`
`A
`
`B & C Consulting Services RcaJoo·r
`
`Prom the
`
`"'Lighr.,,a,•e Se1ies"
`
`Fo,.
`
`IG I ConsulliJJg, Inc.
`
`Much 2005
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 1
`
`
`
`Components for R-OADMs- 2005
`
`Table of Contents
`
`TABLE Of CONTENTS ....................................................................................... 2
`
`TABLE OF A GURES .......................................................................................... 6
`
`THE LIGHTWAVE NETWORK SERIES OF REPORTS ...................................... 7
`
`El(ECUDyE SUMMARY ................................................................................... 11
`
`INTROQUCDON ............................. - ................................................................. 13
`
`TECHNOLOGIES ...................................................................................... -
`
`..... 15
`
`16
`Smsshg a11d RIC!(hrr
`~
`17
`IS
`4_D[![Ql\Cb(!S to MEMS
`.. 18
`D.uzi1:11 Aoorooch
`19
`Analow Anprtl!lch_,,,.,
`.. 20
`Ons Dimension MErviS...... .....................
`,., 2 I
`• ... ,....
`Ci!Jnm.' l.u:ht Valve <Gl Vl......................
`.......
`biqui!.l Cryi!ul ............... ............. ..................... ,.. ..........
`. ..... 2 1
`LO UscA
`. .... 22
`................ .................. , .. ,.. ............
`Fjbg Pt!iU.• Cratinu ........ .............. ....................................................................... 23
`
`~~ u sO)t·n111' cs .•••.•.•.•.•.•.•. _,,_.,,,,.,.,_ .. , .• , __ ,.,. ..................................................................................... 23
`A \VG J)sylcs:!l .........
`. ......................................... ..........
`. ...... .,
`..... 23
`Esc:bcd WR:ys:guidr Devices (planar Wave~.'Uidc Dcyjcc!l
`.... 24
`Iynehlt La>tn-----------------·----............ .__. ______ .. ,. 25
`!'lbmnk~u~r~~~o·~·--------------------------------------~
`
`!rgu~h~rn!maia~S•umam~·a~-------------------------------------M
`
`MARKET DRIVERS AND FORECASTS ........................................ ~ ................. 28
`1>200S 8 & C COtl~ltiag Sel'\•ices
`2 Componaus F«ecast. ROAOMs.. Vet.l
`11nd l(ir ConsuJting lnc
`wwwJgig(oup.ecm
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 2
`
`
`
`.. -----------------·--·---
`Merkrs Qrhtn -
`_ , ..................... - ........... _._ .... .
`Ope\ Sa\ tna:s
`Wt\ tlrttM,th. Sen IC'n •• - .•••• ,, ... _____ , ... ____ .._ .... .
`
`------28
`
`··-······-· .. 28
`... 29
`»
`\ 11!\rt fam ag
`...••• -··· n
`Fcwsg11 Mnhodoloo _ ..... --·······-·······-
`...• 32
`Mock! f01 f0f..,.5L ............ -
`..... -
`.......... -
`........... _..........
`Mw•nptlons or :\lodd.
`...... 33
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`SVS!ftOJ......
`.. ...... ____ ....... - .............. - ........... __.. .......... _ .......... - .......... _ ..... 33
`c •• ._.. ..................................
`.. .... -.. ..........
`..3s
`t\.U!!IDP.tions for Cotnponent Fora.-asu ............ _ ................................................ JS
`p,;c;nJU"O< C~•I!Oll.~....
`.............. ...................... ...........
`. ................ .. 37
`w; FOitCOSl...
`............... ...............
`.. .... . _ ............................................... 37
`BJQckcr U.li .Mo1ke1 For«<§\..........................................
`.. ................. 38
`J'.1ux/O~nl u:t ~\otarkel Fot'«ast
`...............................................
`.. 39
`TuJlJllili> i.MfLUS .• MJIIbt Fore<411
`......... ............ ........... • ................ .. 40
`Tunubl e Filtl't! U.S Mar~L.t.Q~s ............ ... •• .........................................
`.. 41
`.. ................ 42
`Switch (!ohl!S ljS Forecast............................................
`MonilQI' r(I!D\LLI.S .. Markei Foreca.sJ...
`• ...... 43
`Iml CtmNlDcOIS I}S Mar\;e! F!lf"eC351
`4A
`G!CJbnl forn;ag .......
`. .... 45
`BlodtmG!nhn' \fark£1 Fomrr• ....
`46
`Mus, Pmms (;Wal M.Jftet Foccqu
`~ 6
`TuMble l4:q GIWJI Mllh1 FC!qul
`47
`Tunable hl!q Gtnfn! 1\larkeJ fom::a51
`48
`sw;~eh Points Global \bd:ct for«a<;~
`49
`b!Mhqr f'pnts G!gbal fnrrrpu
`. 50
`Cs!nnonmt) rotal Cdoba.i Fcvcc.ut ..
`$1
`
`• ........ -
`
`.......... •
`
`VENDORS ......................................................................................................... 53
`
`s:Juu.oontn !JSuteA,gnthl y Vyn d Or$ ·--····---·· .................................................... , •.• ,_ ................... 53
`
`C1!ttlmms:n!ISub n~wmbly Vendor kis.tim: ............................................. , ......................................... 56
`Ar l,htKQnlcs l.nc ...
`............
`..........
`............. ........... ............. • .........
`. ...... S6
`Aclj)'e Ontical Nctworfss Inc
`.. .. 56
`............
`..........
`t\t>l.z!s .Sl•mipcoduccor. Inc ................................. , .. ........
`. ... 57
`Af1jhmn Joe:
`.. 57
`Al!!nnn~J·Jbq Op1ic Products,. ........ •
`... SS
`ANdc:xic;1
`......... _,...
