throbber
Restasis Kicker Drives
`Strong 2Q Upside Surprise
`
`- Better-Than-Expected 20 Results: Allergan reported better-than-
`expected second quarter earnings of $0.78 per share ($0.05
`above our estimate) on higher product sales of $591 M ($37.4 M
`above CSFB estimate). Core eye care sales tracked better-than-
`expected at $325 million ($19 M above CSFB estimate), largely
`based on exceptional Restasis (dry eye) sales of $46.3 M (up
`130% and $14.3 M above CSFB estimate). Restasis realized sales
`tracked well above IMS 60% volume growth indicators,
`supported by new DTC advertising campaign momentum. Botox
`also registered strong sales of $212.5 M, up 20% vs. only 17% in
`10 and beating CSFB targets by $7.3 M. Botox has also
`benefited from re-invigorated DTC campaign initiatives.
`
`Core Portfolio Strength: New promotional campaigns are
`effectively driving better-than-expected gains across Allergan’s
`core pharmaceutical portfolio. Botox has re-established strength
`in core therapeutic markets, and appears to have strengthened
`its position in European cosmetic markets. Restasis has also
`emerged as a solid incremental earnings driver, with
`management elevating 2005 sales forecasts to a range of $165-
`$185 million.
`
`Earnings Revision and Target Price Adjustment: We are raising
`our 2005 earnings forecast by $0.04 to a new level of $3.22 to
`reflect second quarter upside. We are also adjusting upward our
`earnings forecasts by $0.08 to $3.73 in 06 and by $0.11 to $4.30
`in 07 due to an elevated 05 base. Upward earnings revisions also
`support an upward revision in our target price from a prior level
`of $88 to a new level of $95.
`
`While Allergan has re-invigorated growth behind key eye care
`products, our Neutral stance reflects on-going concerns over
`Botox growth reliance. We estimate Botox represents over 50%
`of Allergan’s core earnings base.
`
`Allergan is a leading research-based specialty pharmaceutical company and is among the global leaders in
`ophthalmology (prescription drugs, OTC solutions, intraocular lenses).
`
`research team
`
`Jessica Li, Ph.D
`Ken Kulju
`Research Analyst Research Analyst
`212 538 8391
`212 538 2586
`kenneth.l(ulju@cslb.com
`]essica.|i.2@csIb.com
`
`Tania Dimitrova
`Research Analyst
`212 325 3297
`lania.dimilrova@cs1b.com
`
`A I
`
`I.
`
`I I
`
`I < J I
`
`. I I
`
`n
`*1
`
`J I
`
`. I 0 < J l
`
`. I I
`
`I < J I
`
`. I l
`
`l 4 J I
`
`.
`
`CREDIT FIRST
`SUISSE BOSTON
`Equity Research United States
`
`Allergan Inc
`
`NEUTRAL*
`85.42 US$
`95.00 US$
`86.99 - 67.67
`11,468.06
`11,468.06
`Americas I United States
`
`Rating
`Price (26 Jul 05)
`Target price (12 months)
`52 week high — low
`Market cap. (US$m)
`Enterprise value (US$m)
`Region I Country
`Sector
`Analyst's Coverage Universe
`Weighting (vs. broad market)
`27 July 2005
`Date
`* Stock ratings are relative to the coverage universe in
`each analysts or each team's respective sector.
`
`Specialty Pharmaceuticals
`Specialty Pharmaceuticals
`OVERWEIGHT
`
`Price I Indexed S&P 500
`Daily Jul 27, 2004 - Jul 26, 2005, 7/27/04 : US$72.
