throbber

`
`
`
`Global Research
`
`4 January 2016
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`
`U.S. Pharmaceuticals
`UBS Large Cap Pharmaceuticals Monthly Handbook
`
`
`
`What’s new? November TRx data
`This publication consists of monthly therapeutic market models, TRx
`growth trends, market share & sales estimates, and monthly promotion
`detail tables for key products within large cap pharmaceuticals.
`
`In diabetes, the DPP-IV class grew 8.5% Y/Y in November
`In diabetes, one of the key debates has been whether the SGLT-2 class will
`materially hurt the DPP-IV class after the readout of positive results from
`the EMPA-REG outcome study. Since the release in August, the share for
`the DPP-IV class has remained stable at 11.9%, and the Y/Y growth of
`8.5% in November was notable. With that said, it looks like the market
`share for the SGLT-2 class could be improving, as in November, the SGLT-2
`class gained 10 bps, up to 5.0% share from 4.9% in October, and
`Jardiance had a significant share gain (up 60 bps M/M) within the class at
`the expense of Farxiga and Invokana.
`
`The Alzheimer's, osteoporosis, ED markets have been declining
`The Alzheimer's, osteoporosis, and the erectile dysfunction markets
`continued to decline, with Alzheimer's down ~3% (-6% YTD), osteoporosis
`down ~2% (-6% YTD), and ED down -6% (-7% YTD).
`
`
`
`
`
`Figure 1: DPP-IV and SGLT-2 Market Share in Diabetes Market
`
`Figure 2: Market Growth for Alzheimer's, Osteo, and ED
`
`Equities
`
`Americas
`Pharmaceuticals
`
`
`
`
`
`Marc Goodman
`Analyst
`marc.goodman@ubs.com
`+1-212-713 1342
`Ami Fadia
`Analyst
`ami.fadia@ubs.com
`+1-212-713 6257
`Zidong Zhang
`Associate Analyst
`zidong.zhang@ubs.com
`+1-212-713 2603
`
`
`
`
`
`www.ubs.com/investmentresearch
`
`Source: IMS Health
`
`
`This report has been prepared by UBS Securities LLC. ANALYST CERTIFICATION AND REQUIRED DISCLOSURES BEGIN ON PAGE 103. UBS does and seeks to do business with companies
`covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report
`as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
`
`Petitioner Mylan Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Exhibit 1051 - Page 1
`
`

`

`Marc Goodman
`Analyst
`marc.goodman@ubs.com
`+1-212-713 1342
`Ami Fadia
`Analyst
`ami.fadia@ubs.com
`+1-212-713 6257
`Zidong Zhang
`Associate Analyst
`zidong.zhang@ubs.com
`+1-212-713 2603
`
`
`
`
`
`Contents
`Figure 1: DPP-IV and SGLT-2 Market Share in Diabetes Market .............................................................................................................. 1
`Figure 2: Alzheimer's Market Growth .................................................................................................................................................... 1
`Figure 1: Anti-Infectives – HIV Annual .................................................................................................................................................... 8
`Figure 2: Anti-Infectives – HIV TRx Monthly ............................................................................................................................................ 9
`Figure 3: Anti-Infectives – HIV TRx Growth Rates ................................................................................................................................ 10
`Figure 4: Anti-Infectives – HIV Promotion Details Monthly ................................................................................................................... 11
`Figure 5: Blood – Anti-Clotting Annual ................................................................................................................................................ 12
`Figure 6: Blood – Anti-Clotting TRx Monthly ........................................................................................................................................ 13
`Figure 7: Blood – Anti-Clotting TRx Growth Rates ................................................................................................................................ 14
`Figure 8: Blood – Anti-Clotting Promotion Details Monthly .................................................................................................................. 15
`Figure 9: Blood – Novel Anticoagulant Annual ..................................................................................................................................... 16
`Figure 10: Blood – Novel Anticoagulant TRx Monthly ........................................................................................................................... 17
`Figure 11: Blood – Novel Anticoagulant TRx Growth Rates .................................................................................................................. 18
`Figure 12: Blood – Novel Anticoagulant Promotion Details Monthly ..................................................................................................... 19
`Figure 13: Cardiovascular – Cholesterol Annual ................................................................................................................................... 20
`Figure 14: Cardiovascular – Cholesterol Monthly ................................................................................................................................. 21
`Figure 15: Cardiovascular – Cholesterol TRx Growth Rates ................................................................................................................... 22
`Figure 16: Cardiovascular – Cholesterol Promotion Details Monthly ..................................................................................................... 23
`Figure 17: CNS – Depression/Anxiety Annual ....................................................................................................................................... 24
`Figure 18: CNS – Depression/Anxiety Monthly ..................................................................................................................................... 25
`Figure 19: CNS – Depression/Anxiety TRx Growth Rates ....................................................................................................................... 26
`
` U.S. Pharmaceuticals 4 January 2016
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`
`
` 2
`
`Petitioner Mylan Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Exhibit 1051 - Page 2
`
`

