`______________
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`BEFORE THE PATENT TRIAL AND APPEAL BOARD
`______________
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`LIBERTY MUTUAL INSURANCE CO.
`Petitioner
`
`v.
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`PROGRESSIVE CASUALTY INSURANCE CO.
`Patent Owner
`______________
`
`Case CBM2012-00002
`Patent 6,064,970
`______________
`
`Before the Honorable JAMESON LEE, JONI Y. CHANG, and MICHAEL R.
`ZECHER, Administrative Patent Judges.
`
`REBUTTAL DECLARATION OF SCOTT ANDREWS ON BEHALF OF
`PETITIONER LIBERTY MUTUAL INSURANCE CO. REGARDING U.S.
`PATENT NO. 6,064,970
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`I, Scott Andrews, hereby declare under penalty of perjury:
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`I have previously been asked by Liberty Mutual Insurance (“Liberty”) to testify
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`as an expert witness in this action. As part of my work in this action, I have been
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`asked by Liberty to respond to certain assertions and opinions offered by Dr. Mark
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`Ehsani and Progressive Casualty Insurance Co. (“Progressive”) in this proceeding
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`concerning U.S. Patent No. 6,064,970 (“the ‘970 patent”).
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`Liberty Mutual Exhibit 1019
`Liberty Mutual v. Progressive
`CBM2012-00002
`Page 00001
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`Prior Testimony
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`I.
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`1.
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`I am the same Scott Andrews who provided a Declaration in this matter
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`executed on September 15, 2012 as Exhibit 1012.
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`II. Experience, Qualifications, and Compensation
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`2. My information regarding experience, qualifications, and compensation
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`are provided along with my prior Declaration, Exhibit 1012, and CV, Exhibit 1013.
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`III. Scope of Study and Rebuttal Opinions
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`A. Questions Presented
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`3.
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`I have been asked to respond to certain assertions and opinions of Dr.
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`Mark Ehsani expressed in his declaration of May 1, 2013 as Exhibit 2016, and certain
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`assertions of Progressive in its Patent Owner’s Response of May 1, 2013.
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`B. Materials Considered
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`4.
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`In developing my opinions below, and in addition to the materials
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`identified in my prior declaration at paragraph 13, I have considered the following
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`materials:
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` Declaration of Dr. Mark Ehsani (Ex. 2016);
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` CV of Dr. Mark Ehsani (Ex. 2017)
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` Patent Owner’s Response Pursuant to 37 C.F.R. § 42.220 (Paper 27)
`(“Opposition” or “Opp.”);
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` Board’s Decision on Institution of Covered Business Method Review
`(Paper 10);
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`2
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`Page 00002
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` All other materials referenced as exhibits herein.
`IV. Analysis and Opinions
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`A. Dr. Ehsani’s Opinions and Progressive’s Assertions Concerning
`Kosaka’s Disclosures Regarding Fuzzy Logic
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`5.
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`Contrary to Dr. Ehsani’s testimony, a person of ordinary skill in the
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`telematics aspects of the ‘970 patent1 would understand how to implement the fuzzy
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`logic processing in Kosaka’s Risk Evaluation Unit. Progressive’s expert, Dr. Ehsani,
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`is wrong when he states otherwise. E.g., EX2016 ¶¶ 28-29. Although a person of
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`ordinary skill in the art might not be an “expert” in the sub-specialty of fuzzy logic,
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`such a person would know enough about fuzzy logic to understand Kosaka and the
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`technology for implementing it. In fact, Dr. Ehsani himself acknowledges that the
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`membership functions provided by Kosaka can be found in conceptual introductions
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`to basic fuzzy logic. EX2016 ¶ 31. Thus, understanding the fuzzy logic aspects of
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`Kosaka requires a minimal understanding of fuzzy logic.
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`6.
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`Fuzzy logic was well established and fairly common by 1996. Dr. Ehsani
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`himself references a 1994 book on fuzzy logic in one of his papers cited in his CV.