`
`Oct-04
`ul-04
`: Price
`On 07/26/05 the S&P 500 index closed at 1,236.79
`
`Jan—05
`
`Apr-05
`Indexed S&P 500
`
`Year
`EPS (CSFB adj., US$)
`Prev. EPS (US$)
`P/E (x)
`P/E rel. (%)
`Q1 EPS
`Q2
`Q3
`Q4
`
`Number of shares (m)
`
`1204A
`2.77
`
`30.8
`168.4
`0.60
`0.64
`0.67
`0.86
`
`12/05E
`3.22
`3.18
`26.5
`161.7
`0.76
`0.78
`0.78
`0.89
`
`IC (12/05E, US$m)
`
`134.26
`
`12/06E
`3.73
`3.65
`22.9
`151.7
`0.85
`0.92
`0.96
`1.00
`
`1,819.53
`
`BV/Share (Current, US$)
`
`EV/IC (x)
`
`Net Debt (Current, US$m)
`-167.0
`Net debt/Total cap. (Current)
`5.0%
`
`Dividend (12/04A, US$m)
`
`Dividend yield
`
`6.3
`
`0.39
`
`0.5%
`12/06E
`2,399.3
`
`1204A
`2,045.7
`549.5
`
`12/05E
`2,268.2
`610.5
`
`Year
`Revenues (US$m)
`EBITDA (US$m)
`OCFPS (US$)
`P/OCF (x)
`16.8
`18.8
`EV/EBITDA (x)
`ROIC
`13.2%
`13.2%
`Source: Corrparry data, CREDIT SUISSE FIRST BOSTON (CSFB) estimates
`
`IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS ARE IN THE DISCLOSURE APPENDIX. U.S. Disclosure: CSFB does and
`seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest
`that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. Customers
`of CSFB in the United States can receive independent, third party research on the company or companies covered in this report, at no cost to them,
`where such research is available. Customers can access this independent research at www.csfb.com/ir or call 1 877 291 2683 or email
`equity.research@csIb.com to request a copy of this research.
`
`1
`
`ALL 2047
`MYLAN PHARMACEUTICALS V. ALLERGAN
`IPR2016-01128
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
`
`27 July 2005
`
`Investment Summary
`
`Allergan reported better—than—expected second quarter earnings of $0.78 per share
`
`($0.05 above our estimate) on higher product sales of $591 M ($37.4 M above CSFB
`
`estimate). Core eye care sales tracked better—than—expected at $325 million ($19 M
`
`above CSFB estimate), largely based on exceptional Restasis (dry eye) sales of $46.3
`
`M (up 130% and $14.3 M above CSFB estimate). Restasis realized sales tracked well
`
`above IMS 60% volume growth indicators, supported by new DTC advertising campaign
`
`momentum. Botox also registered strong sales of $212.5 M, up 20% vs. only 17% in 1Q
`
`and beating CSFB targets by $7.3 M. Botox has also benefited from re—invigorated DTC
`
`campaign initiatives.
`
`Exhibit 1: Allergan Variance Table
`
`Aller - an
`
`CSFB
`2Q05E
`
`Reported
`2Q05A
`
`Variance
`
`591.0
`
`325.0
`64.3
`61.5
`46.3
`212.5
`30.4
`
`94.1
`479.3
`81.1%
`
`240.7
`90.8
`
`147.8
`26.0%
`
`0.8
`44.6
`30.0%
`
`103.7
`0.78
`132.2
`
`$
`
`$
`$
`$
`$
`$
`
`$
`$
`
`$
`$
`
`$
`
`$
`$
`
`$
`$
`
`37.4
`
`19.0
`(0.7)
`(2.5)
`14.3
`7.3
`
`-
`27.0
`— 60 bs
`
`22.0
`7.2
`
`12.2
`
`- s
`
`(1.1)
`4.7
`+101 b
`
`s
`
`6.3
`0.05
`
`.
`
`.
`.
`.
`.
`.
`.
`
`$
`$
`
`$
`$
`
`$
`
`$
`$
`
`$
`$
`
`452.3
`81.7%
`
`218.7
`98.0
`
`135.6
`25.0%
`
`1.9
`39.9
`9.0%
`
`2
`
`97.4
`0.73
`132.6
`
`$
`$
`
`$ $
`
`$
`
`$
`$
`
`$
`$
`
`Total Product Sales
`
`Eye Care
`Alphagan (total)
`Lumigan Line
`Restasis
`Botox
`Skin Care
`
`Cost of Revenues
`
`Gross Profit
`Gross Marin
`
`SG&A
`R&D
`
`Operating Income
`0 -
`- ratin Mar in
`
`Other Income
`Taxes
`Rate
`
`Net Income
`EPS
`Shares
`
`Source: Company data, CSFB estimates
`
`Allergan Core Franchise Performance
`
`Restasis: Surprisingly Strong Sales in the Quarter
`
`Restasis remains in a strong growth mode. IMS prescription trends continue to point to
`
`robust on—going uptake for Restasis in severe dry eye therapy. Allergan has been
`
`leveraging this momentum with the start of new DTC advertising in both print and TV
`channels.