`

`
`
`Figure 20: CNS – Depression/Anxiety Promotion Details Monthly ......................................................................................................... 27
`Figure 21: CNS – Fibromyalgia Annual ................................................................................................................................................. 28
`Figure 22: CNS – Fibromyalgia Monthly ............................................................................................................................................... 29
`Figure 23: CNS – Fibromyalgia TRx Growth Rates ................................................................................................................................. 30
`Figure 24: CNS – Fibromyalgia Promotion Details Monthly ................................................................................................................... 31
`Figure 25: CNS – Parkinson's Disease (Carbidopa – Levodopa) Annual ................................................................................................. 32
`Figure 26: CNS – Parkinson's Disease (Carbidopa – Levodopa) Monthly ............................................................................................... 33
`Figure 27: CNS – Parkinson's Disease (Carbidopa – Levodopa) TRx Growth Rates ................................................................................ 34
`Figure 28: CNS – Schizophrenia Annual ............................................................................................................................................... 36
`Figure 29: CNS – Schizophrenia Monthly ............................................................................................................................................. 37
`Figure 30: CNS – Schizophrenia TRx Growth Rates ............................................................................................................................... 38
`Figure 31: CNS – Schizophrenia Promotion Details Monthly ................................................................................................................. 39
`Figure 32: CNS – Sleep Disorder Annual .............................................................................................................................................. 40
`Figure 33: CNS – Sleep Disorders Monthly ........................................................................................................................................... 41
`Figure 34: CNS – Sleep Disorders TRx Growth Rates ............................................................................................................................. 42
`Figure 35: CNS – Sleep Disorders Promotion Details Monthly ............................................................................................................... 43
`Figure 36: Endocrinology – Diabetes (Non-Insulin) Annual ................................................................................................................... 44
`Figure 37: Endocrinology – Diabetes (Non-Insulin) Monthly .................................................................................................................. 45
`Figure 38: Endocrinology – Diabetes (Non-Insulin) TRx Growth Rates ................................................................................................... 46
`Figure 39: Endocrinology – Diabetes (Non-Insulin) Promotion Details Monthly ..................................................................................... 47
`Figure 40: Endocrinology – Diabetes DPP-IV Inhibitors Monthly ............................................................................................................ 48
`Figure 41: Endocrinology – Diabetes DPP-IV Inhibitors Monthly Continued .......................................................................................... 49
`
` U.S. Pharmaceuticals 4 January 2016
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`
`
` 3
`
`Petitioner Mylan Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Exhibit 1051 - Page 3
`
`