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`J.P. Johnson, K. M. Rahman, & M. Ehsani, “Application of a Clustering Adaptive Fuzzy
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`Logic Controller in a Brushless DC Drive,” IEEE-IECON’97, New Orleans, LA,
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`November 1997, pp. 1001-1005 (EX1020) (referencing Wang, L., Adaptive Fuzzy
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`1 As before, for purposes of this Declaration, unless otherwise noted, my statements
`and opinions below reflect the knowledge that existed in the field as of January 1996.
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`Page 00003
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`System and Control – Design and Stability Analysis, Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs,
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`N.J., 1994) (cited in EX2017 at 8). And during this period fuzzy logic was also the
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`subject of general study, as reflected, e.g., by the publication shortly thereafter of a
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`textbook by Reza Langari & John Yen, Fuzzy Logic: Intelligence, Control, and Information 3
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`(1999) (EX1021) (“[a]fter being mostly viewed as a controversial technology for two
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`decades, fuzzy logic has finally been accepted as an emerging technology since the late
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`1980s”). By 1996, I already had studied several fuzzy logic systems and supervised
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`many engineers with similar fuzzy logic experience. In 1994, I was leading a team of
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`engineers doing a variety of automotive systems development. These engineers were
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`generally of the same level of skill as I have set forth as a typical POSITA. On one
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`project they used fuzzy logic to track radar targets for an automotive radar system. On
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`another they used fuzzy logic to classify accelerometer data from crash sensors in
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`order to determine if and when to fire the airbags in a car. As far as I know, Dr.
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`Ehsani is correct in that none of these engineers had received any formal training in
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`fuzzy logic per se, but the technical concepts are not difficult, and with only a modest
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`amount of research in target acquisition and tracking these engineers decided to use
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`fuzzy logic, and then implemented the system. Thus, in my opinion, such a POSITA,
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`faced with a technical problem (in this case classifying the driving behavior of
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`insureds) would easily identify fuzzy logic as an effective classification system, and
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`then set about implementing the technical aspects of the system by consulting
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`references for any needed details, and testing solutions. In fact, few engineers practice
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`exclusively in technology for which they have formal training, and a good measure of
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`the capability of an engineer, as I have learned in interviewing and hiring many
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`engineers throughout my career, is their ability to apply their core technical skills to
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`finding solutions to problems; in the real world outside of a formal curriculum, these
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`problems are seldom like those found in textbooks. An engineer of ordinary capability
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`knows where to look for a solution, and has the skills to understand those solutions
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`based on basic technical principles.
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`7.
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`Progressive cites to their deposition of me and argues I had trouble
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`reading and understanding Kosaka. Opp. at 32. However, they misunderstand my
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`testimony. Instead, I was expressing difficulty based on the way the question asked of
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`me was phrased—in other words, I was initially unclear as to what I was being asked.
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`Once the question was clarified, I was able to respond based on Kosaka’s disclosure.
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`EX2018 at 142:11-145:14. Additionally, Progressive cites to two errors in my
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`declaration (neither of which substantively altered my conclusions) as evidence of
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`Kosaka being confusing. Opp. at 32. However, these were not based on difficulties
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`with Kosaka. First, in my original declaration, as I raised during the deposition, I
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`accidentally said “second fuzzy logic part,” when I actually meant “third fuzzy logic
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`part.” EX2018 at 138:3-7. Second, I acknowledged during my deposition that I
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`misspoke when I stated that “operator control density” is integrated; rather, it is the
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`product of integration. This does not change my conclusion that Kosaka discloses
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`storage of values prior to integration, and these misstatements are not reflective of any
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`difficulty in understanding Kosaka.
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`8.