`... S8
`AOC T«bno!OSJt'$
`.. 59
`... S·9
`AUNOIJ. Inc
`AyPOn Corrpom1t0n
`60
`A,:gphmonict
`.... 60
`"""'' Ph«m••• 0
`Cot\dqe Pbocouic:s ... _ __ ...... __ ......... -.......... ..
`C200S 0 I< C Coo,ultiog S....ices
`11nd l(ir ConsuJut•g lnc
`
`. . . . . . - . . . . . • •
`
`• • • 61
`_ 61
`
`3 Compon~us F«c:cast • ROAOMs., V«. 3
`www.igi&roup.c:om
`
`.....
`
`--· .. ··- ......... ...
`
`_ ..... __ .. _ .. ____
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 3
`
`
`
`•.•.••
`
`. ......... _
`
`..........
`
`.......
`
`.............................. 62
`. ... · - ··········- ···········--·······-
`Comi!UL.
`• ....... -...... ..... - -.. 63
`....... _ .......... -
`........ -
`......... .._.........
`Corri~tt!n
`····--·-63
`Cub< Opcjg AG ........ - ............ - ........ -............
`..........
`... 63
`o.c"" n~><~wu..
`. ..... -·········-·····
`DuPgru pbp(!lQin TfdtooiCX!i~ ..... -... - ......... _
`• ..... ·-······--.... 64
`Emtl Tctlulo!O!!Y C4 lid ..... -
`.......... -
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`...64
`~nJillnJ.fll Lid
`·······-··"·······-········- ...... 65
`..•••• -····· - -·······-········-
`fll><m••• Co .lt<J
`65
`finual' C~l'l!!iQo.
`......... . ...... 66
`...........
`...... - -·······-
`..........•. . .... 66
`........
`FOCI fiber ()phc Communicol.iQmJn;;. .....
`Gtr!I~Ou Yt,n&4a OpLkal Comtn. I ech. De"· .................................................. - ..... 67
`I1W1Chl Cbfnuca! Co America Ltrl ...
`............ •• ......
`. ........... _ ...... 67
`tlllnchl N<1llii.Ame•·ii-a. Lid ........ .................
`............•.•..........•.. ...........
`. .... 68
`llJ.OJle:on l'echno!oyles ........................... ................. ..........
`. .................. 68
`11\I)IJtJI<U?JlQLQlli<a.Jo.<:. .................. ................. .... ...•.•......•.
`. ................................. 69
`luJ.~l.C.<lol.QCllliQn . . . . .
`. . . . . . . .•
`.•. . . . . . . .............. ...
`. ... (>9
`JDS 1Jolpho5f:..........
`...........................
`........
`.. ... 70
`K.ftljc;r O!)JiCJ!I S)'stcms Inc....
`............ ..........
`. .. 71
`Kamehpn
`.. 71
`JAmbda Ortital Systrms .....
`12
`I tfh!C"omm l't_"Chnology
`72
`LIQ!fiCOi' -.ECT Inc
`73
`13
`l dgb!WJ\n ~20 Inc
`l.vns fMioruc i\<twl!k<
`7~
`M.thf Nrtwgrh
`7S
`.. 15
`......
`Mqmmn
`•
`NrnPhmcm•o
`.. 76
`..........
`Ns(W5!k PftCJ«)(nCS ft\ut in Operation) _
`. .. 76
`... n
`O.N£t (ommunicabans Ltd .... --....... ,_ ............
`Onljnk Cptnntuuia&lions. hac ......... ....... - ......... .._ ........ _
`................... 78
`0 111jyjya Inc
`..........
`......
`.. ___ ... ,....................
`..........
`. ... 78
`PJtJ'unl!Js.. .
`................ ............. ......................................
`. ......... - ..... 79
`QJwmJ.u..
`. ................ ............. ............... ................................................... .. .. 79
`.................................................................... .... 80
`Q<nki ~l«:l•i.!<S~---
`1!.~1······· .. -· .. --..... ............. ............. ........................ ......................
`.. .. 8 1
`PolychrQIIIill. ............. _ .. ........... _ .. ............. ..... _ .............................................. .. 8 I
`...................................... ............. .. .. 82
`jtNJrc:m 0Jl~J!l~onttus Ph· Lld
`mct.C<':Immunk.ation£..CPrp ... _..........
`. .... _.......
`.. ............ .... 82
`$heni'htnllt-OJ!!el T~hnolow Co....I.Jsl.--........ __ ,_.,,,..
`. ........ _.. ..........
`.. 83
`Sind.l!jr M1111.1facrudng company ~.......... .........
`. 83
`St!koo.Li¥hl .. Ma<h•••l---·---·- -···--··· _ ......... -
`. .... 84
`Sne:qmSwuc b
`...... _ ... ....
`. .... 84
`~1(11 lnc<:uaatlonal. Inc .......... - ........................ -
`.. .. S6
`TmX•mloc
`86
`... 87
`Tbtftbn) lrw;
`Jmfihu fttbqglog,·
`37
`C>200S B & C CC)OI!IU!Iing S<Nic..
`• Compon.,us FO<<CI$1. ROADM~ v..-. 3
`and IGI Consulun~ lrw:
`\"W\.\Jgi&fOUp.«>m
`
`....•
`• ...
`........ _,.....
`
`..
`
`-
`
`.......... _
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 4
`
`
`
`Tranl2m!!