`

`
`
`Figure 42: Endocrinology – Diabetes DPP-IV Inhibitors TRx Growth Rates ............................................................................................. 50
`Figure 43: Endocrinology – Diabetes DPP-IV Inhibitors Promotion Details Monthly ............................................................................... 51
`Figure 44: Endocrinology – Diabetes SGLT-2 Inhibitors Monthly ........................................................................................................... 52
`Figure 45: Endocrinology – Diabetes SGLT-2 Inhibitors TRx Growth Rates ............................................................................................ 53
`Figure 46: Endocrinology – Diabetes SGLT-2 Inhibitors Promotion Details Monthly .............................................................................. 54
`Figure 47: Endocrinology – Diabetes GLP-1 Monthly ............................................................................................................................ 55
`Figure 48: Endocrinology – Diabetes GLP-1 TRx Growth Rates ............................................................................................................. 56
`Figure 49: Endocrinology – Diabetes GLP-1 Promotion Details Monthly ................................................................................................ 57
`Figure 50: Endocrinology – Diabetes (Insulin) Annual ........................................................................................................................... 58
`Figure 51: Endocrinology – Diabetes (Insulin) Monthly ......................................................................................................................... 59
`Figure 52: Endocrinology – Diabetes (Insulin) TRx Growth Rates ........................................................................................................... 60
`Figure 53: Endocrinology – Diabetes (Insulin) Promotion Details Monthly ............................................................................................. 61
`Figure 54: Endocrinology – Pancreatic Enzymes Annual ....................................................................................................................... 62
`Figure 55: Endocrinology – Pancreatic Enzymes Monthly ..................................................................................................................... 63
`Figure 56: Endocrinology – Pancreatic Enzymes TRx Growth Rates ....................................................................................................... 64
`Figure 57: Endocrinology – Pancreatic Enzymes Promotion Details Monthly ......................................................................................... 65
`Figure 58: Inflammatory – US Multiple Sclerosis Annual ....................................................................................................................... 66
`Figure 59: Inflammatory – US Multiple Sclerosis Monthly ..................................................................................................................... 67
`Figure 60: Inflammatory – US Multiple Sclerosis TRx Growth Rates ...................................................................................................... 68
`Figure 61: Inflammatory – US Multiple Sclerosis Promotion Details Monthly ......................................................................................... 69
`Figure 62: Men’s Health – US Testosterone Annual .............................................................................................................................. 70
`Figure 63: Men’s Health – US Testosterone Monthly ............................................................................................................................ 71
`
` U.S. Pharmaceuticals 4 January 2016
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`
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` 4
`
`Petitioner Mylan Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Exhibit 1051 - Page 4
`
`

`

`
`
`Figure 64: Men’s Health – US Testosterone TRx Growth Rates ............................................................................................................. 72
`Figure 65: Men’s Health – US Testosterone Promotion Details Monthly ................................................................................................ 73
`Figure 66: Respiratory – COPD Annual ................................................................................................................................................. 74
`Figure 67: Respiratory – COPD Monthly ............................................................................................................................................... 75
`Figure 68: Respiratory – COPD TRx Growth Rates ................................................................................................................................ 76
`Figure 69: Respiratory – COPD Promotion Details Monthly ................................................................................................................... 77
`Figure 70: Respiratory – HFA Inhalers Annual ....................................................................................................................................... 78
`Figure 71: Respiratory – HFA Inhalers Monthly ..................................................................................................................................... 79
`Figure 72: Respiratory – HFA Inhalers TRx Growth Rates ...................................................................................................................... 80
`Figure 73: Respiratory – HFA Inhalers Promotion Details Monthly ......................................................................................................... 81
`Figure 74: Respiratory – Nasal Spray Annual ........................................................................................................................................ 82
`Figure 75: Respiratory – Nasal Spray Monthly ....................................................................................................................................... 83
`Figure 76: Respiratory – Nasal Spray TRx Growth Rates ........................................................................................................................ 84
`Figure 77: Respiratory – Nasal Spray Promotion Details Monthly .......................................................................................................... 85
`Figure 78: Urology – Erectile Dysfunction Annual ................................................................................................................................. 86
`Figure 79: Urology – Erectile Dysfunction Monthly ............................................................................................................................... 87
`Figure 80: Urology – Erectile Dysfunction TRx Growth Rates ................................................................................................................ 88
`Figure 81: Urology – Erectile Dysfunction Promotion Details Monthly ................................................................................................... 89
`Figure 82: Urology – US Overactive Bladder Annual ............................................................................................................................. 90
`Figure 83: Urology – US Overactive Bladder Monthly ........................................................................................................................... 91
`Figure 84: Urology – US Overactive Bladder TRx Growth Rates ............................................................................................................. 92
`Figure 85: Urology – US Overactive Bladder Promotion Details Monthly ............................................................................................... 93
`
` U.S. Pharmaceuticals 4 January 2016
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`
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` 5
`
`Petitioner Mylan Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Exhibit 1051 - Page 5
`
`