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`Dr. Ehsani states that a person of ordinary skill could not understand the
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`teachings of Kosaka because it does not explain what the actual membership
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`functions are. EX2016 ¶ 31. I disagree. In Figure 10, Kosaka describes conceptually
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`how the various measured parameters would be classified into their membership sets,
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`and in Figure 11, shows how the fuzzy logic parts would generate secondary
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`membership sets from the initial membership sets. The particular values associated
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`with these membership functions would be based on the particular purpose of the
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`classification. In Kosaka, the particular parameter values associated with this
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`classification would be a question of insurance underwriting, which is something that
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`neither Dr. Ehsani nor myself are qualified to determine – rather, this would be
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`determined by a person of ordinary skill in the insurance aspects of the ‘970 patent.
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`However, that does not stop a person of ordinary skill in the telematics aspects of the
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`‘970 patent from understanding how fuzzy logic would be applied to this problem and
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`implemented. Kosaka Figures 10 and 11 clearly illustrate how fuzzy logic would be
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`used to classify these input values in a way that could be used by an insurance expert
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`to determine proper risk assignments.
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`9.
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`Furthermore, Kosaka discloses using fuzzy logic to process the data and
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`arrive at a risk evaluation value. Based on the Kosaka disclosures, a person of
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`ordinary skill in the art would understand the risk evaluation value to be a single,
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`“crisp” risk value. E.g., EX1004 at 1, 6. After the data is processed through fuzzy
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`logic, a POSITA would understand it must be converted into a crisp value through a
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`process called defuzzification – a standard part of basic fuzzy logic implementation.
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`Langari at 38, 44. In fact, Kosaka explicitly describes using defuzzification. EX1004
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`at 8. This step allows fuzzy logic systems to provide a usable, actionable output.
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`10.
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`In addition, Kosaka explicitly discloses that fuzzy logic need not be used
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`at all. EX1004 at 6, 9. A person of ordinary skill in the art would understand that
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`Kosaka teaches implementing its system using either fuzzy logic or standard crisp logic
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`to generate single (crisp) risk evaluation values, and those same risk evaluation values,
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`however they are generated, are thereafter used by the rest of the system. In
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`implementing the system using crisp logic, many of the same components as
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`described for the fuzzy logic system would be required. All of the measured
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`parameters on which Kosaka bases its insurance determination would still be used.
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`Only the signal processing to generate the risk evaluation value would be different. In
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`either case, fuzzy or crisp, the output of the risk evaluation unit would be still a crisp
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`risk evaluation value, and an ultimate output of the system would still be insurance
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`premiums based on measured parameters reflective of driving behavior.
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`B.
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`11.
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`Progressive’s Assertions Concerning Black Magic’s Disclosures
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`I have read Black Magic and, in my opinion—contrary to Progressive’s
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`assertions—it would have been understood by a person of ordinary skill in the art as a
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`“black box” system that records and associates time, speed, and location.
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`12. Black Magic’s system uses “black box recorders” to monitor vehicle
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`fleets and “record[] . . . driving speed, time and distance traveled and fuel
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`consumption.” EX1008 at 1. From these values, a fleet manager can derive
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`additional information, such as “maximum speeds, engine idling time and harsh
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`deceleration” in order to “analyze the performance of drivers.” Id. Black Magic
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`further explicitly discloses that GPS technology can “produce all the data a black box
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`can and record the vehicle’s location.” Id. at 2.
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`13.
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`Focusing on one sentence, Progressive asserts that a POSITA would
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`understand that Black Magic does not disclose recording time (Opp. at 44), but this
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`misstates the disclosure of Black Magic. A POSITA would understand Black Magic
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`to teach that the black box needs to monitor speed linked to time (as well as location)
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`in order to derive “deceleration” or determine whether a car was “idling” based on
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`recorded “speed” values, to determine whether a car was exceeding a particular
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`location’s posted speed limit, and “to accurately rate premiums according to styles of
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`driving and locality of use.” EX1008 at 1-2.
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`Executed this 6th day of August, 2013
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` Scott Andrews
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`At: Petaluma, CA
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