throbber
Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 1 of 18
`Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 1 of 18
`
`EXHIBIT L
`EXHIBIT L
`
`

`

`Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 2 of 18
`
`The Music Industry on (the) Line?
`Surviving Music Piracy in a Digital Era
`
`Jelle Janssens, Stijn Van Daele and Tom Vander Beken
`
`Institute for International Research on Criminal Policy (IRCP),
`Ghent University, Belgium
`
`European Journal of Crime,
`Criminal Law and Criminal Justice 17 (2009) 77–96
`
`
`
`1. Introduction
`
`After successive years of growth during the 1990s, decreasing compact disc (CD) sales have
`been plaguing the music industry since 2000. Although several reasons have been cited to
`explain the decline in sales, the music industry mainly puts the blame on physical and digital
`piracy, more specific on CD and Internet piracy [1].
`Piracy is not a new phenomenon. In the last decades, technological developments have
`allowed the music industry to discover and promote new music formats, but have also
`enabled commercially-minded pirates and private citizens to pirate music on a larger scale.
`Piracy was a minor problem for the music industry until the arrival of the compact tape
`cassette in the late 1960s and the wide-spread availability of home cassette recorders in the
`1970s [2]. The advent of the CD in 1982 heralded a new era. Although this format boosted
`global music sales, the technology enabled master-quality copying in large quantities. Firstly,
`the development of encoding formats such as MP3 allowed users to easily transfer music to
`computers, transmit it via the Internet or decode the digitally recorded music for recording
`onto CDRs [3]. Secondly, when the switch was made from cassettes to CDs, most computers
`had limited storage capacity and were not always equipped with a sound card or external
`speakers. During the last decade, however, personal computers have become much faster
`and more powerful and most of them nowadays come with CD-ripping software and CD-
`burners. Contemporary pirates are now able to create perfect, quasi-identical copies.
`The possibilities offered by the new technologies did not go unnoticed. Whereas the
`music industry always had some sort of monopoly over the distribution of music to
`customers, they soon met with competition from entrepreneurs making the most of their
`chances to get a piece of the pie. Besides concerns about private citizens copying CDs onto
`CD-Rs, the music industry was – and still is – gravely concerned about full scale commercial
`music piracy. It did not take long for them to link full scale commercial piracy to organized
`crime [4]. Organized criminals would use CD revenues to finance other activities such as
`trafficking drugs, humans or weapons [5]. In combating organized crime, the music industry
`has found an ally in public and law enforcement authorities. They too, link – to some extent –
`CD piracy to organized crime [6]. In several criminal cases, links have indeed been
`established between criminal organizations and CD piracy and counterfeit products in
`general [7].
`Music industry’s monopoly position being shattered, consumers are now able to shop
`around. It is not, however, physical piracy that has received a lot of attention recently, but
`digital piracy (due the rise of the Internet and the plummeted costs of personal computers)
`which is seen as one of the biggest threats to the music industry today. Although Internet
`piracy can take many forms, one variant, file sharing through peer-to-peer (P2P) networks, is
`said to have a devastating impact on global CD sales [8]. The very idea behind these
`
`
`
`1
`
`

`

`Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 3 of 18
`
`networks is to allow users to share music files with others for free. With the global wide-
`spread of the personal computer (PC)[9], the increasing pervasiveness of the Internet and
`broadband connections[10], and the emergence of digital compression technologies, this type
`of piracy can indeed assume vast proportions.
`New technologies provide both opportunities as well as challenges. This article discusses
`opportunities to tackle organized crime involvement in music piracy and opportunities for
`the music industry to survive in the digital era. In a first part, the piracy problem facing the
`contemporary music industry is examined. In this context, the music industry is scanned for
`its own vulnerabilities and on the involvement of organized music pirates. In a second part,
`the future for the music industry and organized music pirates in the digital era is examined.
`Finally, options for the music industry in dealing with piracy in the digital era are proposed.
`The ideas and findings presented in this article apply only to those countries and regions
`where Internet pervasiveness is high. If there is no access to the Internet, there is no digital
`piracy.
`
`
`2. The music industry and piracy
`
`According to the International Federation of the Phonographic Industry (IFPI), CD sales have
`been falling continuously (except for a status quo in 2004) from 2,5 billion units in 2000 to 1,8
`billion in 2006 (see figure 1). This decline is without doubt hurting the music industry since
`CD sales still account for a crucial part of the recorded music sales. From 1999 till 2002,
`global sales dropped 19.8 percent (from US$38,6 billion to US$30,9 billion). While the
`industry was doing better in 2003 (+ 3.3%) and 2004 (+4.7%), global sales dropped again in
`2005 (-0.5 percent) and in 2006 (-4.9 percent) (see figure 2) [11].
`
`Figure 1: Global CD sales in million units
`2600
`
`2400
`
`2200
`
`2000
`
`Units (in million)
`
`1800
`
`1600
`
`2000
`Year
`Source: IFPI, 2004 and IFPI “The recording Industry” 2000-2007:
`http://www.ifpi.co.uk/content/section_statistics/index.html.
`
`2001
`
`2002
`
`2003
`
`2004
`
`2005
`
`2006
`
`
`
`2
`
`1994
`
`1995
`
`1996
`
`1997
`
`1998
`
`1999
`
`
`
`