`
`Although Restasis total prescription trend in the quarter pointed to a 60% year—over—year
`
`growth rate, Allergan reported surprisingly strong sales of $46.3 million, a 130%
`
`increase from the same period last year. Allergan raised price for Restasis by 3.5% in
`
`February this year.
`
`2
`
`cnrsnrr FIRST
`surssrs BOSTON
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
`
`27 July 2005
`
`To reflect higher—than—expected Restasis sales in the second quarter, we are moving up
`our Restasis sales forecast from $156 million to $172 million for 2005, and from $192
`
`million to $211 million in 2006.
`
`Exhibit 2:
`
`Restasis NRx and TRx Product Launch
`
`35.000 —
`
`30.000 —
`
`25.000 —
`
`20.000 —
`
`15.000 *
`
`10.000 —
`
`5.000 *
`
`
`
`4/14/034
`
`5/14/034
`
`6/14/03—
`
`7/14/03—
`
`8/14/034
`
`9/14/034
`
`3/14/03
`
`10/14/03—
`
`
`
`11/14/034
`
`
`
`12/14/034
`
`1/14/04—
`
`2/14/044
`
`3/14/044
`
`4/14/044
`
`5/14/04—
`
`6/14/044
`
`7/14/044
`
`8/14/04—
`
`9/14/044
`
`
`
`10/14/044
`
`11/14/04—
`
`
`
`12/14/044
`
`1/14/05—
`
`2/14/05—
`
`3/14/054
`
`4/14/05—
`
`5/14/05—
`
`6/14/054
`
`7/14/05A
`
`Source: Company data, CSFB estimates
`
`Exhibit 3:
`
`Restasis Weekly TRx YIY Growth
`
`
`
`
`
`12/14/04*
`
`
`
`10/14/04*
`
`
`
`11/14/04*
`
`Source: Company data, CSFB estimates
`
`CREDIT
`SUISSE
`
`FIRST
`BOSTON
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
`
`27 July 2005
`
`Lumigan
`
`Allergan reported slightly lower sales generated from Lumigan at $61.5 million in the
`
`quarter. As shown in the relative growth chart below, the four—week moving average
`
`new prescription growth trends suggest Lumigan generating growth of about 10%—12%
`in volume terms.
`
`Exhibit 4:
`
`18% —
`
`Lumigan Y/Y NRx Growth (4-week moving average)
`
`
`
`4°/o —
`
`2°/o *
`
`0%
`
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`l
`<r
`LO
`Lo
`Lo
`no
`no
`no
`to
`L0
`Ln
`LO
`Ln
`LO
`La
`L!)
`<r
`<r
`<r
`<r
`<r
`<r
`<r
`<r
`<r
`0 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o
`\ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \
`o 0')
`l\
`.—
`LO
`on N to o <r
`l\
`1-
`<r
`no
`<r
`no
`.—
`no
`on
`to
`l\ o <r
`no
`8 E : B I E : fl : 3 > S N '— B : <\r : Q : Q : S R
`.—
`.—
`.—
`.—
`.—
`.-
`no
`0:
`1- o o .—
`.— N N
`1-
`N
`0')
`<r
`<r
`LO
`LO
`LO
`LO
`
`Source: Company data, CSFB estimates
`
`Alphagan/Alphagan P
`
`Allergan’s Alphagan franchise has been losing ground largely to Pfizer’s Xalatan. Chart
`
`3 shows year—over—year new prescription growth rates of Alphagan/Alphagan P slid to
`
`the negative territory since May. Management expressed confidence that the FDA will
`
`approve a new Alphagan product formulation, Alphagan—Z, shortly. This product
`
`conversion strategy is largely expected to sustain core Alphagan franchise sales in the
`
`face of generic challenges from A|con’s Falcon generics operation.
`
`4
`
`CREDIT FIRST
`SUISSE BOSTON
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
`
`27 July 2005
`
`Exhibit 5:
`
`8%—
`
`6%—
`
`Alphagan/Alphagan P YIY NRx Growth (4-week moving average)
`
`4%— 12/17/04
`4 _4% ,
`
`_6% ,
`
`Source: Company data, CSFB estimates
`
`Exhibit 6: Xalatan Gaining Shares At the Expense of Alphagan Franchise
`
`Glaucoma Weekly NFIx Market Share
`—i—A|phagan (Allergan) —¢—A|phagan P (Allergan) —I—Total Alphagan
`—x— Lumigan (Allergan)
`—)|P Travatan (Alcon)
`-0- Xalatan (Pfizer)
`
`—A—Cosopt (Merck)
`
`50% V
`
`40% '
`
`30°/o —
`
`20°/o '
`
`10°/o *
`
`o%““““ .......................