`

`Figure 86: Women's Health – US Contraceptives Annual ..................................................................................................................... 94
`Figure 87: Women's Health – US Contraceptives Monthly ................................................................................................................... 95
`Figure 88: Women's Health – US Contraceptives TRx Growth Rates ..................................................................................................... 96
`Figure 89: Women's Health – US Contraceptives Promotion Details Monthly ....................................................................................... 97
`Figure 90: Women's Health – US Osteoporosis Annual ........................................................................................................................ 98
`Figure 91: Women's Health – US Osteoporosis Monthly ...................................................................................................................... 99
`Figure 92: Women's Health – US Osteoporosis TRx Growth Rates ...................................................................................................... 100
`Figure 93: Women's Health – US Osteoporosis Promotion Details Monthly ........................................................................................ 101
`
`
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`
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`
` U.S. Pharmaceuticals 4 January 2016
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`
`
` 6
`
`Petitioner Mylan Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Exhibit 1051 - Page 6
`
`

`

`
`
`Figure 82: Urology – US Overactive Bladder Annual
`
`2011
`
`2012
`
`2013
`
`2014
`
`% of Total TRxs
`2015E
`2016E
`
`2017E
`
`2018E
`
`2019E
`
`2020E
`
`2011
`
`2012
`
`2013
`
`Total Sales ($ Millions)
`2014
`2015E
`2016E
`
`2017E
`
`2018E
`
`2019E
`
`2020E
`
`Total Category Rxs ('000)
` Growth Rate
`
`17,866
`-3.4%
`
`17,770
`-0.5%
`
`18,057
`1.6%
`
`18,373
`1.7%
`
`18,431
`0.3%
`
`18,431
`0.0%
`
`18,431
`0.0%
`
`18,431
`0.0%
`
`18,431
`0.0%
`
`18,431
`0.0%
`
`Sanctura XR - Allergan
`Sanctura - Allergan
`Generic Sanctura (Trospium)
`Generic Sanctura XR (Trospium)
`Vesicare - Astellas
`Oxytrol - Allergan
`Gelnique - Allergan
`Enablex - Allergan
`Generic Enablex (Darifenacin)
`Detrol LA - Pfizer
`Generic Detrol LA (Tolterodine)
`Detrol - Pfizer
`Generic Detrol (Tolterodine)
`Ditropan XL - J&J
`
`2.2%
`0.1%
`0.7%
`0.0%
`20.9%
`0.8%
`0.8%
`8.9%
`0.0%
`19.3%
`0.0%
`1.9%
`0.0%
`0.2%
`
`1.4%
`0.0%
`1.0%
`0.2%
`22.0%
`0.5%
`0.7%
`7.4%
`0.0%
`15.1%
`0.0%
`1.0%
`0.7%
`0.1%
`
`0.2%
`0.0%
`1.2%
`1.1%
`22.2%
`0.3%
`0.5%
`4.1%
`0.0%
`12.1%
`0.0%
`0.1%
`2.2%
`0.1%
`
`0.0%
`0.0%
`1.4%
`1.1%
`20.2%
`0.2%
`0.3%
`2.5%
`0.0%
`1.4%
`8.7%
`0.0%
`2.6%
`0.1%
`
`0.0%
`0.0%
`1.5%
`1.0%
`18.4%
`0.2%
`0.2%
`1.5%
`0.0%
`0.3%
`4.9%
`0.0%
`7.2%
`0.1%
`
`0.0%
`0.0%
`1.5%
`1.0%
`18.1%
`0.2%
`0.3%
`0.9%
`0.2%
`0.2%
`2.7%
`0.0%
`9.2%
`0.1%
`
`0.0%
`0.0%
`1.5%
`1.0%
`18.2%
`0.2%