`\:a14or Fiber Oot•CJ
`'!tto~
`X1tflu1
`
`..... 88
`.. 88
`··S9
`_ .. 89
`
`··· -
`
`1\PPENQ!X I US'IlNG Of ACRONYMS ................................................... _.. ... 91
`
`Ill 1:00~ 8 & C ConMlltta~ $Mica
`IU1d IG I C omu1 ung Inc
`
`5 Com_,. f OR!COM • ROADMs. \' ... 3
`WW\1t'1Jf3foup.CC1m
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 5
`
`
`
`Components for R-OADMs- 2005
`
`Table of Figures
`
`"'""
`
`,.....
`
`.. .. 13
`Fjyure I Cpmponcnts!ncludcd in Rcpon
`l·umre 2 Qctajlcd Smull S\rilch R~OAOMs
`..... 15
`. ... 16
`Fig1u•e J !)l•tailcd R ro.1dcas1 R-OAOM.....
`. .... 17
`Ejg111'$ •I MHMS Lgyout
`.......... ............. ...........
`hg!lf'- S. Sk~·t~,;h of1\yu Dimensional ME.\>tS ..........
`. ... 18
`. ... 19
`HS!!!'S 6, Skcu; h pCMuhi-Qimcn$onal ME.MS ........
`Eil;urs 7. ID MUMS....
`.. ... 20
`..............
`Gtm•'e S Skt.•Jth ol'l.iguid Crvsud Trchnol%''\' .... ..
`.. .. 22
`Qgws 9 Phmu Wa\'cwids Demwc .........................
`_ . :24
`... 26
`fiVU•'S 10 l«hnt?Jpcirs' Swnmal"\'
`....... ·-·········
`_ 30
`fiL'll!$ II . [Qrl."'(:ut for Wa,•dc:ni.rtb Scni.ces...........
`.. 13
`tjsurs 12. R..OApM Sn~m Unit Forttast- US ....
`l:!lu•t!J. US R-QAQ~Ias a Pcn:<ol of Global Usa.e .......
`_ ... J4
`. 34
`Usurr 1.&. R..QA0\1 S>~kna - Giobal ..... __ ,,,.
`.......... _ .... 36
`Fi~'llrd~, Sm.11l S~itd! v.,5ion oflbe R.OAP~L
`f.i1-urc 16. Dro.ldcan Vttsioo or the R-OAD~I. ... ,__
`.... ·-······---.. 36
`F'JJ~>~rt l7. Con•ponenl Ptic~ ...........................
`.. ... -_ .. J7
`.. ....... _
`.. JS
`Fi¥"'~ IS. CPrnPOneniJ ·US Uni1s...........................
`fi11.11'< l 0 .li!l~>~·~cr USPJ~~<:I.f,QUS;w......
`.. ................ JS
`. .............................. 39
`FiU!1re 20._Mu,/Pem\l'~ ~lac"'-etfuecast ..... ....... .............
`fhl.utf' 2 1 J"unubk.LJs..."'f 1 JS M;ukeJ f Q!'!1C\lSL ....... , ...........
`.. ... 40
`.. ........... ... 41
`Eia•trU2. Tunoblc .fjj,let~ UUJ.ar.keL&cca~• .......... ............. ...........
`fiaure lJ Swjlch Potn!li liS Market forecast .........
`• .................. 42
`..........
`Eiatu:t.lL'11!1n ltor l'oimUJ.S.Madi&.l
`........ ... ............. ............ • ............
`.. .. 4J
`Eiaure 2~ 'J'O!al C'onuxmcms l iS rytarkeJ Forecas.J ..
`............
`. ..... 44
`£sauce 26 Compoue01s Unit$ Global ForpsL.......
`... 45
`f'.wurel7 ll lockc:c GIC1bp1 .\Iarke• f 0!£91'1
`... 46
`Fiaurc !H Mua;IPrmus Market Fnrecass ....
`. .. 46
`h~tur'C 20 'l'unab:lc I.-Jt5Ct GIC1ba1 Forecast
`• 47
`fiJP!f( 32 ]'unablq fdlm G loh31 \ ·farket F<R£39
`4S
`hwrc l I Snjlrh fqn!JS Global Market fnrt£'5'
`49
`ftsurs ll M(!Quor PoinJs GtOOaJ Ff!!"f'!s
`51
`f1surs ll Com P9PT!s Toul Global fatteaSt
`... S I
`ftWR).! Summap-Tabl~ - Sub-n-gcm \'mdorJ
`S3
`
`.. ..... ••
`
`Q 200S D & C COII!IUitiog Senic ..
`and IGI ConsuJting lnc
`
`6 Compon~us F«ec:ast • ROADMs., Vet. 3
`www.igigtoup.ecm
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 6
`
`
`
`Com ponents for R-OADMs - 2005
`
`T he Lightwave Network Srries of Reports
`
`This repon is p.an. o{ the LighM·avc- Network series offtttd by 101 Consulting, Inc and
`prcpartd by B &: C CansuJting Savices. The Lightw1we Net\.'i'OfL scriti of ftpOtts is an
`intcamttd, con~.!ltcnt nppro.1ch to developi ng nn undcrsuandins of the cntJn: optical
`nctwortc ll!l well tiS of the major systems comprilting thJit nctwol'l~ £1tch of the indjvidual
`rei:Klflll offers· o di$Cus...o;ion of1hc technolog-ies involved in the primtuy system of the
`report; lUI npf,li catioi'•S l'cview; a detailed anaJysis of the morkel driver~~ irnpueting the
`~lbjcct llyllh:m, a listing ur all of the major vendors nf the toubjcct S)'Sic•n~ all well as <1
`diSCUA$iC>n or their IJfOt.luCtS; aJld fO(ecastS Of market r~ultii i'IS wtll nj l>fiC~S for the
`MJbjcct ll)'!lttms.