`
`,
`",o"o"",o"',o"',o"',o"',o"';s”’,o”’,o"‘;S59“‘s9
`o<>°Qa<»
`«.2:
`V9
`3,0 $9 oa 0:25’
`(69
`V9‘
`30°
`vs» Ge
`04»
`
`6*
`,(av
`
`9"‘
`V9‘
`
`.6‘
`3.0
`
`,o‘*
`,0“
`00-’ Ce
`
`9”
`02°
`
`,°’
`3’
`89
`(ax V99 90°
`
`Source: Company data, CSFB estimates
`
`5
`
`CREDIT FIRST
`SUISSE BOSTON
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
`
`27 July 2005
`
`Botox
`
`Botox remains a critical driver for Allergan, positioning to remain in a healthy growth
`
`mode in global cosmetic markets, considering its still early stage of introduction in
`
`Europe. This neurotoxin also possesses considerable opportunities in new therapeutic
`
`applications in new areas, such as hyperhidrosis and migraine headache therapy.
`
`Allergan reported strong sales in Botox of $212.5 million, up 20% vs. only 17% in 1Q
`
`($7.3 M above CSFB estimate), reflecting the re—introduction of the DTC campaign and
`
`the dissipation of the adverse publicity from an incident involving use of bogus Botox in
`Florida.
`
`Allergan began a new national DTC campaign for Botox Cosmetic and regional ad
`
`campaign for Cosmetic Therapeutic (hyperhydrosis and cervical distonia) in late March.
`
`To reflect the effective new Botox DTC campaign, we are raising our 05 sales forecast
`from $818 million to $832 million.
`
`Quarterly Botox Sales
`
`Exhibit 7:
`
`250.0 —
`
`200.0 —
`
`150.0 —
`
`100.0 —
`
`50.0 —
`
`0.0 —
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`.
`
`'5o‘*o"o9>Q/
`'5
`‘V
`<=S"<a"’v§’v§’9“va“<a"’<¥’<a‘Z’°X°<S‘é‘9"’v§’9‘5<a‘5o°o° "0" ‘V
`pgQQQQQQp@9§p@p§@§§§§§§§p§p§
`
`Source: Company data, CSFB estimates
`
`6
`
`CREDIT FIRST
`SUISSE BOSTON
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
`
`27 July 2005
`
`Exhibit 8:
`
`160%
`
`140%
`
`120%
`
`100%
`
`80%
`
`60%
`
`40%
`
`20%
`
`0%1
`
`Botox Y/Y Sales Growth Trend
`
`11
`
`11
`
`,\<>‘°Q’ 5&9’ K0‘? gag" ,‘c:9(°
`
`,§:9(° ,‘o‘5° ,5o‘5° ,§'°/\
`
`,_,,d'°/\ 9°?’ ,5o‘§’ ‘egg ,5o‘°g K0“? .50“? ,\c>‘—‘\ 60°)‘
`
`‘O6,’ 606'’ .965 $065 .96‘ 50°” 9°C’
`
`Source: Company data, CSFB estimates
`
`Earnings Revision and Target Price Adjustment
`We are raising our 2005 earnings forecast by $0.04 to a new level of $3.22 to reflect
`
`second quarter’s $0.05 earnings upside. We are also adjusting upward our earnings
`
`forecasts by $0.08 to $3.73 in 06 and by $0.11 to $4.30 in 07 due to an elevated 05
`base.
`
`The elevation in Allergan’s earnings foundation prompted us to raise our target price for
`
`the stock from a prior level of $88 to a higher level of $95.
`
`Conclusion
`
`New promotional campaigns are effectively driving better—than—expected gains across
`
`Allergan’s core pharmaceutical portfolio. Botox has re—estab|ished strength in core
`
`therapeutic markets, and appears to have strengthened its position in European
`
`cosmetic markets. Restasis has also emerged as a solid incremental earnings driver,
`
`with management elevating 2005 sales forecasts to a range of $165-$185 million.