`

`Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 4 of 18
`
`The reasons cited for the disappointing results are numerous. Some simply blame the
`economy; others point the finger at major labels’ practices, including price-fixing by the Big
`Five[12] making consumers pay too much for their CDs [13]. From 1999 to 2001, the average
`price of a CD rose 7.2 percent from US$13.04 to US$14.19. Simultaneously, new album
`releases went down as well, making it rather difficult to procure similar revenues to the year
`before [14]. Oberholzer-Gee and Strumpf also point towards an evolution in how music is
`distributed (from record stores to discount retailers), the ending of a period of high sales
`when consumers replaced older music formats with CDs, and the growing competition from
`video games and DVDs [15].
`
`Figure 2: Global music sales in millions US$ (IFPI, 2004)
`Local currency values are converted to dollars at the exchange rate of each year.
`45000
`
`1994
`
`1995
`
`1996
`
`1997
`
`1998
`
`1999
`
`40000
`
`35000
`
`30000
`
`Millions US$
`
`25000
`
`20000
`
`
`According to the music industry, however, physical and digital music piracy is the very
`culprit for the decline in CD sales. Each year, the IFPI releases a figure indicating the global
`value of pirated music. In 2005, the IFPI estimated the value of the global traffic of pirate
`products at US$4.5 billion [16]. It equals out at about 13.5 percent of the total amount of
`global legitimate music sales. Not included in this figure, however, is file sharing over peer-
`to-peer (P2P) networks, which is said to be responsible for a fall in global music sales of 22
`percent between 1999 and 2004 [17]. The IFPI distinguishes CD-R piracy, pressed CD piracy,
`cassette piracy, Internet piracy and new forms of digital piracy such as LAN file sharing,
`digital stream ripping and mobile piracy. Internet and CD piracy are reported to have the
`biggest impact on legitimate CD sales [18].
`
`2.1. Internet Piracy
`
`Internet piracy can take many forms. It can involve making available databases of music files
`on websites or File Transfer Protocol (FTP) sites, up- and downloading files via Internet
`newsgroups or sharing files via peer-to-peer (P2P) networks. According to the music
`industry, there is a causal relationship between the growth of P2P networks and the decline
`
`
`
`3
`
`2001
`
`2002
`
`2003
`
`2004
`
`2005
`
`2006
`
`2000
`Year
`
`
`
`