`
`These rt J>OI1,1i art developed in such a manner s.o ttw.1 each one is n complcle standalone
`document for its 1m mat}' subjecL but they are also OOI~sistetu ac•ott lhe t1nne netwott:" to
`allow a broader 1mderstanding of lbe 0\fel'all neh"ork..
`
`The foiiO'Ah'J& are the r-epons of the Light,, a, t Nrcworl: series 11•ey 1ft alll\'3illble
`ill~ W'M! 11PIIli!J!.<l!OJ
`
`""TciCUJm Market in Tmnsition - 2005~ The Light~llVC is C.O.ng '0 Shine
`Agllinl" Thi; report foreca.SU the capital CXpn1ditu~ ror ttlccomnlunicationJ
`through 2009, at wdJ as focecaSB the nature of1hc: c:o•n•ns indu .. ury
`'"Th\' Tcl«om Markee A Delayed Recovety ... Th1s report is an updute of .. The
`Rtl\lfll or the Telco Markel'" including. all of the UtUit,Uclp;ned fnc:lOfl lfom the
`cal'llcl' r<:pon. This repon l>rovides a new (orcca~t for high·SIJCCd :•ccess lines. new
`network lrntlic iOrec<"tsts. and new C<lpitttll<.wec.aslS f'ot' major tttJYicrs
`" R<:CCJ\'ety rrom the Edg.e - Lightwave Segment fOI't."C~I~t,," Thi~ I'•C)JOI'l provides
`mmi:et forecasts for each of the nine segments or I he Ush1wuvc II is al$0 a
`companion •·epOI'liO .. Re1um of lhe Tdco ~<larket - Whcnr·
`" The Wrinners and Losers - Tile Coming Landscape or 1hc Liihlwa,ve .. This
`l"f1>011 islnumded 10 forecast the SU\ICiUre of the new (I~ r~nsion) lC:Iecom
`l'lta•i.et.. II is a oomp&Jrion repon to .. The R("tum oflhe TdooM11rket - When"-
`• 11~ Rerum of the Tdco Market- Whr:nT' 'This repon dc&ls cxdu..-sivdy with the
`<r-oilli of wlim the td<e(ll!l n:c...;ooo ,.,n end ond JIIO'-icks a mcthocloi"!!Y of
`analyiiJ ~the~-
`
`tl ZOOS D & C Cooosulling S<Nices
`and IGI Con5u1tin~ l"c
`
`7 Componenas F«tclst • ROADMs. \'tr .. J
`wy.~wJ~sroup .. «ln•
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 7
`
`
`
`''The li&htwa .. 't- Post 9- 1 l.'" This is an upd.uc of the "Ridtn~ lhc Li¥hnva ... e
`0\m'n and B:ad. Up._ .. It ptooo·ides a completely ad;uned " ' or mnrL.et fom."'Mls fllf
`d.e nine sectors of the lighl'\'CWe Net"otl based on the: impaclt at the Stpttmber
`11 . 200 I. 31U<ks on America.
`'"Rld!ng d~e l.1ghtw1'-e Oo\\11 and Bad Up - nus report rcMews d.e I)R:''lOUS
`marte1lor«asas for the Ugbn\'&\'C NrtwOfk and 11."\"1"" thoJc fOI'eCI.m m liglu o(
`dtc ZOOO.lOOl dO"lltUm ~cw forccasu areprtJ\1dcd fordthofdi!C mne arcu or
`lhe Llgh.IWIJVC Nrtwori;.. s..s well as an .a.nalysis of the dowrnum
`''Ridiny 1ha.- Lil:)ltwavc •• This repon is an O\'C'JVicw of the cmire Lightwav~
`~ctwo•·k. II IJI"O\'ides a nine-pan taxonomy ( u•hicb ill used lhroughoot Lhe series)
`for I he JIC:tWOrk, It discussion of key iSSUe!> in Ci'IC·h lli'Cll, 11 lis;ling of vendors in
`each urea. und ma1let forecasts for each orea •
`
`.. R~OA OMs - Key to Upgrading the Newly Mer.gtd Networks " This n:port is an
`updllu: or tJrlitt reportS on R·OADM.s. It specilkally fOC\ises on the applittttions
`R~OAOMs will havt in the new netwo.ks rfll.llung from the RBOCs putthii.Sing
`d.e major lXCs It includes e.<tecuive matket and t«hntcal m~et11\1 on the
`tubj«<
`'"Voieeoa d'C l..ighrwave- VoiP .. ThiS reponaddrt$5C$ntc\\'Oit VotP ond !M.m•
`d1c 1f0W1h of ne'fwork VolP win mflucncc the 1dec:om mart~ h nlchades
`~1c:nsive m:vkd f~ and m:atcrial on lhc applte~uons ofnctwork VotP
`" FTTP - a 2004 Perspoc:tiYc~- This is an update orib F'TiP prcdro~nor repon. lt
`was pl'l';J)3ted ~lier significant anoounceme;us had been tnode by th.e RBOCs
`ooncern ins FTTP and the RFP.
`"R·OADMs - S1ill Here in 20041·· 1~is is n complete updnte of the carhcr I'CIJOn
`on R·OAI)tv1s h includes all new activhy slnt(: lhC l:a$4 I'Cpott. new rorecas1s INilh
`o>:lendc.d IJCriods, and infonnation on 1hc newest t~pi)I'OilCh 10 I~~Ot\OMs by
`rnenns of Wnvcguidc Selective Swilchcs. h also includes nil the m~J~rkel,
`IIPIJhc:u i()l' und technical material of the earlier rcpo11
`"FTTP - The RBOC!i' l ight Sword?"' This repOI'l wa1l i:iisucd in hU(! 2001, but
`well b<ffore the r~sults ofthe RBOCs' RFP wtte announced. Tht r'q.lOil provided
`a C()Cnp~rch~nsive view of the F'TTP plan. indudir'IJ the tt:ehnolOI!;y. vendor~ and
`mnrl.et Th• report oiTffi!d sever.ll scenarios for possible FTI1' <kployments. and
`identil'ied lht most likely deploymettl plan along \\'ith lbe mou lildy vendo..-s.