`
`We are raising our 2005 earnings forecast by $0.04 to a new level of $3.22 to reflect
`
`second quarter upside. We are also adjusting upward our earnings forecasts by $0.08 to
`
`$3.73 in 06 and by $0.11 to $4.30 in 07 due to an elevated 05 base. Upward earnings
`
`revisions also support an upward revision in our target price from a prior level of $88 to
`a new level of $95.
`
`While Allergan has re—invigorated growth behind key eye care products, our Neutral
`
`stance reflects on—going concerns over Botox growth reliance. We believe Botox
`
`represents over 50% of Allergan’s core earnings base.
`
`7
`
`cnrsnrr FIRST
`surssrs BOSTON
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
`
`27 July 2005
`
`Exhibit 9: CSFB Value Equation Analysis
`
`Market
`
`CSFB
`
`Expectations
`
`Expectations
`
`Income Statement Data:
`Fiscal Year (Income statement date):
`
`Sales (Income statement date):
`EBITA
`EBITA margin (%):
`Tax rate:
`
`Analyst EPS Estimate
`
`Business Model Value Creation:
`
`EBITA (3-5 year) growth rate:
`Pretax Capital Efficiency (ROIIC)
`
`Note: Aftertax ROIIC (%)
`
`Investment Neighborhood:
`
`Required Rate of Return (cost of capital):
`C.A.P.
`(Duration of value creation):
`
`CSFB Value-Equation Share Price Est.:
`Price Date:
`
`Actual Price
`Diff (%)
`
`Source: Company data, CSFB estimates
`
`1 1.50
`Dec-2021
`
`$89.20
`27-Jul-05
`
`$88.80
`0%
`
`11.50
`Dec-2021
`
`12-month Price Target
`
`$95.06
`27-Jul-06
`
`$88.80
`7%
`
`8
`
`cnemr FIRST
`SUISSE BOSTON
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
`
`27 July 200:
`
`
`
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`
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
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`27 July 200:
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`cmsnn FIRST
`SUISSEl BOSTON
`
`
`
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
`
`27 July 2005
`
`Companies Mentioned (Price as of 27 Jul 05)
`Allergan Inc (AGN, $85.42, NEUTRAL, TP $88.00, OVERWEIGHT)
`
`Disclosure Appendix
`Important Global Disclosures
`
`I, Ken Kulju, certify that (1) the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about all
`of the subject companies and securities and (2) no part of my compensation was, is or will be directly or
`indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
`
`See the Companies Mentioned section for full company names.
`
`3-Year Price, Target Price and Rating Change History Chart for AGN
`
`33] N
`
`91I
`
`85I 85I
`
`88I
`85I
`
`32 I
`
`39
`
`84
`79
`
`74
`
`69
`
`64 64 I
`
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`
`O 0
`
`59
`
`54
`
`l
`
`07-Jul-03 0
`l
`
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`
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`
`\%‘”\@'\e"'e°°\°°°%“-’%“°€°6"s“%“s"‘®"‘®“s"‘3°€°6°
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`«\“3’
`88"
`.\“3’
`«fig
`{£3
`«$30
`Closing Price
`I Target Price
`0 Initiation/Assumption
`0 Rating
`Current: O=Outperfonn; N=Neutra|; U=Underperform; R=Restricted; NR=Not Rated
`Prior to 9-Sep-02: SB=Strong Buy; B=Buy; H=Ho|d; S=Se||; R=Restricted; NR=Not Rated
`
`AGN
`Date
`9/6/02
`2/27/03
`7/7/03
`4/22/04
`5/3/04
`7/12/04
`2/8/05
`6/10/05
`7/14/05
`
`Closing
`Price §US$[
`57.09
`63.89
`81.21
`90.64
`89.1
`81.91
`74.12
`81.75
`86.2
`
`Target
`Price §US$[
`64
`
`83
`85
`91
`85
`82
`85
`88
`
`Rating
`OUTPERFORM
`NOT RATED
`NEUTRAL
`
`lnitiationl
`Assumption
`
`X
`
`The ana|yst(s) responsible for preparing this research report received compensation that is based upon
`various factors including CSFB's total revenues, a portion of which are generated by CSFB's investment
`bankin activities.
`
`Analysts’ stock ratings are defined as follows***:
`Outperform: The stock’s total return is expected to exceed the industry average* by at least 10-15% (or
`more, depending on perceived risk) over the next 12 months.
`Neutral: The stock’s total return is expected to be in line with the industry average* (range of i10%) over
`the next 12 months.