`

`Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 5 of 18
`
`of CD sales [19]. Liebowitz estimates that between 2000 and 2003 online file sharing reduced
`CD sales by as much as 30 percent, or about $4 billion annually [20]. A lot of research has
`been conducted into the effects of Internet piracy on CD sales. The outcome of this research
`is not unambiguous. Some studies found that file sharing had no or little impact on music
`sales [21]. In a recent study, Andersen and Frenz found that P2P file-sharing tends to
`increase rather than decrease music purchasing [22]. Still there are many others who confirm
`the impact of file sharing on the music sales decline [23]. Others argue that a causal
`relationship is quasi-impossible to ascertain and piracy figures are often used for their
`rhetorical impact [24].
`According to the data in figure 1 and 2, presented by the music industry, the year 1999
`can be considered as a turning point. Although in figure 1 the decline starts in the year 2000
`(due to regional dissimilarities), global sales (figure 2) started to drop in 1999. It is in that
`same year that Shawn Fenning started Napster, a type of P2P network, which would
`eventually attract as many as 70 million registered users [25]. While other factors (such as the
`economic climate for example) undoubtedly will influence global music sales, based on the
`data presented in figure 1 and 2, music industry’s claim that P2P file sharing is at least
`partially responsible for the decline in CD sales seems legitimate.
`
`2.2. CD Piracy
`
`The amount of attention given to physical piracy, such as CD piracy, in literature does not
`quite correspond to the significance of the problem. All the indications are that the scale of
`the pirate business is considerable. It is thought that more than one in three of all music discs
`purchased around the world is an illegal copy. In 2005, the global value of traffic of pirate
`music products was estimated at US$4.5 billion. 1.2 billion pirate CDs would have been sold
`worldwide in that same year [26]. Because the prices for pirated discs are used and not the
`legal prices, the full economic loss to the music industry is not measured [27].
`
`Figure 3: The evolution in legitimate music CD sales and pirate music CD sales
`3000
`
`Legitimate music CD sales
`Pirate music CD sales
`
`2500
`
`2000
`
`1500
`
`1000
`
`500
`
`0
`
`Units (in million)
`
`1999
`
`2000
`
`2001
`
`2002
`
`Year
`Source: IFPI, 2004; IFPI “The recording Industry” 2000-2007 and IFPI piracy reports 2000-2006:
`http://www.ifpi.co.uk/content/section_statistics/index.html.
`
`2003
`
`2004
`
`2005
`
`
`
`4
`
`

`

`Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 6 of 18
`
`Figure 3 shows the evolution in both legitimate music CD sales and pirate music CD
`sales. The latter category constitutes pressed pirate CDs as well as pirate CD-Recordable
`discs (CD-Rs). While the total amount of legitimate music CD sales is reasonably well-
`known, figures relating to pirate music CD sales are merely estimates and based on the
`number of seizures which provides information rather on law enforcement activities.
`Nevertheless, the figures in figure 3 show that in the year 2000 pirate CD sales rose sharply
`and have followed an upward trend since 2001. It is remarkable that both curves more or less
`mirror each other: when legitimate CD sales drop, pirate CD sales rise. Even when the
`figures of pirate music CD sales are an underestimate, this would theoretically not change
`the global trend that is set.
`
`
`3. Organized crime involvement in music piracy
`
`The threats to the music industry are well-known: both CD piracy as Internet piracy threaten
`music industry’s most essential product, the compact disc. Of all music sales in 2004, CD
`sales accounted for 86 percent [28]. An extra dimension can be added to those threats: the
`involvement of organized crime in music piracy.
`
`Organized crime is best described as a profit-driven illicit shadow economy. This is also
`reflected in the definition used by the UK National Criminal Intelligence Service and
`adapted by the music industry for the purpose of examining organized crime involvement in
`music piracy: “Organized crime constitutes any enterprise, or group of persons, engaged in
`continuing illegal activities which has as its primary purpose the generation of profits, irrespective of
`national boundaries” [29]. Although this definition does not cover all aspects of organized
`crime (the EU definition of organized crime defines eleven characteristics[30]) it is of use for
`this article. The reason why organized criminals would get involved in the music business is
`simple: just like all entrepreneurs they strive to maximize their profits. When organized
`music pirates have the same production technology at their disposal as the music industry,
`they become fearsome competitors. Their marginal costs will be the same, but not their
`average total cost function because they do not bear the fixed costs associated with
`developing the CDs [31]. In that way, organized music pirates’ production costs will be less
`than those of the music industry providing them with a competitive advantage.
`
`Legal and illegal activities do not always operate on distinct levels but are often connected
`and interdependent [32]. Moreover, legal and illegal organizations would strive to maximize
`economic and political advantages and try to minimize the risk of arrest and conviction [33].
`Within the global music market, organized music pirates have found and exploited a
`thriving segment: the segment of people who are not willing to pay the price demanded by
`the music industry. To analyze the involvement of organized criminals in the music business
`and to understand why they are involved, it is necessary to look beyond their characteristics
`and activities and look to the markets in which they operate [34].
`
`3.1. Scanning for vulnerabilities in the music industry
`
`Since criminal or deviant behaviour takes place in a certain context [35], it is crucial to scan it
`for vulnerabilities. Methods have been developed (e.g., Method for Assessment of
`Vulnerability of Sectors (MAVUS) [36]) to scan for context-specific opportunities which
`could be exploited by criminals. The vulnerabilities of an organisation, sector or industry
`facilitate crime or irregularities and are found in the music industry as well [37].
`
`
`
`5
`
`