`0.4%
`0.1%
`1.0%
`0.2%
`2.7%
`0.0%
`9.2%
`0.1%
`
`0.0%
`0.0%
`1.5%
`1.0%
`18.1%
`0.2%
`0.5%
`0.0%
`1.1%
`0.2%
`2.7%
`0.0%
`9.2%
`0.1%
`
`0.0%
`0.0%
`1.5%
`1.0%
`3.8%
`0.2%
`0.6%
`0.0%
`1.1%
`0.2%
`2.7%
`0.0%
`9.2%
`0.1%
`
`0.0%
`0.0%
`1.5%
`1.0%
`0.1%
`0.2%
`0.7%
`0.0%
`1.1%
`0.2%
`2.7%
`0.0%
`9.2%
`0.1%
`
`$53.8
`$3.0
`$7.7
`$0.0
`$202.9
`$14.0
`$20.8
`$170.0
`$0.0
`$512.4
`$0.0
`$44.6
`$0.0
`$5.8
`
`$35.4
`$0.9
`$10.0
`$17.8
`$277.0
`$14.3
`$19.0
`$170.0
`$0.0
`$447.1
`$0.0
`$38.9
`$12.5
`$4.7
`
`$5.5
`$0.6
`$10.8
`$21.6
`$746.6
`$15.8
`$12.5
`$126.3
`$0.0
`$345.0
`$0.0
`$30.0
`$26.4
`$3.8
`
`$1.2
`$0.4
`$10.4
`$19.9
`$822.9
`$12.6
`$8.3
`$80.0
`$0.0
`$49.7
`$262.7
`$4.3
`$22.3
`$3.5
`
`$0.0
`$0.0
`$8.6
`$14.7
`$788.2
`$3.9
`$6.2
`$61.3
`$0.0
`$12.2
`$17.4
`$0.7
`$56.5
`$2.8
`
`$0.0
`$0.0
`$6.9
`$11.7
`$815.4
`$4.2
`$8.4
`$34.7
`$10.0
`$9.0
`$8.7
`$0.6
`$65.4
`$2.6
`
`$0.0
`$0.0
`$5.5
`$9.3
`$862.6
`$4.4
`$13.0
`$4.4
`$6.7
`$9.2
`$7.8
`$0.6
`$58.9
`$2.6
`
`$0.0
`$0.0
`$4.4
`$7.5
`$899.6
`$4.6
`$18.0
`$1.1
`$5.4
`$9.5
`$7.0
`$0.6
`$53.0
`$2.5
`
`$60.4
`$0.0
`$46.1
`
`$0.0
`$0.0
`$3.5
`$6.0
`$196.8
`$4.9
`$23.5
`$1.2
`$4.0
`$9.8
`$6.3
`$0.6
`$47.7
`$2.4
`
`$54.4
`$0.0
`$42.1
`
`$0.0
`$0.0
`$2.8
`$4.8
`$6.1
`$5.1
`$29.4
`$1.3
`$3.0
`$10.1
`$5.7
`$0.7
`$42.9
`$2.3
`
`$48.9
`$0.0
`$43.6
`
`Generic Ditropan XL (Oxybutynin)
`Ditropan - J&J
`Generic Ditropan (Oxybutynin)
`
`Urispas - J&J
`
`Generic Urispas (Flavoxate)
`Toviaz - Pfizer
`Myrbetriq - Astellas
`Others
`Total
`Growth Rate
`
`19.6%
`0.0%
`20.4%
`
`0.0%
`
`21.9%
`0.0%
`23.1%
`
`0.0%
`
`23.9%
`0.0%
`23.6%
`
`0.0%
`
`26.0%
`0.0%
`23.9%
`
`0.0%
`
`26.7%
`0.0%
`24.4%
`
`0.0%
`
`27.4%
`0.0%
`23.4%
`
`0.0%
`
`27.4%
`0.0%
`22.8%
`
`0.0%
`
`27.4%
`0.0%
`22.6%
`
`0.0%
`
`27.4%
`0.0%
`20.6%
`
`0.0%
`
`27.4%
`0.0%
`21.4%
`
`0.0%
`
`0.2%
`0.2%
`0.2%
`0.2%
`0.2%
`0.2%
`0.3%
`0.3%
`0.4%
`0.4%
`4.3%
`4.3%
`4.3%
`4.3%
`4.3%
`4.6%
`5.3%
`5.4%
`4.5%
`3.9%
`11.0%
`10.9%
`10.8%
`10.6%
`10.3%
`8.9%
`5.9%
`2.7%
`0.1%
`0.0%
`18.8%
`16.1%
`0.1%
`0.0%
`0.0%
`0.0%
`0.0%
`0.0%
`0.0%
`0.0%
`100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
`
`Source: Company reports, IMS database and UBS estimates
`
`$90.8
`$0.0
`$6.2
`
`$0.0
`
`$2.0
`$94.0
`$0.0
`$0.0
`$1,228.0
`-10.0%
`
`$82.0
`$0.0
`$9.3
`
`$0.0
`
`$1.8
`$115.2
`$8.9
`$0.0
`$1,264.7
`3.0%
`
`$83.5
`$0.0
`$29.4
`
`$0.0
`
`$1.4
`$120.0
`$96.0
`$0.0
`$1,675.2
`32.5%
`
`$87.1
`$0.0
`$48.7
`
`$0.0
`
`$80.7
`$0.0
`$49.7
`
`$0.0
`
`$74.6
`$0.0
`$47.7
`
`$0.0
`
`$67.1
`$0.0
`$46.6
`
`$0.0
`
`$0.0
`
`$0.0
`
`$0.0
`
`$0.9
`$1.1
`$121.8
`$133.0
`$252.6
`$237.2
`$0.0
`$0.0
`$1,478.4
`$1,805.2
`7.8% -18.1%
`
`$0.9
`$142.3
`$299.9
`$0.0
`$1,542.8
`4.4%
`
`$0.9
`$142.3
`$314.6
`$0.0
`$1,556.5
`0.9%
`
`$0.9
`$0.9
`$0.9
`$142.3
`$142.3
`$142.3
`$346.8
`$336.3
`$326.1
`$20.7
`$17.2
`$0.1
`$717.5
`$899.9
`$1,589.1
`2.1% -43.4% -20.3%
`
`
`
` U.S. Pharmaceuticals 4 January 2016
`
`
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` 90
`
`Petitioner Mylan Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Exhibit 1051 - Page 7
`
`