`"R·OADMs -the Lighm .. ,.., under Control " Ths "1'(111 d<!rnwille de\'\'lopi"'l
`dw of opuul sy"emsl<noMt as R<C()flfigumblc ()pcical Add Drop Muhipl«er5
`These JY.M.CmJ ,,-;u f-acilit:~.~e the automa1ic coatrol of op~cal fi<1\\"'0I'b and ofl"n(cid:173)
`the poccmitl o( signific:am C3pital and qpcrat1ort:AI pvinJliO camel'S This repon
`ID lOOS 6 & C Consulting s.Mces
`8 Componenu Forc\\ast • ROADMs. Ver. J
`and IGI ConiUIUn~ Inc.
`"'ww.ijpgroup.com
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 8
`
`
`
`di.SCU.$$C'.S the applications, tandidate technol~ic:S. market ror«n.SIS. (Systems and
`(OmpOrbefti.S). and 'eodotS .
`.. B:toodband Access- The Window w the ~gblwt' e .. Tbis ts D tms:e--2002 update
`011 Ill I:SJICCU ofhish~ access IO ()jllical nctw<JJb h <CIIIIIfn' c;tlcnsiYC
`mau~nal. rorccasa. and technical descriptions of C'\'0")' aJpta of"lh•s most
`imponun 1~1
`'"'Swilthing 1~ lightwav~ - 2001 Update ... This i• :an upd:ltc 10 lhe voy popuii'U
`"'$\\'JI(hln& the Ug.htwaYe.- TI1is is a compl~~. stlnda.lone: docum~nt
`ineorponun~ aU the material from ~s,,itchln.g the L.i~twl\'t:," hUt with a
`oomplete rt:'\•ision to the Vendor's k'ttion as wt:Jias tontpletel)' new for«:asts.
`Al50 new technologies are CO\'c:tt'd that have deveiUJ)Cd in 'he ye:•r since t.hc
`original report was written.
`"Metro LlghtWI\,'t ! ' This repon covers all as:pec•s of mcll'(l{>Oihttn networks.
`includin,g economic models, market forecasts. and C~lcnslve dl!lotlttssions oftl'le
`~wnllttbloe equipmcnL
`1'Residc:::lllinl Networks.." This rep011 i.s taken from "OrinWnJe: the: Li..:J1twave
`Home" and covei"Si all ty pes of home networks
`"RtSid~ntin.l Gatewa)'S." This repon is t:lkfffl from " BrlniolnH the Lighm·av~
`tlomt .. and «w~rs only residenlialgoueways.. a concept developed by •he author
`in 1he mld·I'I'!Os
`· uroodlllnd R<$dcnlilll A«C$$ • This rq><>rt i• taken from · Bnnsi'!S tht
`Lt~·c Home, • and CO\'ers onl)• the •ccc:s.s nnwcwb
`•·Dnni~IIJ the Ligfnw-ave Home.- This is a comprehcnsi\<e rtpOn on all &Jpt"tt.S of
`the residentsal access ne.w«t. ud its immediau~ apJK.'1tcbat:s ltn~tudC':S the
`~$ ttet\\«U tlltmstl\'es (Ideo. PONs. cable. and radtO), ft"Sidential gateways.
`lll1d home nt1"'0f'ks
`"Ter6'bil Routers .. 'rhis rcpon deals cxduswcly whh the very l1rgc rmners known
`lUI Tcrubit Route~ intended for the network core. The l'q)(ll1 i iiiiSlr'lllC!i their
`OI)J11ic{lt ions :md discusses why they nrc needed in the: network
`"tvlctro OWOM •• This repon deals extensively with M-DWI)M (h is the
`Oti&itHUOI' of the term) and OWO~t.
`··s,.ntchil\g the Lightwave " This report is an c.~hm.tstive review or the subjcc.t of
`opticnl switchcs and c;ross-conneclS. As wilh nil of the l.tahrwavc S}·s:tcms
`rtponll, it includes tcc.hnology discus..'>ions, market forte~l5Q', and extensive
`llstin.ss C)( .. •cndors and discussion of their produces
`
`Gsncra! Ri:pOB'S oo !he Nnwork
`.. wt.o• s: Who in OpticaJ ~dworking. .. The unprecedtfttcd t;J0\\1h in th~ national
`nctworkJ.. b~ almost cxdwi\o-dy by the: ~""th in ltltnnet u.,mc. has aw:sed a
`~enmblt: by servict povidea and tquipman ,Mdofs 10 d~clop lhe most
`9 c ... ...,.,.,.,. f orooa11 . ROADMs. Vet. 3
`\\>WW.ijpgroup.com
`
`II) ZOOS B &: C Consulting S<Mtes
`and IGI ConiUitin~ Inc.