`

`Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 7 of 18
`
`An industry can be looked at from different perspectives. An important first perspective
`in the vulnerability approach is the economic perspective scrutinizing the entire production
`chain. To recognize the vulnerabilities of an industry, an understanding of the nature of the
`product is imperative. In the case of the music industry the actual product is not the CD, but
`the intellectual property which is in fact an intangible good [38]. In case of CD distribution,
`the intellectual property is linked to a certain carrier, i.e. the CD. The link to a carrier is
`important since copying a song is only punishable if the song is copied onto a different
`carrier. The fact that the actual product is an intangible good, combined with the relative
`ease with which CDs are now copied (as discussed above), music industry’s product can be
`considered as highly vulnerable for criminal activity. Furthermore, CDs can be shipped very
`easily and do not require specific conservation methods, so they can be shipped together
`with other illegal goods [39].
`Not only the product, but also the environment may well lead to crime. Since every
`sector is subjected to (governmental) regulations, the level of implementation and
`enforcement of these regulations determine the pervasiveness of criminal activities. Some
`countries, like Russia for example where CD manufacturing plants are not (effectively)
`combated [40], still lack proper legislation and are thus creating safe havens for criminals to
`produce counterfeit CDs [41]. In the past, legislation and enforcement in many countries was
`not that strong. Music industry’s lobbying, increased media attention and global awareness
`of music piracy caused various regions to improve their fight against the phenomenon. In
`Europe, the 1998 Green Paper on Combating Piracy indicated a first commencement in this
`perspective [42].
`Besides the product and the environment, pricing issues play an important role in piracy.
`Because of customers’ increased mobility and to avoid “white van smuggling”, record
`companies try to maintain a worldwide uniform price, so there is no use in shopping abroad.
`Yet, in countries where the average wages are about the equivalent of US$70-100, most
`people cannot afford to pay US$15 for a music CD [43]. CD piracy provides to some extent
`an answer to this discrepancy. This is reflected in the value of the pirate market as well.
`Although the number of pirated CDs is said to be up to 35 percent, its value only
`corresponds with a market share of 15 percent [44]. This implies that the pirated CDs cost
`less than half the price of their legal counterparts. In this perspective, pricing strategies need
`to take the efficiency of the black market into account [45].
`Finally, although technological developments have offered opportunities to the music
`industry, they also have brought new challenges. First of all, the ease with which one
`nowadays can copy CDs adds to the vulnerabilities of the music industry. Although the
`equipment for CD manufacturing plants is more expensive and less mobile compared to that
`of home-made copying, low risks of being caught and weak deterrents make the investment
`worthwhile [46].
`
`3.2. The future of organized crime in music piracy
`
`Whereas the music industry used to have control over their product, technological
`developments have offered new opportunities to music pirates. Given the vulnerabilities of
`the industry: low (law) enforcement in some countries, the ease by which copies can be
`made, the fact that legal CD are not affordable in some countries, etc., several windows of
`opportunity are left open for organized crime networks.
`The involvement of organized crime in music piracy has particularly been linked to
`physical piracy, more specific CD piracy. The CD as a product is therefore as important for
`organized criminals as for the legal music industry. Since the rise of Internet piracy is hurting
`the legal music industry, it also must hurt illegal CD sales. Figure 4 presents the evolution of
`
`
`
`6
`
`

