used can
`be quite different from that of HAR.
`
`In cellular call in, the driver calls a particular phone number for traffic information.
`Options considered at various times included individual phone numbers for each road
`and a single phone number after which the driver entered the route number.
`Eventually, to provide more locally specific information, other data could also be
`needed (e.g., nearest exit).
`
`In the RBDS system, a system that originated in Europe, traffic information is presented
`on special channels that can be received by modified automotive radios. Also known
`as RDS-TMC (Radio Data System - Traffic Management Channel), a display with text
`messages may also be provided. The RDS-TMC system provides for interrupting
`ongoing broadcasts. To avoid driver overload and the presentation of all possible
`area traffic messages, a filter indicating the current route must be programmed by the
`driver. During the planning of this program, the authors were unaware of the driver
`task of entering the filter, a task that could prove challenging to many drivers and
`deserves examination.
`
`To examine the merits of these systems, 5 aspects pertaining to the implementation
`were investigated. In the natural use study (1), 150 drivers were loaned vehicles fitted
`with these systems for 2 weeks or 2 months for their own use (Reed, Hanafik,
`Richeson, and Underwood, 1998). Survey data concerning their usage and opinions
`were obtained. The simulation and modeling effort (2) examined the improvements in
`traffic flow in the Detroit area as a function of various levels of market penetration of
`these systems (Underwood, Juna, Gurusamy, Hadj-Alouane, and Hadj-Alouane,
`1998). Technical performance and costs were examined (3) to determine how well
`these systems functioned (signal quality, message accuracy, etc.) and to estimate
`
`V
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`production costs (Ristenbatt and Shahine, 1998). Pan of this effort included the
`collection of intelligibility data. Institutional and organization issues (4) were
`considered as part of the broader project view (Richeson, Underwood, and Waldman,
`1998).
`
`This particular report describes the final area (5), the human factors research
`conducted as part of the DIRECT project. Of particular interest was the safety and
`performance impacts of using the 4 systems of interest. The initial discussions of this
`project centered on providing a broad human factors evaluation of all systems.
`However, given the limited funds available, such an approach would have been
`superficial, adding little to the scientific literature.
`
`The approach taken was therefore to identify the safety and human factors issues, and
`target those that seemed most important and common to all systems. Also considered
`was the extent to which the research would provide new information, not information
`that would duplicate the literature. Issues of concern were reading the RDS-TMC
`display, pressing buttons to retrieve messages, listening and responding to messages,
`and dialing the cellular phone. Given the limited number of characters on the display
`when the system was initially being discussed and uncertainty about how it would be
`implemented, RDS-TMC display issues were set aside for future efforts. Further, most
`systems only required a single button press to retrieve information, a task that was not
`thought to pose much risk to drivers. Set aside for future investigation was retrieval of
`information (the keying task) for a cell phone. The initial design only required calling a
`particular number, a task examined in the literature (Goodman, Bents, Tijerina,
`Wierwille, Lerner, and Benel, 1997). However, later implementation may require
`navigation through menus, a task deserving examination.
`
`The focus, therefore, was on tasks common to all interfaces, such as listening to traffic
`messages, determining if traffic messages were relevant, and attempting to recall
`those messages as a function of the amount of information presented. Eventually
`results from such efforts will include enhanced design guidelines for the presentation
`of auditory traffic information.
`
`The opinions, findings, and conclusions expressed in this publication are those of the
`authors and not necessarily those of the Michigan State Transportation Commission,
`the Michigan Department of Transportation, or the Federal Highway Administration.
`
`vi
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................1
`Previous Research ........................................................................................................1
`Research Issues Investigated .......................................................................................6
`
`TEST PLAN...............................................................................................................................9
`Test Participants ............................................................................................................9
`Instrumented Car .........................................................................................................10
`Traffic Messages..........................................................................................................13
`Audio Compact Disc ....................................................................................................17
`Test Route....................................................................................................................17
`Test Activities and Their Sequence.............................................................................18
`
`RESULTS ................................................................................................................................21
`Recognition of Relevant Messages.............................................................................21
`Message Content Recall..............................................................................................23
`Ratings of Safety, Ease of Use, Usefulness, and Willingness to Pay........................28
`Driving Performance and Message Characteristics....................................................31
`
`CONCLUSIONS......................................................................................................................39
`How Well Did Drivers Recognize Relevant Messages? .............................................39
`How Well Did Drivers Recall Information from Traffic Messages?.............................39
`Did Drivers Believe It Was Safe for People to Listen
`to Traffic Messages While Driving?.......................................................................40
`How Useful Was the Traffic Information System?......................................................41
`How Useful Were the Traffic Information Elements?..................................................41