`
`Underperiorm**: The stock’s total return is expected to underperform the industry average* by 10-15% or
`more over the next 12 months.
`
`*The industry average refers to the average total return of the analysts industry coverage universe
`(except with respect to Asia/Pacific, Latin America and Emerging Markets, where stock ratings are
`relative to the relevant country index, and CSFB HOLT Small and Mid—Cap Advisor stocks, where stock
`ratings are relative to the regional CSFB HOLT Small and Mid—Cap Advisor investment universe.
`
`1 1
`
`cneorr FIRST
`SUISSE BOSTON
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
`
`27 July 2005
`
`the Firm has requested that
`**In an effort to achieve a more balanced distribution of stock ratings,
`analysts maintain at least 15% of their rated coverage universe as Underperform. This guideline is
`subject to change depending on several factors, including general market conditions.
`***For Australian and New Zealand stocks a 7.5% threshold replaces the 10% level in all three rating
`definitions.
`
`Restricted: In certain circumstances, CSFB policy and/or applicable law and regulations preclude certain
`types of communications,
`including an investment
`recommendation, during the course of CSFB's
`engagement in an investment banking transaction and in certain other circumstances.
`Volatility Indicator [V]: A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has moved up or down by 20% or
`more in a month in at least 8 of the past 24 months or the analyst expects significant volatility going
`forward. All CSFB HOLT Small and Mid—Cap Advisor stocks are automatically rated volatile. All IPO stocks
`are automatically rated volatile within the first 12 months of trading.
`
`Analysts’ coverage universe weightings* are distinct from analysts’ stock ratings
`and are based on the expected performance of an analyst’s coverage universe**
`versus the relevant broad market benchmark***:
`
`Overweight: Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12
`months.
`
`Market Weight: Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over the
`next 12 months.
`
`Underweight: Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12
`months.
`
`*CSFB HOLT Small and Mid—Cap Advisor stocks do not have coverage universe weightings.
`**An analyst’s coverage universe consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant
`sector.
`
`***The broad market benchmark is based on the expected return of the local market index (e.g., the S&P
`500 in the U. 8. over the next 12 months.
`
`CSFB’s distribution of stock ratings (and banking clients) is:
`Global Ratings Distribution
`0utperlormIBuy*
`39%
`(54% banking clients)
`NeutralIHold*
`43%
`(54% banking clients)
`UnderperlormISell*
`15%
`(47% banking clients)
`Restricted
`3%
`‘For purposes of the NYSE and NASD ratings distribution disclosure requirements, our stock ratings of Outperform, Neutral, and
`Underperfonn most closely correspond to Buy, Hold, and Sell, respectively; however, the meanings are not the same, as our stock
`ratings are determined on a relative basis. (Please refer to definitions above.) An investors decision to buy or sell a security should be
`based on investment objectives, current holdings, and other individual factors.
`
`CSFB’s policy is to update research reports as it deems appropriate, based on developments with the
`subject company, the sector or the market that may have a material impact on the research views or
`opinions stated herein.
`
`independent, clear, fair and not
`is impartial,
`CSFB's policy is only to publish investment research that
`misleading. For more detail please referto CSFB's Policies for Managing Conflicts of Interest in connection with
`Investment Research: http://www.csfb.com/research-and—ana|ytics/disclaimer/managing_conf|icts_disc|aimer.html
`
`See the Companies Mentioned section for full company names.
`Price Target: (12 months) for (AGN)
`Method: CSFB Value Equation
`Risks: Risks to our target price include operational, regulatory, and pipeline risks associated with the
`company which would cause a slow down in growth; any slow down in growth or growth prospects.
`
`See the Companies Mentioned section for full company names.
`The subject company (AGN) currently is, or was during the 12-month period preceding the date of
`distribution of this report, a client of CSFB.
`CSFB provided investment banking services to the subject company (AGN) within the past 12 months.
`CSFB has received investment banking related compensation from the subject company (AGN) within the
`past 12 months.
`CSFB expects to receive or intends to seek investment banking related compensation from the subject
`company (AGN) within the next 3 months.
`
`12
`
`cnemr FIRST
`SUISSE BOSTON
`
`

`

`Allergan Inc
`
`27 July 2005
`
`Important Regional Disclosures
`
`The ana|yst(s) involved in the preparation of this report have not visited the material operations of the
`subject company (AGN) within the past 12 months.