`

`Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 8 of 18
`
`physical piracy by format. In 2000 and 2001, the percentage of CD-Rs has increased with
`more than 10 percent, but the percentage of cassettes has declined with nearly the same
`proportion. Since the introduction of the CD, tape cassettes have gradually lost their market
`share. Commercially-oriented pirates and private citizens have lost interest in tape cassettes
`as principal music format. The proportion of pirated CDs (no CD-R) was nearly stable [47].
`
`Figure 4: The evolution of physical piracy by format
`
`CDs
`CD-Rs
`Cassettes
`
`2002
`
`2003
`
`2004
`
`report
`
`2003,
`
`2004,
`
`
`2005:
`
`1998
`
`1999
`
`2000
`
`2001
`Year
`
`2000
`
`1800
`
`1600
`
`1400
`
`1200
`
`1000
`
`800
`
`600
`
`400
`
`200
`
`0
`
`Units (in million)
`
`Source:
`commercial piracy
`industry,
`recording
`IFPI, The
`http://www.ifpi.org/content/section_statistics/index.html
`
`
`The discrepancy between the volume of pirate cassettes sold in 1998 and the volume of
`pirate CDs and CD-Rs is however remarkable. Whereas 1,900 million pirate cassettes were
`sold in 1998, both pirate CDs as well as CD-Rs have trouble to cross the border of 600 million
`units. One would well expect that the CD-R would partially replace the function of the tape
`cassette and as such obtain higher sales figures. Although the rise of CD-Rs in 2001 is
`notable, it is clear that the CD-R does not come near to the volume of pirate cassettes. Even
`though the CD has dethroned the tape cassette, the volume of physical piracy, in terms of
`million of units, has decreased over the last decade. There are three aspects that have to be
`considered in this perspective. First, the rise of CD-Rs can be accounted for by the decline in
`cassette piracy, as the CD is taking over tapes. Secondly, piracy rates can only be measured
`by the number of seizures. Hence, they tell at least as much about the activity of enforcement
`agencies as they tell about actual crime prevalence. Third, in 1999 Napster came along.
`Perhaps the limited growth of physical piracy from 2001 on may point towards a change in
`consumers’ behaviour. If Internet is available, why buy (pirated) CDs when you can get your
`favourite music for free? In some countries, like Taiwan and Korea, Internet piracy has,
`according to IFPI, replaced not only legitimate businesses but also physical piracy [48].
`Indeed, through file sharing the customer can not only listen to music freely, he or she can
`download it free of charge. In that way file sharing could also endanger the survival of
`physical pirates. A testimony:
`
`
`
`
`7
`
`

`

`Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 9 of 18
`
`… According to Tony, the first 2 hours of every Saturday and Sunday morning at the local flea market always
`proved the most exciting. “We’d take 60 cases of CDRs down in the van and as soon as we got there a crowd
`would swarm around us. We had no competition and it was obvious the punters had no other suppliers. Inside
`30 minutes, 90% of the stock would be gone with some customers taking 2 or 3 cases each, presumably to sell on.
`After 3 hours we were cleared out and on our way home, always with huge amounts of money.”
`
`By 2001, Tony was renting a factory unit and employing 3 people to operate duplicators 24 hours a day, 7 days a
`week but although business was lively right up to 2004, profits were being squeezed every year. Forced to
`increase the amount of media burnt each week to make up for the shortfall in profit, it became clear that the
`business was in trouble - demand was falling dramatically. ....
`
` …
`
` Tony is very clear about why his rags to riches story has gone back to rags again. “File-sharing, P2P - call it
`what you like. When you asked a customer why he wasn’t buying anything, 9 times out of 10 it was ‘BitTorrent
`this, LimeWire that’. Add that to the fact that huge numbers of PC users have burners and fast broadband and
`its obvious why I had to get out and earn a living another way. We had it good for a while but I don’t think those
`days are coming back.” [49]
`
`Organized music pirates have sponged on the achievements of the music industry. While the
`industry was investing in new talent, organized music pirates took advantage of their
`successes. When an artist was doing well, the demand for CDs of that particular artist rose.
`That is when organized music pirates came on the scene by offering low-priced pirated CDs
`of that same artist. When those CDs no longer sell, they are confronted with a huge problem.
`The question is whether they will share Tony’s fate, or whether they will be able to alter their
`“business plan”.
`
`4. The music business goes digital
`
`The Internet did not play a major role in the distribution of music until the spread of the MP3
`[50]. The success of this format is not only due to the absence of security features, making it
`extremely appealing to consumers as they do not encounter restrictions on the use of the
`content, but most of all, it compresses audio files with little loss in quality [51]. The
`application of this technology is extremely popular among file sharers. MP3 technology
`enables users to compress music files in easily transferable data. Whereas a three minute
`track on a CD would use for example 30 to 40 Megabytes (Mb), the same track, converted
`into a MP3 files would use merely 3 Mb. This has of course, irrespective of the bandwidth,
`consequences for the speediness of transferring music files through the Internet.
`The advent of Napster in 1999 ignited P2P file sharing [52] and in its two years of
`existence, Napster has changed the music business and its relationship with consumers. As a
`reaction to the growing threat of file sharing, the music industry responded in two ways.
`First it tried to dissuade people to get involved in P2P file sharing by setting up awareness
`campaigns. Secondly, it tried to scare people off by threatening with legal actions. Essentially
`three types of legal actions have been engaged by the music industry: against file sharing
`platforms, against Internet service providers (to reveal user’s identities or to pay damages for
`the infringement or block illegal sites), and against individual P2P users [53]. The people
`being sued by the music industry range from college students, laboratory assistants to
`parsons [54]. The results of these actions are ambiguous and have not done the image of the
`music industry any good. Today there are much more P2P services than there were in the
`time of Napster and they are more difficult to be shut down. Progress in technology, the
`growth of consumer broadband and cheap data storage makes it impossible to prevent this
`type of activity [55]. Napster operated a central server that indexed its users and song titles
`
`
`
`8
`
`