`How Much Were Drivers Willing to Pay for a Traffic System? ...................................41
`Did Use of the Traffic Information System Affect Driving Performance
`and What Were the Effects of Various Message Characteristics? .......................42
`What Should Be Done in Future Studies? ..................................................................44
`
`
`
`REFERENCES ........................................................................................................................47
`
`APPENDIX A - MATCHING TASK.........................................................................................49
`
`APPENDIX B - TEST VEHICLE LAYOUT.............................................................................51
`
`APPENDIX C – INSTRUCTIONS...........................................................................................53
`
`APPENDIX D - SAMPLE OF RECALL AND RECOGNITION
`WORKSHEET ...............................................................................................57
`
`APPENDIX E - SUBJECT SURVEY ......................................................................................59
`
`APPENDIX F - RECALL AS A FUNCTION OF MESSAGE LENGTH.................................61
`
`APPENDIX G - ANOVA OF DRIVING DATA........................................................................67
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`APPENDIX H - DETAILED DISCUSSION OF THE DRIVING DATA............................69
`Mean Speed .......................................................................................................69
`Standard Deviation of Speed ..............................................................................70
`Standard Deviation of Throttle ............................................................................72
`Mean Headway...................................................................................................73
`Standard Deviation of Headway..........................................................................74
`Standard Deviation of Lateral Position................................................................76
`Standard Deviation of Steering Wheel Angle ......................................................77
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`INTRODUCTION
`
`This project was conducted as part of the U.S. Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS)
`program. The goal of this program is to improve the efficiency and speed with which
`goods and people are moved, to make transportation safer, and to make travel more
`enjoyable. This particular project concerns the movement of motor vehicles over
`public roads. To a significant degree, the movement of goods and people is
`hampered by congestion. Although congestion has been a problem both for
`expressways and city streets, the emphasis here is on expressways.
`
`One way to improve system efficiency is to provide drivers with better information
`about congestion, so that they might drive around congested areas or alter departure
`times. A variety of methods have been developed for that purpose. In the U.S., the
`most common method for people to obtain traffic information while driving is from traffic
`reports broadcasted by AM/FM stations, Although such information is generally
`complete, it may be dated (due to delays in updates of the radio stations by the police
`or traffic control centers, or because messages are presented periodically, e.g., every
`20 minutes). Further, broadcasts generally cover an entire metropolitan area, even
`though drivers are only interested in a small portion that applies to their route.
`
`In some cities variable message signs are popular. However, these signs can be
`distracting to read, and for long messages, a source of congestion rather than
`congestion relief.
`
`Previous Research
`
`Consequently, there has been considerable interest in audio-based systems that
`provide localized traffic information, especially systems that provide information about
`an entire trip so that alternatives can be considered at the beginning of a trip, not after
`one is caught in congestion.
`
`One of the alternatives considered was Highway Advisory Radio (HAR), a system
`developed by the FHWA in the early 1980’s (Turnage, 1980). When problems occur,
`drivers are advised by a flashing light on a sign to tune their radios to a particular
`frequency for further information.In fact, it was in conjunction with the development of
`HAR that virtually all of the research on understanding of auditory information while
`driving was conducted in the late 1970’s and early 1980’s. Other related work on
`auditory route guidance (e.g., the Back Seat Driver research at MIT, Davis, 1989;
`Davis and Schmandt, 1989) will not be covered here.
`
`The initial work on the presentation and retention of auditory messages while driving
`was conducted by Gatling of FHWA (Gatling, 1975, 1976, 1977). All of his studies
`followed the same basic format. (See Green, 1992 for a summary.) Subjects drove a
`car on a limited access highway while either tape-recorded messages were presented
`or slides were shown on a screen in the vehicle (simulating a head-up display (HUD)).
`Gatling’s performance measure was the percentage of subjects making a “route error,”
`that is, not recalling the entire message correctly. Variables manipulated included the
`modality of the information (auditory versus visual), the repetition of auditory
`
`1
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`messages, driver age (young versus old), and the number of items in the message.
`("Next right exit; for Boston; via route 213; 3 miles" would be a four-item message.)
`
`In the first of 4 experiments described by Gatling (1975), subjects heard messages
`containing 1 to 6 chunks of information, presented either once or twice. During a 5 to
`15 second delay crivers read aloud unrelated messages(e.g., “slow - automobile
`accidentin right lane") that interfered with rehearsal of the to-be-remembered
`message.
`
`As expected, there was noeffect of the delay on recall since the duration of the
`interfering task in the delay period wasfixed. Card, Moran, and Newell (1983) state
`that the half-life for working memory (middleman estimate) is 73 seconds for one
`chunk and 7 secondsfor three chunks. Using a 4-second interference period (to read
`the message), the predicted values are 96 % and 67 %correct, reasonably close to
`the 97 % and 46 % measured. Error rates were linearly related to the numberof units
`in the message, being 100 percent (no one recalled the entire message) for older
`drivers at 5 units/message and 100 percentfor youngerdrivers at 6 units. Presenting
`test messages a second time improved recall by about 15 %. Figure 1 shows some
`example results.
`
`Single Older
`
`Single Young
`
`O
`
`5
`
`OD
`
`_
`
`f
`
`OC
`
`=
`
`f
`-
`|
`-
`