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 9
`
`
`
`economical and ilpprOpti i!ltt approaches to me\!C thi' »ro\Vth. Natumlly, this
`d(m:lnd..dti,·tt~ mtl'ktt has also resuhed in many oe" (OCJMIS.. both .setVite
`p10\'lde1rl and «lUipment de-\'tfopers. Since lhe collllp$t or the tekomad.tt.S o.nd
`Ill< 9-11 llLtd<. many of lbese new"'"'"" (•nd ..,.,. old OMS) MV< cl<poned. or
`hi\C \a.aly thiltlgtd tbeit pcOO.Jtt slates.. to tht li.St (t\\' )'W$. t.ht Mr\\otk bas
`b«onte tSiremely coofusins: from a number of points or\ ltw This rtpOn dOl
`onty id~llfteS dtOSt \-'endon: and the l)pe of eqwpcntnt they prO\ •de. but iiJJso
`pftSffiC$ I loglcal way 10 undemand lhe interrelatiOt'lshiPJ 0( dtttl' equipment
`IYPI!S
`"Hu>'ing the Lighrwa\'e, .. This rcpon bring!' tog.cth('r many of the 1ec.hniq\1CS used
`in the ocher rcpons of tbe series and from tho author•$ consuhing procuoe. to
`v~tluc: I)WI)M &nd other optic-aJ network equipment It provides \\'1)' 1' 10 estim1uc
`COIII8, bcn<:·hmnrl: costs. models for C\'aluating M-DWI)M vs. SONJ!'I' for
`I'Ut tMJ>oJitnn networks, and models for cwduating mesh VII ring nrchitceturcs..
`
`OllOOS B &: C Consulting S<Mtes
`and IGI ConiUitin~ Inc.
`
`10 Corn-11 rorooalt • ROADMs. Vet. 3
`\\oWW.ijpgroup.com
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 10
`
`
`
`Components for R-OADMs- 2005
`
`Encuti\'c Summary
`
`In many way~ 1hi11 is n report about a device that doclln't cx.ist, whose technology is
`unSCicctcd; nnd whose market is ve.ry unclear. While a fC\.,. of the 51n11ller DWD~ system
`vcndort do hnvc ll Rcconligurnhlc: Optical Add/Drop Multir•lexc:r (R-OADM) uffcring,
`none ul' tht1 mnjor vet1dms (90%, or so, of the total mu•·kct) hti.,.C >'tt nnnounc~d a
`p•'Oduct. The device oiTers the promise of substantial S:.\liu~ in opcmtions co.o;ts, but in
`tim~;:s when e\'CI)' ct~pitaJ dollai is caJefully guarded. il is very hurd to be too pra,gn\atic
`abouc fOie<:astii'IM 11 f;Jfttt market.
`This Is nn update or 11n e:ulier t~t OD the sa.r:nt subject frorn IGI. The pre"ioui r'tpott
`"'-as enc.Hitd " R·OADMs- The Ughtwa\'t under Conuol -This rtJ)On C:Ofttllill!
`completely~~ fOfttiW nuuerial. e.~PMded technical cnacf:l'ial and updates oo
`dtpto)mtnt acov;hes Jince me pcevioos V."'fk.. h also induda: '~" materittl 00
`Wa\dft'!llh Stleahe Sv.irebes. aod man) more figurel. e"\pla;,nina, tbt \lli'1()UJ t~pes of
`"'ll'ffO<h<s I\Miob4e for R.OADMS. This is a tomplrtdy stolld-.'llclae "'pon. comaining
`all cl"lhe bat........,d ma1erial fromlbe eadi<r repon
`
`R4)AOM1111re planned lObe sys~ems tha1 win allow the very fle"'<lble. renuxe se1ecoon of
`wavclenglhS transiung J given intermediate node on 11 fiber m1work fOf drop Jndlor
`addmg, 1'hey W'lll llllow 11ccess 10 any of the WtJ\'eJengths gatng 1hrough:. node for use of'
`the d"ttl on the: rehosen wavclcngJh and the possibility of tddlns 10, or modi tying, the ~ts
`on thAI wavelet,gth for 1ransmining i1 on 10 the next nodc(s)
`
`A number of technologies are involved in the R·OAOM At thi!I I:Klint even the f1nal
`architecture: is undcnr. The repon presents three dill'crcnl atchltcctut'C'8, with nn emphasis
`em "vo ofdtcsc - the '!lmaU switch• vt"rsion and the 'broud<:~M ' vc:rlliQft. 1'echnologles
`inv(llvcd in each upproach nre described
`
`There ate 11111ny applications for the R-OA.OM The a.pplic:lltiOil$ or vn_rious degree nodes
`("two dt"r\.'t nodes• for example ba .. ·e tv.'O fiber' routts. three: dt:tcree haH llhr<~ e1c.). that
`ate common in th~ nd work: art': depicted.
`
`'The m.,n morkd dri•« fllt R-OADM! it lilt dsirt 1<1 mt opBilinc txp<:I!J6 by lhr
`catntD lA tdditiorl. the fora-as1 increase (by sonat) in w~dtn&th JM;icH is &Ofn! 10
`tpnlly fl<ihl>l< 1he deplo)mem of""'"""" based 011 R.OADMs
`II c ... _. .. r onull • ROADMs. Vet. 3
`D 200S B &: C Consulting S<Mtes
`\\<WW.ijpgroup.com
`and IG I ConiUitin~ Inc.
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 11
`
`
`
`B«aust of the unC"Mainty in the matket. the matktc rorecaSI preJtnt«< i5 bn~cktted wilh
`a substantial amoun1 ()(information about sensitiviry daLI
`
`~IOit o(~ \tndOB in this marL-e~ at this timt :ue subassembly or compona.c
`manufltturers 1'he rna}« system ''endors are v.'OI1ru'tj with &he R.OAOM tKhnology.
`but ha\ e noc )'et otltred i1 in lht'ir OWOM systems
`
`alOOS B &: C Consulting S<Mtes
`and IGI ConiUitin~ Inc.