`

`Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 10 of 18
`
`[56]. Contemporary P2P services do not longer rely on a central indexing server. By
`downloading the necessary software onto the user’s computer, the network would still
`function even if the company that provided the software would cease to exist. Therefore,
`some say that file sharing should be made legal and new ways to compensate copyright
`holders developed and implemented [57].
`File sharing can have three possible effects on the music industry. The one the industry is
`focusing on the most, is the substitution effect. If consumers are able to download entire CDs
`through the Internet for free, they would no longer be willing to buy a CD legally. This
`vision is however strongly contested since it is unlikely that each download would displace a
`market sale [58]. Van Wijk correctly argues that people, who would download a free copy,
`would not necessarily buy the same product at a legal market price. Another effect of file
`sharing is the sampling or exposure effect. Through file sharing, people can experience the
`product thoroughly before making a purchase decision [59]. The traditional way of the music
`industry to inform consumers of new products is to spend large costs on advertising and
`promotion. The Internet can increase both demand and consumption for it enables users to
`discover and acquire new music and artists quicker, easier and more flexible [60]. This
`positive effect on music sales is confirmed by recent research [61]. A third potential impact of
`file sharing is the network effect which can be more or less compared with the effect of radio
`play [62].
`Understanding that consumers had to have legal alternatives, and the evolution of online
`distribution of music had become insurmountable, the music industry decided to go online.
`In December 2001, MusicNet was setup by three major labels, Warner, EMI and BMG. Sony
`and Universal soon followed with PressPlay [63]. Subscription-based, the number of users
`was rather disappointing. First of all, the choice of music was rather limited since the labels
`merely offered a selection of their libraries. Secondly, the Big Five were concerned that their
`downloaded music would be easily copied and distributed. Therefore technological
`restrictions were put in place. Customers found themselves restricted by, for example, the
`period of time a download could be kept, the numbers of copies that could be made etc.
`These limitations did not provide the music industry a competitive advantage vis-à-vis file
`sharing where such restrictions are absent.
`It was not until the advent of Apple Corporation’s iTunes in 2003 that the music industry
`broke through in the online music distribution. Apple met the shortcomings and offered
`customers access to a larger music catalogue and for the price of US$0.99 one could purchase
`a song with few restrictions on the use of it. In 2004 the IFPI began publishing online music
`reports [64]. Downloaded digital single tracks climbed from 160 million units in 2004 to 795
`million units with revenue of US$397 million in 2004 and US$2000 million in 2006. Although
`the transition to online distribution of music has had its difficulties, it is now relatively
`successful. However, it does not look like digital music sales will be able to compensate for
`the decline in CD sales in the near future. The challenge now is for the music industry to try
`to compete effectively with P2P networks and promote themselves in a new (digital)
`environment [65].
`
`4.1. Online music distribution: the choice between a legal and illegal purchase
`
`In the presence of the threats facing the music business, the industry had to alter their
`business plan. One of the adaptations to the new (digital) environment is distributing music
`online. Although digital sales are doing relatively well, they have a long way to go before
`they can replace CD revenues (if at all). Nevertheless, the industry has opened up a new
`(thriving) market: they run online music stores, provide music for digital music players and
`
`
`
`9
`
`