`:
`
`fms
`‘if
`#£
`/
`
`Double Young
`Double Older
`
`2
`
`5
`4
`3
`Numberof Units in Message
`
`6
`
`7
`
`100
`
`8041
`
`60
`
`40
`
`207
`
`0 1
`
`Error
`(%)
`
`Figure 1. Percent error versus message size, experiment 1 of Gatling (1975).
`Note: Single or double refers to presentation of the message onceortwice.
`
`Probing the drivers for just one piece of information (experiment 2) raised the levelat
`which 100 % errors occurred to 8 units/message. Repeating a message had the same
`effect as in the first experiment. Recognition was notidentical forall information
`
`2
`
`FORDEX. 1022
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`elements, being about 80-90 % for exits, streets, towns, distances, and turns, but only
`50 % for route numbers. The third experiment also showed problems with recall of
`numeric data while the fourth concerned the time to tune the radio to obtain a
`message.
`
`Gatling (1977) found that providing additional prose (“This is a warning message
`that...“) led to slightly better retention (by about 5 %) than more succinct messages.
`
`In the last experiment in this series, Gatling found that for messages with 2 route
`numbers or less, there were fewer errors with visual messages. For 3 or more routes,
`auditory messages led to fewer errors.
`
`The Gatling research comprises an interesting set of experiments concerning memory
`of route information. Notable is the use of on-the-road context to assess recall.
`Unfortunately, the nature of the interfering task was not precisely defined and the
`duration of the interfering task varied, so the results could be linked more closely to
`other research in the psychological literature.
`
`Subsequent human factors research was conducted by the Texas Transportation
`Institute (TTI) to develop design guidelines for HAR (Dudek, Huchingson, and
`Stockton, 1981; Dudek, Huchingson, and Brackett, 1983). In those experiments,
`subjects driving on an interstate highway were presented with a tape-recorded HAR
`message advising of an accident and a diversion route. Drivers then attempted to
`recall the message and drive the route. Four experiments were conducted. The first
`examined the number of information elements (exit street, direction of turn, etc.) and
`the language style (complete sentences/conversation; short form; staccato, e.g.,
`“overturned truck ahead“). The longer messages (10 versus 8 or 6 information
`elements) and less conversation formats led to more errors. In the second experiment,
`internal repetition (where the key elements were repeated as part of the message,
`“turn right on Kingman and take Kingman to Anderson”) were found to lead to fewer
`errors than for external repetition (where the message was given followed by “I repeat
`. . .’ In study 3, adding landmarks and information on the number of traffic lights helped
`people negotiate routes even though it lengthened messages. In study 4, unfamiliar
`drivers were found to make about the same number of driving errors when given turn
`information as did familiar drivers without turn information. This research led to the
`following guidelines:
`
`1. Although language style was not found to be critical, a terse message
`style was preferred by drivers. Unnecessary wordiness is inefficient in
`communicating messages in a HAR system.
`
`2. If unfamiliar drivers are diverted, the routes should not exceed 4 turns
`and 4 names, including the Interstate (8-unit problems).
`
`3. The description of the diversion route should be repeated at least
`once, either with internal or external redundancy or with both.
`
`4. Prominent landmarks may be mentioned in a HAR message whenever
`there is a risk the driver may not see the place to turn. The number of
`
`3
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`traffic lights is useful but should be avoided whenever any of the lights
`are flashing.
`
`5. When the driving population is known to be largely commuters or
`highly familiar with the area, the route description may be shortened by
`omitting turn directions. (Dudek, Huchingson, and Brackett, 1983, p. 9).
`
`Additional recommendations appear in Turnage (1981), p. 25-26.
`
`Audible messages:
`
`1 . . . . The length of a HAR message should be such that the motorist will
`hear it at least twice while within the HAR zone of coverage...
`
`4, Motorists remember names better than numbers. The greater the
`frequency of route numbers in a message, the greater the number of
`route errors made.
`
`5. Motorists retain cautionary messages better than informational
`messages.
`
`Visual signaling:
`
`1. It takes a motorist about 60 seconds after seeing the first advance
`visual HAR sign to turn on his radio and tune to the appropriate
`frequency. . .
`
`3. Motorists have been found to interpret the degree of urgency to sign
`messages as follows:
`
`greatest degree of urgency
`TRAFFIC ALERT
`moderately urgent
`TRAFFIC ADVISORY
`TRAFFIC INFORMATION least urgent
`
`It is very important that the motorist not be led to expect a message
`4.
`when the HAR station is not operating.
`
`As was suggested earlier, it is peculiar that all of these studies concern human short-
`term memory, but there has been little effort to connect these applied studies with the
`results from the psychological literature. For those unfamiliar with the literature, there
`are 3 forms of human memory linked in a serial fashion. The first form, perceptual
`store, is involved with the immediate readout of information. Information is stored