`
`Restrictions on certain Canadian securities are indicated by the following abbreviations: NVS——Non—Voting
`shares; RVS——Restricted Voting Shares; SVS——Subordinate Voting Shares.
`Individuals receiving this report from a Canadian investment dealer that is not affiliated with CSFB should
`be advised that this report may not contain regulatory disclosures the non—affi|iated Canadian investment
`dealer would be required to make if this were its own report.
`For Credit Suisse First Boston Canada |nc.'s policies and procedures regarding the dissemination of equity
`research, please visit http://www.csfb.corn/|ega|_terms/canada_research_po|icy.shtm|.
`
`As of the date of this report, CSFB acts as a market maker or liquidity provider in the equities securities that
`are the subject of this report.
`For disclosure information on other companies mentioned in this report, please visit the website at
`www.csfb.corn/researchdisclosures or call +1 (877) 291-2683.
`Disclaimers continue on next page.
`
`13
`
`cnenn FIRST
`SUISSE BOSTON
`
`

`

`CREDIT FIRST
`SUISSE BOSTON
`
`
`Disclaimers
`
`Credit Suisse First Boston is the trade name for the investment banking business of Credit Suisse, a Swiss bank, and references in this report to Credit Suisse First
`Boston or CSFB herein include all of the subsidiaries and affiliates of Credit Suisse operating under the Credit Suisse First Boston division of Credit Suisse Group
`(“CSG”). For more information on our structure, please follow the below link: http://www.creditsuisse.com/en/who_we_are/ourstructure.htm|.
`This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other
`jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would subject Credit Suisse or its subsidiaries or its
`affiliates (“CS”) to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. All material presented in this report, unless specifically indicated otherwise, is under
`copyright to CS. None of the material, nor its content, nor any copy of it, may be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed to any other party, without the
`prior express written permission of CS. All trademarks, service marks and logos used in this report are trademarks or service marks or registered trademarks or service
`marks of CSG or its affiliates.
`The information, tools and material presented in this report are provided to you for information purposes only and are not to be used or considered as an offer or the
`solicitation of an offer to sell or to buy or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. CS may not have taken any steps to ensure that the securities referred to in
`this report are suitable for any particular investor. CS will not treat recipients as its customers by virtue of their receiving the report. The investments or services contained
`or referred to in this report may not be suitable for you and it is recommended that you consult an independent investment advisor if you are in doubt about such
`investments or investment services. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is
`suitable or appropriate to your individual circumstances or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation to you. CS does not offer advice on the tax consequences of
`investment and you are advised to contact an independent tax adviser. Please note in particular that the bases and levels of taxation may change.
`CS believes the information and opinions in the Disclosure Appendix of this report are accurate and complete. Information and opinions presented in the other sections
`of the report were obtained or derived from sources CS believes are reliable, but CS makes no representations as to their aocuracy or completeness. Additional information
`is available upon request. CS accepts no liability for loss arising from the use of the material presented in this report, except that this exclusion of liability does not apply to
`the extent that liability arises under specific statutes or regulations applicable to CS. This report is not to be relied upon in substitution for the exercise of independent
`judgment. CS may have issued, and may in the future issue, a trading call regarding this security. Trading calls are short term trading opportunities based on market events
`and catalysts, while stock ratings reflect investment recommendations based on expected total return over a 12-month period relative to the relevant coverage universe.
`Because trading calls and stock ratings reflect different assumptions and analytical methods, trading calls may differ directionally from the stock rating. In addition, CS may
`have issued, and may in the future issue, other reports that are inconsistent with, and reach different conclusions from, the information presented in this report. Those reports
`reflect the different assumptions, views and analytical methods of the analysts who prepared them and CS is under no obligation to ensure that such other reports are
`brought to the attention of any recipient of this report. CS is involved in many businesses that relate to companies mentioned in this report. These businesses include
`specialized trading, risk arbitrage, market making, and other proprietary trading.
`Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding
`future performance. Information, opinions and estimates contained in this report reflect a judgement at its original date of publication by CS and are subject to change
`without notice. The price, value of and income from any of the securities or financial instruments mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise. The value of securities
`and financial instruments is subject to exchange rate fluctuation that may have a positive or adverse effect on the price or income of such securities or financial
`instruments. Investors in securities such as ADFl's, the values of which are influenced by currency volatility, effectively assume

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