`

`Case 4:20-cv-07572-JSW Document 54-12 Filed 08/25/21 Page 11 of 18
`
`ring tones, cut deals with the mobile phone industry etc. Are organized music pirates able to
`do the same?
`It would be naïve to think organized criminals are not able to sell music through the
`Internet as well. It is well known that criminals (individually as well as organized) are
`perfectly able to adapt to changes in the environment [66]. They too are perfectly capable to
`set up online music stores and provide customers with for example ring tones. They will,
`however, have to put in a great effort to stay as invisible as possible for law enforcement
`agencies for although criminals are resourceful, transactions through the Internet leave traces
`behind. Furthermore, the ICT-knowledge of enforcement agencies does not stay behind
`either. Besides concerns about detection, organized criminals may very well consider if the
`effort is worth it. Why would people be willing to purchase music online illegally if there is a
`legal alternative? Price differentiations will no longer be as significant as before since the
`production costs of CDs are now irrelevant. Moreover, how could illegal online music stores
`add value to their product in the presence of file sharing and still be able to compete with
`legal online music stores?
`To analyze the online music business an economic approach is less valuable since it is not
`bound to a static carrier. A rational choice perspective, however, provides information on the
`choices customers have to make during their purchase decision. First of all, in making the
`decision whether or not to purchase music legally or illegally, the prime cost plays an
`important role [67]. Secondly, since the customer wants value for his money, the quality and
`the perceived quality of the product is at least as important [68]. There is also an ethical value
`involved: not everyone is keen on purchasing a product illegally [69]. Besides the risk of
`inferior quality (there are no guarantees with illegally obtained music), there is a risk of
`receiving digital malware. Music will be bought legally when the price is worth the
`differences in ethical consideration, (expected) quality and (perceived) risks. As ethical
`beliefs of consumers are independent variables, it is for legal providers important to combine
`high quality with competitive pricing and minimal risks [70].
`Should consumers nevertheless opt for purchasing music through organized crime
`networks, ethical beliefs are no longer relevant. The risk of receiving malware and
`encountering legal actions makes it, on the other hand, more likely that people will only buy
`and download music legally if the high quality and low risks compensate for the higher
`price. The internet and its embedded risks may therefore very well reduce the profit mar

This document is available on Docket Alarm but you must sign up to view it.


Or .

Accessing this document will incur an additional charge of $.

After purchase, you can access this document again without charge.

Accept $ Charge
throbber

Still Working On It

This document is taking longer than usual to download. This can happen if we need to contact the court directly to obtain the document and their servers are running slowly.

Give it another minute or two to complete, and then try the refresh button.

throbber

A few More Minutes ... Still Working

It can take up to 5 minutes for us to download a document if the court servers are running slowly.

Thank you for your continued patience.

This document could not be displayed.

We could not find this document within its docket. Please go back to the docket page and check the link. If that does not work, go back to the docket and refresh it to pull the newest information.

Your account does not support viewing this document.

You need a Paid Account to view this document. Click here to change your account type.

Your account does not support viewing this document.

Set your membership status to view this document.

With a Docket Alarm membership, you'll get a whole lot more, including:

  • Up-to-date information for this case.
  • Email alerts whenever there is an update.
  • Full text search for other cases.
  • Get email alerts whenever a new case matches your search.

Become a Member

One Moment Please

The filing “” is large (MB) and is being downloaded.

Please refresh this page in a few minutes to see if the filing has been downloaded. The filing will also be emailed to you when the download completes.

Your document is on its way!

If you do not receive the document in five minutes, contact support at support@docketalarm.com.

Sealed Document

We are unable to display this document, it may be under a court ordered seal.

If you have proper credentials to access the file, you may proceed directly to the court's system using your government issued username and password.


Access Government Site

We are redirecting you
to a mobile optimized page.





Document Unreadable or Corrupt

Refresh this Document
Go to the Docket

We are unable to display this document.

Refresh this Document
Go to the Docket