`physically and is generally lost if not attended to within just over a second or less.
`Depending on the sensory modality for which information is being stored, perceptual
`memory has a capacity of 5-17 items. This form of memory is operating when people
`glance at something, look elsewhere, and attempt to recall what was just seen. At the
`other end of the sequence is long-term memory. Information in long-term memory is
`usually stored semantically and its capacity is unlimited. This is usually the type of
`memory being invoked when people say they have memorized something such as
`
`4
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`their own name, the presidents of the United States, multiplication tables, the scent of
`a rose, the sound of a robin, or the taste of chocolate.
`
`Connecting those two forms of memory is short-term or working memory. Short-term
`memory has a capacity of about 7 chunks of information. Information is maintained in
`short-term memory by rehearsal and decays exponentially with time if not rehearsed.
`For example, after looking up a telephone number, one repeats the number to oneself
`“7 6 3, 3 7 9 5; 7 6 3, 3 7 9 5” to avoid,forgetting it. If the repetition process is
`interrupted (“What time is it? It is 3:15 p.m.“), the to-be-remembered information is
`often forgotten. Short-term memory along with some aspects of long-term memory are
`operating when drivers are asked to remember traffic information.
`
`Short-term memory recall and recognition probabilities are determined by a limited set
`of rules. These rules have implications for auditory traffic messages.
`
`1. Information is stored in chunks, units over which people group information. For
`example, the string “J M X” would be 3 chunks of information to most people (unless
`it was there initials or some other memorable item), while NBC would be 1 chunk.
`
`2. Generally, people can keep 7 chunks of information in memory, at least in laboratory
`situations. For highly reliable recall in real world situations, confine the to-be-
`remembered information to 4 chunks. This is consistent with the 4 turn-4 road
`results in the literature.
`
`3. Since information decays exponentially with time, the decay rate is often specified
`as a half-life, the time period over which half of the information initially available is
`lost. That time is just over 70 seconds for 1 chunk of information, 7 seconds for 3
`chunks.
`
`4. The ability to rehearse information depends on what occurs in the period between
`presentation and recall. For example, being asked to count backwards by 7s from
`119 is likely to block all rehearsal of a previously presented phone number.
`Rehearsal is an active process, so not rehearsing can also cause information loss.
`There is no statistical evidence on the extent to which real driving interferes with
`rehearsal of auditory information and how that should be accounted for in
`calculations, though such interference is believed to be minimal.
`
`5. When the capacity of the short-term store is exceeded, the information that is least
`important and/or oldest is deleted, depending upon user needs. For traffic
`information, the main road and the nearest exit or crossroad are priority items. In
`contrast, the number of cars in a crash is lower priority and more likely to be deleted
`when overload occurs.
`
`As a consequence of these rules, when people are asked to memorize a list of
`directions, the curve shown in Figure 2 often results. In brief, the first few items in the
`list are remembered because there are fewer items in the list when they are first
`encountered , so they can be rehearsed a greater number of times. For example, for
`the first item, that item is the only one to repeat. For the last few items, the time
`
`5
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`between presentation and recall is less than for items earlier in the list, so less decay
`occurs. One would expect to see such recall functions for auditory traffic messages.
`
`Recall
`Probability
`
`Primacy
`
`0
`
`I
`
`I
`
`I
`
`I
`
`I
`
`I
`
`|
`
`1st
`
`2nd
`
`I
`Last
`
`Item Number in List
`
`Figure 2. Recall probability for items in a list.
`
`Research Issues Investigated
`
`In selecting issues to examine, the following were considered:
`
`1. What issues were not addressed in the literature?
`2. Did the issue pertain to multiple systems?
`3. Would the results have applicability beyond the DIRECT project?
`4. Would the results have a practical impact?
`5. Would the results aid in the selection of a particular implementation?
`6. Was the issue reasonably inexpensive to evaluate?
`7. Could the issue be included in a clean experimental design?
`
`The literature contained considerable information on message recall. However, the
`effects of message quality have not been considered nor have the effects of listening
`to messages on driving performance. These issues were common to all of the systems
`of interest and, potentially, had major impacts on safety, usability, and usefulness of
`auditory traffic information systems. Accordingly, those topics were the focus of this
`research. Specifically:
`
`1. How does the recall of real messages vary
`
`(a) with the total amount of relevant information presented (number of terms)
`(b) if one is relevant
`(c & d) with the total amount of information presented: number of messages (c) and
`the number of terms (d)
`(e) with message quality
`(f) with driver differences (age and sex)?
`
`6
`
`FORD EX. 1022
`
`