`
`12 c ... _ , . rorooalt • ROADMs. Vet. 3
`\\<WW.ijpgroup.com
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 12
`
`
`
`Components for R-OADMs- 2005
`
`Introduction
`
`R4 0ADivh arc planned U) be-systems that will allow the very flexible, remote selection of
`wavelengths transiting a given intenncdiate node on a fiber network for drup andlor
`adding. ThLJ' will allow access to any of the wavelengths g.oing through a node fur use of
`the d~ta on tlu~ e::hosen wavelength and the possibilil)' of adding to, or modifying, the data
`on that wavelength for transmitting it (m to the next nodc(s}.
`
`A number of tt chnOII)<,;ies art involved in the R.OAD~t At this pOint eve1:1 tl1e fi n<ll
`archjtectu•'e is uncleal'. Tl1e l'ef)0•1 presents the components and subassemblies involved
`in three. diOtrent a.rdtitectures, with an emphasis on l\'10 of these.- the ' small switch·
`vel'sion and the 'broadcast' version. Tech•tolog,ies involved i n each approach ate
`described. As rt'IOI'e vendol's al'e coming (0 matketthe bi'O<'ldcast version of the
`atchitecto.re, seems to be predominam.
`
`The follo~A>ing cbaJ1 illustrates the main components/subassemblies that 1are covered in
`this repo11.
`Fi~u re I, Ccomp••Mnt5 1ndudc:d in .Rero rt
`
`Used in
`Used as
`Technology Used as Used as Used as
`Bto(kers Switthts
`Attenu:tlors Oemux/Mu:c. Small
`Switc h R-
`DM
`
`Ill 1\H:MS
`Gl.V
`2llM EMS
`JllM.EMS
`LQ
`fOG
`AWG
`Pl:m:tl'
`\ V:nc('guidr
`Tunable
`Lan rll
`Mnn. P~.>
`
`.!.
`.!.
`
`.!.
`.!.
`
`.!.
`.!.
`.!.
`
`.!.
`
`.!.
`
`.!.
`.!.
`
`.!.
`
`.!.
`
`.!.
`.!.
`
`.!.
`
`!
`
`Used in
`Broadcast
`R-OA DMs
`
`.!.
`.!.
`
`.!.
`.!.
`
`.!.
`
`!
`
`02005 B & C COfasuhing Se1vices
`and IGJ Consu1ting Inc.
`
`13 Components Forecast - ROADMs, Ver. 3
`www.igigroup.c.etn
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 13
`
`
`
`Tllc main mtul.ct dri ... ~ for R·OADM.s is the desirt tO 141Ve oper~atin~ txptnid by the
`writrs. tn ~addi t•<lft. the foretast inaease (by some) in "., ... elcnath Javil:"es is going. to
`jVe'.1ll)' faclht:ur the deployment of net\\"Od:s based on R..OAD,\li.
`Tlusrot"<JI ropon from !he Uglm•'a-. Series. "ComponcniS fOt ROi\0\li - 201W is !he
`ddintll\e rtp0r1 on the romponenB mvk.et associated \ulh Reeonfiautable Optical Add
`[)n)p Mullipln.,.. (R.OADMs) Tbeseoo.ices are fioally @011'¥ 10 •••"•nil carriers'
`des. res to bt. ltble to control opbcal domain netw«ks "'il.b d.e s:~me ne,.abality and ease ..
`as ahcy ''~familiar "'ith m S0%\1£1" oriemed nem'Ori:J R.()Ab~ls ~ill pr~wktr. all of
`lht Cllplthy or Wl\'tlt.OJtlh tng,il1ffring \\ ilh the t:a~ A lid flltnltillrh)1 or SON'£11
`T ht.Sf dtviC't-f w [IJ ushtr ill tbf truly itntlli&t-111 opliCIIIIIt Cwork rn.
`R·OJ\OMs ''~II be systems that allow lhe vecy llexible. l\.'fn01C seleclioo of
`wtwelenjth!'i uansitang a given intermediate node on a fil.~:l' ne1wo•'k fOI' drop andlor
`addm~.
`'f'h<:y wtll !)I low ncccss to any of a he wavclcnJ>Ihs goins thi'Ough 11 l:;ivcn node,
`They w~llallow the use of the data Oil the chosen wuv.:len~th and possibly adding
`to or modifying 1he data on th;u wavelength for transmitting on h') '''e ne-"1
`nodc(sl
`
`OUOOS B &: C Consulting S<Mt es
`and IGI ConiUitin~ Inc.
`
`14 C'""pon<niS rorooalt • ROADMs. Vet. 3
`\\<WW.ijpgroup.com
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 14
`
`
`
`Technologies
`
`Th~~ otc I number t«hnoiO<~es im·oh·C'd in thl- implemmtalloo o( R·0A0~1s. To bq;in
`d!o ducll!SIM we ,.,;u bring back "''""die ok<Khn of R.OAO~b 1111h H!!!'< _ .
`ddlil indialed We "-ill usc these skctt:hes lo idcntif)• the uSC of lhe vuious tec:hnoloo~cs
`and a discussioo o( the m11jor ones
`
`The flnt o(thl:5e skdches is the small switch based R-OAD).b h ,,., (ollow5
`
`Input
`Wavelengths
`
`Output
`Wavellengths
`~--
`
`I o, v .....
`llec.ll
`A I f' la.ttealldof
`
`M
`
`Adds Drops
`
`This sl:etch shetws tht inclusioo of the-va•·iable optical :tlll(J1iliCf$1'llttCuuators. and the
`powe1' nllmitor poiuts.