`

`
`
`Figure 85: Urology – US Overactive Bladder Promotion Details Monthly
`
`# of Details for Tot. Category ('000s)
`Total Category
`Growth rate
`
`Jan-15
`2014
`2013
`65
`758
`919
`-14.6% -17.5% -0.7%
`
`Feb-15
`70
`9.5%
`
`Feb-15
`0.3%
`0.5%
`22.6%
`
`0.0%
`0.0%
`4.2%
`1.2%
`0.0%
`22.7%
`
`Mar-15
`80
`-2.5%
`
`Mar-15
`0.3%
`0.6%
`32.0%
`
`0.0%
`0.3%
`1.0%
`0.0%
`0.2%
`15.5%
`
`Apr-15
`59
`-2.3%
`
`Apr-15
`0.0%
`0.3%
`19.1%
`
`0.0%
`0.4%
`1.3%
`0.6%
`0.0%
`22.1%
`
`May-15
`58
`-20.4%
`
`May-15
`0.4%
`0.0%
`27.9%
`
`0.3%
`0.0%
`1.7%
`0.8%
`0.0%
`16.6%
`
`Jun-15
`51
`-8.8%
`
`Jun-15
`0.5%
`0.3%
`17.1%
`
`0.0%
`0.0%
`1.2%
`0.3%
`0.4%
`26.6%
`
`Jul-15
`57
`-15.6%
`
`Jul-15
`0.0%
`0.8%
`26.0%
`
`0.0%
`0.3%
`2.8%
`0.4%
`1.0%
`21.0%
`
`Aug-15
`66
`-2.6%
`
`Aug-15
`0.4%
`0.5%
`32.7%
`
`0.0%
`0.3%
`1.2%
`1.1%
`0.0%
`13.2%
`
`Sep-15
`56
`-3.9%
`
`Sep-15
`0.0%
`1.1%
`34.3%
`
`2.5%
`0.0%
`2.5%
`0.0%
`0.0%
`16.1%
`
`2013
`0.3%
`0.5%
`26.7%
`
`0.1%
`2.2%
`6.7%
`1.7%
`0.2%
`20.0%
`
`2014
`0.4%
`0.7%
`21.9%
`
`0.1%
`0.2%
`5.9%
`1.1%
`0.4%
`21.8%
`
`Jan-15
`0.4%
`0.3%
`26.4%
`
`0.0%
`0.0%
`2.9%
`2.5%
`0.3%
`15.5%
`
`Market Share
`Sanctura XR - Allergan
`Sanctura - Allergan
`Vesicare - GlaxoSmithKline
`
`Oxytrol - Allergan
`Gelnique - Allergan
`Enablex - Allergan
`Detrol LA - Pfizer
`Detrol - Pfizer
`Toviaz - Pfizer
`
`Total
`
`Source: IMS database
`
`
`
`
`
`Oct-15 YTD 2015
`72
`634
`18.5%
`-3.2%
`
`Oct-15 YTD 2015
`0.0%
`0.2%
`0.5%
`0.5%
`26.7%
`26.8%
`
`0.0%
`0.1%
`1.1%
`0.0%
`2.6%
`16.9%
`
`0.2%
`0.1%
`2.0%
`0.7%
`0.5%
`18.4%
`
`100.0%
`
`
`
`100.0%
`
`100.0%
`
`100.0%
`
`100.0%
`
`100.0%
`
`100.0%
`
`100.0%
`
`100.0%
`
`100.0%
`
`100.0%
`
`100.0%
`
`100.0%
`
` U.S. Pharmaceuticals 4 January 2016
`
`
`
` 93
`
`Petitioner Mylan Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Exhibit 1051 - Page 8
`
`

`

`
`
`Required Disclosures
`
`This report has been prepared by UBS Securities LLC, an affiliate of UBS AG. UBS AG, its subsidiaries, branches and affiliates are referred to herein as UBS.
`
`For information on the ways in which UBS manages conflicts and maintains independence of its research product; historical performance information; and certain additional disclosures
`concerning UBS research recommendations, please visit www.ubs.com/disclosures. The figures contained in performance charts refer to the past; past performance is not a reliable
`indicator of future results. Additional information will be made available upon request. UBS Securities Co. Limited is licensed to conduct securities investment consultancy businesses by
`the China Securities Regulatory Commission.
`