`

`Of these issues, message quality has never been addressed in the literature.
`
`2. How does driving performance (mean speed, speed variance, mean headway,
`headway variance, lateral position variance) and driver control inputs (throttle
`variance, ste

This document is available on Docket Alarm but you must sign up to view it.


Or .

Accessing this document will incur an additional charge of $.

After purchase, you can access this document again without charge.

Accept $ Charge
throbber

Still Working On It

This document is taking longer than usual to download. This can happen if we need to contact the court directly to obtain the document and their servers are running slowly.

Give it another minute or two to complete, and then try the refresh button.

throbber

A few More Minutes ... Still Working

It can take up to 5 minutes for us to download a document if the court servers are running slowly.

Thank you for your continued patience.

This document could not be displayed.

We could not find this document within its docket. Please go back to the docket page and check the link. If that does not work, go back to the docket and refresh it to pull the newest information.

Your account does not support viewing this document.

You need a Paid Account to view this document. Click here to change your account type.

Your account does not support viewing this document.

Set your membership status to view this document.

With a Docket Alarm membership, you'll get a whole lot more, including:

  • Up-to-date information for this case.
  • Email alerts whenever there is an update.
  • Full text search for other cases.
  • Get email alerts whenever a new case matches your search.

Become a Member

One Moment Please

The filing “” is large (MB) and is being downloaded.

Please refresh this page in a few minutes to see if the filing has been downloaded. The filing will also be emailed to you when the download completes.

Your document is on its way!

If you do not receive the document in five minutes, contact support at support@docketalarm.com.

Sealed Document

We are unable to display this document, it may be under a court ordered seal.

If you have proper credentials to access the file, you may proceed directly to the court's system using your government issued username and password.


Access Government Site

We are redirecting you
to a mobile optimized page.





Document Unreadable or Corrupt

Refresh this Document
Go to the Docket

We are unable to display this document.

Refresh this Document
Go to the Docket