`
`As will be the c~tse fo•· the 'bro.'tdcast' R·OADM implt"'ncnuuiou, tile~ ndditio1lS are
`necess:uy to ossul't that eacb wavelength is setH on at lhe same optical pG\'fff level
`Oitl'erent \~ttlvder~ths are imp3cted unevenly by :unplit1ei'S. switeh\:S (of ll'IOSt any type)
`and demuxlnw"s To achieve thjs. it is necessary to be able to monitor the individual
`w.1\'tlcnJ~,thS (i e., mo111tor the optical power) to ~beck ror uni(«m power his nlso
`n«'USM)' 10 be- able 10 Yllry the power le\'els or the lndtvtdual \\"3\ tltnjlbs The WL
`monit(lt points achieve the firs~ of mese objecth'es. and the vanablt
`oi!ljil,fiH$11ttfl!WiiOII sdlie-·e Ill.! -.1 oojt<li\'f Afltr pr<!<nUng IM Olherde«Jiled
`sl<eldlofln R-'OADM. we "ill funher ..-plore the t«hooiOS><S in\llh«<
`
`O:ZOOS B &: C Consulting S<Mtes
`and IGI ConiUitin~ Inc.
`
`I; c ... _.,. rorooalt • ROADMs. Ver. 3
`"'ww.ijpgroup.com
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 15
`
`
`
`Th<othcul.<tchllol'lh<Braodca<tR-OAD~I h .. uron...~
`"--"J.~Ifr t•~.AD:~
`
`R-OADM
`Input WLt~IMI~ ... ,M-~-~~-MH-+tput Wls
`
`..
`}! Tunable
`
`.. ..,.
`
`Adclt
`, "'V_...
`
`a
`
`.... ._. --
`
`AJ In the CtiSC with the previous R·OADf!-·1 implemenlntlon. thl• •~etch hns been
`lh.r,WtiCniL'll by t1dding the opLical transmissicm eOJntol unlt1. At before. dtis fi.ulctionality
`11 nccde<t 10 llssure thnt a uniform power distribUtiOn, ovtt the" ll\'clt11"th Sl>eCII\Ull, is
`cran~utlttcd Too much po\\'er Oll a wa"elen,Klh could reiuh lu ovet'•dr h·u'g 11 subsequeru
`ampiiOer. caus-ni e'Ccessi\e distonion io the QI>UCII tljnal
`
`lta\-IMI PfeR!lled tt\ae f"o"l' SketChes. ne nill now R\-l~ lht \'atiOUJ IKhnoiOSits used
`b) lh< niJJO< .__ . ,
`
`s .. ttchrt Dffd Bl«l.u
`TM , .. ,KMJ h n 1M Ulllll ~ita\~) Md blodtr <•• dw bta.dcua \ert~oa) act(cid:173)
`_bti<d .. a..ao-d~sl"..,(\IC\ISI•••an<>wfonru Wt•ill
`r.,.._ lh<ftfort ~,.,. ... ~tEll IS
`0.200~ B & C CoiiJulting S<nites
`and JGI Coniulbn¥ Inc.
`
`16 Componm11 fOt«"l- ROAD~t~ Ver. J
`"'~"""'· ijparoup.com
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 16
`
`
`
`MEMS
`
`Micro-e-lectrom.echanical systems (fvlEMS. also sotnetiines caUed MOE£\·fS - micro(cid:173)
`op!o-elecuomechanical systems) may be the most promising of the all-optical
`technologies. MEMS ru·e ac1ually a part of a ve1y bl'oad technology deve-lopment that
`goes tbr past R·OADMs and even far pa&t telecommunications. It is reall)' a class or
`de\•etopments that focuses Oil the growth of tiny. complex machines oo silicon chjps. It
`has applicarjons in computer design (computer oo a chip). medicine (both medicine
`delivery and internal imaging from tiny cameras). and fluidics (microtluidic devices) and
`in many ocher areas. Products from this technology area have included automobi le airbag
`sensors, pressuee sensots, displays, scarlners, priiHel's. data stOtage, and adaptive optics.
`
`The development. i 1l just the last few years. of prot01ypes. and the subseqU>ent productio•l
`models of large. scale. carrier grade a11·optical OXCs from thjs technology has grabbed
`lhe attention of che entire indl•st•y. (Tilis developmental success has occurred in spite of
`d1e fnc.t of their slow acceptance because of economic factors.) The fac' that this
`deveJopmem is not limited to one manufacwrer (or even to a sing.Je technical approach)
`nas made-this a somewhat spec1acular introduction of an entirely new (in ~his application)
`technology.
`
`Q --------+9==
`/ "
`/' I
`/ Q "'
`.. -
`
`Output
`fiber
`
`MEMS
`
`/
`
`rvlirrol's
`
`----~--------
`
`Input
`FibC"r
`
`As previously noted, MBJ\.1S is the use of ill"t.\ys of mirrors to switch light from a stt of
`input fibe-r! to a set of output fibers. The mirrors can be repositioned to ach.ie"e the
`svtitchi•lg functiOil. These tiuy rllil'fors (on the order of2 •niUimeters in diametet) are
`arra.lged in two arrays and pOSitioned so as to rellec.t an input on one mirror 10 a 1nitror
`on the second ar1-ay and then to an output. Tite sketch above is a representation of the
`genetal ar~angem ent.
`
`It should be. noted that in some Vt11dors• appl'Oaches to this technolog)', a "fold mimx'' is
`located between lhe two mirrors shown. This is a stalionary mirror included to redirect
`the lig.h1 bac!.."Wards to the moving mirror location.
`
`0'2005 B & C COfiSuhing Se1vices
`and IGJ Consu1ting Inc.
`
`17 Components Forecas1 • ROADMs. Ver. 3
`www.igigroup.c.otn
`
`Cisco Systems, Inc.
`Exhibit 1044
`Page 17
`
`
`
`Approaches IO MEMS
`
`Wuh 1hi.s btln