`Analyst Certification: Each research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in whole or in part, certifies that with respect to each security or issuer that the
`analyst covered in this report: (1) all of the views expressed accurately reflect his or her personal views about those securities or issuers and were prepared in an independent manner,
`including with respect to UBS, and (2) no part of his or her compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by that
`research analyst in the research report.
`
`UBS Investment Research: Global Equity Rating Definitions
`
`12-Month Rating
`
`Definition
`
`Buy
`
`Neutral
`
`Sell
`
`FSR is > 6% above the MRA.
`
`FSR is between -6% and 6% of the MRA.
`
`FSR is > 6% below the MRA.
`
`Short-Term Rating
`
`Definition
`
`Buy
`
`Stock price expected to rise within three months from the time the rating was assigned because
`of a specific catalyst or event.
`
`Coverage1
`
`IB Services2
`
`49%
`
`40%
`
`12%
`
`33%
`
`26%
`
`18%
`
`Coverage3
`
`IB Services4
`
`less than 1%
`
`less than 1%
`
`Sell
`
`Stock price expected to fall within three months from the time the rating was assigned because of
`a specific catalyst or event.
`Source: UBS. Rating allocations are as of 30 September 2015.
`1:Percentage of companies under coverage globally within the 12-month rating category. 2:Percentage of companies within the 12-month rating category for which investment banking
`(IB) services were provided within the past 12 months. 3:Percentage of companies under coverage globally within the Short-Term rating category. 4:Percentage of companies within the
`Short-Term rating category for which investment banking (IB) services were provided within the past 12 months.
`
`less than 1%
`
`less than 1%
`
`KEY DEFINITIONS: Forecast Stock Return (FSR) is defined as expected percentage price appreciation plus gross dividend yield over the next 12 months. Market Return
`Assumption (MRA) is defined as the one-year local market interest rate plus 5% (a proxy for, and not a forecast of, the equity risk premium). Under Review (UR) Stocks may be
`flagged as UR by the analyst, indicating that the stock's price target and/or rating are subject to possible change in the near term, usually in response to an event that may affect the
`investment case or valuation. Short-Term Ratings reflect the expected near-term (up to three months) performance of the stock and do not reflect any change in the fundamental
`view or investment case. Equity Price Targets have an investment horizon of 12 months.
`
` U.S. Pharmaceuticals 4 January 2016
`
`
`
` 103
`
`Petitioner Mylan Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Exhibit 1051 - Page 9
`
`

`

`
`
`EXCEPTIONS AND SPECIAL CASES: UK and European Investment Fund ratings and definitions are: Buy: Positive on factors such as structure, management, performance record,
`discount; Neutral: Neutral on factors such as structure, management, performance record, discount; Sell: Negative on factors such as structure, management, performance record,
`discount. Core Banding Exceptions (CBE): Exceptions to the standard +/-6% bands may be granted by the Investment Review Committee (IRC). Factors considered by the IRC include
`the stock's volatility and the credit spread of the respective company's debt. As a result, stocks deemed to be very high or low risk may be subject to higher or lower bands as they relate
`to the rating. When such exceptions apply, they will be identified in the Company Disclosures table in the relevant research piece.
`
`Research analysts contributing to this report who are employed by any non-US affiliate of UBS Securities LLC are not registered/qualified as research analysts with FINRA. Such analysts
`may not be associated persons of UBS Securities LLC and therefore are not subject to the FINRA restrictions on communications with a subject company, public appearances, and trading
`securities held by a research analyst account. The name of each affiliate and analyst employed by that affiliate contributing to this report, if any, follows.
`
`UBS Securities LLC: Marc Goodman; Ami Fadia; Zidong Zhang.
`
`Unless otherwise indicated, please refer to the Valuation and Risk sections within the body of this report.
`
`Additional Prices: Pfizer Inc., US$32.28 (31 Dec 2015); AbbVie, US$59.24 (31 Dec 2015); Merck & Co., US$52.82 (31 Dec 2015); Lilly (Eli) & Co., US$84.26 (31 Dec 2015); Bristol-Myers
`Squibb, US$68.79 (31 Dec 2015); Source: UBS. All prices as of local market close.
`
`
`
` U.S. Pharmaceuticals 4 January 2016
`
`
`
` 104
`
`Petitioner Mylan Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Exhibit 1051 - Page 10
`
`

`

`
`
`
`
`Global Disclaimer
`This document has been prepared by UBS Securities LLC, an affiliate of UBS AG. UBS AG, its subsidiaries, branches and affiliates are referred to herein as UBS.
`Global Research is provided to our clients through UBS Neo, the UBS Client Portal and UBS.com (each a "System"). It may also be made available through third party vendors and distributed by UBS and/or third parties via e-mail or alternative electronic
`means. The level and types of services provided by Global Research to a client may vary depending upon various factors such as a client's individual preferences as to the frequency and manner of receiving communications, a client's risk profile and
`investment focus and perspective (e.g. market wide, sector specific, long-term, short-term, etc.), the size and scope of the overall client relationship with UBS and legal and regulatory constraints.
`When you receive Global Research through a System, your access and/or use of such Global Research is subject to this Global Research Disclaimer and to the terms of use governing the applicable System.
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`Privacy Statement (http://www.ubs.com/global/en/legalinfo2/privacy.html) and cookie notice (http://www.ubs.com/global/en/homepage/cookies/cookie-management.html).
`If you receive Global Research, whether through a System or by any other means, you agree that you shall not copy, revise, amend, create a derivative work, transfer to any third party, or in any way commercially exploit any UBS
`research provided via Global Research or otherwise, and that you shall not extract data from any research or estimates provided to you via Global Research or oth

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